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The Atlanta Braves and the Philadelphia Phillies take the field for Game 4 of the NLDS on Thursday at 8:07 PM ET at Citizens Bank Park. The Phillies are ahead 2-1 in the series and can clinch with a win. On the mound for the Braves will be Spencer Strider (20-5), matched up against the Phillies’ Ranger Suarez (4-6).
Despite being the away team the Braves are a moderate moneyline favorite (-148) over the Phillies (+125). The game’s over/under is set at 8.5.
Braves vs. Phillies Odds
Run Line
Atlanta Braves (-1.5)
Moneyline
Braves (-148)
Total
8.5 Runs (Over: -117, Under: -105)
When, Where, at What Time is Braves vs. Phillies
- Game Day: Thursday, October 12, 2023
- Game Time: 8:07 PM ET
- TV Channel: TBS
- Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
- Stadium: Citizens Bank Park
Braves Injury Report
| Name | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Charlie Morton | 15-Day Injured List | Finger |
| Jackson Stephens | 15-Day Injured List | Elbow |
| Yonny Chirinos | 60-Day Injured List | Elbow |
| Nick Anderson | 60-Day Injured List | Shouder |
| Mike Soroka | 60-Day Injured List | Shoulder |
| Dylan Lee | 60-Day Injured List | Shoulder |
| Kyle Wright | 60-Day Injured List | Shoulder |
| Sam Hilliard | 60-Day Injured List | Heel |
| Kolby Allard | 60-Day Injured List | Shoulder |
| Tyler Matzek | 60-Day Injured List | Elbow |
| Huascar Ynoa | 60-Day Injured List | Elbow |
Phillies Injury Report
| Name | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Erich Uelmen | 60-Day Injured List | Hip Flexor |
| Rhys Hoskins | 60-Day Injured List | Knee |
Last Time Out: Braves and Phillies
Yesterday, the Phillies picked up a 10-2 win over the Braves, with Aaron Nola (5.2 IP, 2 R, 6 H, 9 K) registering the win for the Phillies. Bryce Harper finished 2-for-5 with two home runs and four RBI to lead the offense. Bryce Elder (2.2 IP, 6 R, 5 H, 4 K) was handed the loss for the Braves.
Betting Trends
Braves Betting Records and Team Stats
This season, the Braves have won 97 out of the 150 games, or 64.7%, in which they’ve been favored. Atlanta has a record of 77-34 in games where oddsmakers favor them by at least -148 on the moneyline. The Braves have a 59.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline. Atlanta’s games have gone over the total in 94 of their 165 chances. The Braves are 84-81-0 against the spread this season.
| Name | GP | AVG (Rank) | OBP (Rank) | SLG (Rank) | HR% (Rank) | K% (Rank) | BB% (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronald Acuña Jr. | 159 | .337 (2) | .416 (1) | .596 (4) | 5.6% (13) | 11.4% (6) | 10.9% (27) |
| Matt Olson | 162 | .283 (19) | .389 (10) | .604 (3) | 7.5% (1) | 23.2% (94) | 14.4% (8) |
| Ozzie Albies | 148 | .280 (23) | .336 (54) | .513 (15) | 5% (18) | 16.3% (26) | 7% (93) |
| Austin Riley | 159 | .281 (22) | .345 (43) | .516 (14) | 5.2% (17) | 24.1% (102) | 8.3% (77) |
| Marcell Ozuna | 144 | .274 (36) | .346 (41) | .558 (7) | 6.8% (4) | 22.6% (86) | 9.6% (54) |
Phillies Betting Records and Team Stats
The Phillies have won in 25, or 47.2%, of the 53 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year. Philadelphia has a mark of 4-11 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by +125 or worse on the moneyline. The Phillies have an implied victory probability of 44.4% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup. Philadelphia and their opponents have gone over in 77 of their 167 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The Phillies are 78-89-0 against the spread in their 167 games that had a posted line this season.
| Name | GP | AVG (Rank) | OBP (Rank) | SLG (Rank) | HR% (Rank) | K% (Rank) | BB% (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber | 160 | .197 (136) | .343 (46) | .474 (39) | 6.5% (5) | 29.9% (130) | 17.5% (2) |
| Trea Turner | 155 | .266 (52) | .320 (89) | .459 (52) | 3.8% (47) | 21.7% (73) | 6.5% (102) |
| Alec Bohm | 145 | .274 (36) | .327 (70) | .437 (74) | 3.3% (76) | 15.4% (16) | 6.9% (94) |
| Bryce Harper | 126 | .293 (10) | .401 (7) | .499 (22) | 3.8% (47) | 21.8% (74) | 14.7% (6) |
| Bryson Stott | 151 | .280 (23) | .329 (65) | .419 (88) | 2.3% (113) | 15.6% (20) | 6.1% (109) |
Braves vs. Phillies Picks and Predictions
Our pick for this matchup is the Phillies to win (+125 on the moneyline), while we project the scoring will go over the total (8.5 runs).