Braves vs Phillies NLDS Game 1: Picks, Predictions, Moneyline and Odds – Saturday, October 7

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The NLDS begins with a showdown between the Atlanta Braves and the Philadelphia Phillies at Truist Park on Saturday, starting at 6:07 PM ET. The scheduled starters are Spencer Strider (20-5) for the Braves, and Ranger Suarez (4-6) for the Phillies.

Bookmakers have made the Braves a decent moneyline favorite (-210) at home over the Phillies (+173). The total for this contest is set at 8.5.

Braves vs. Phillies Odds

Run Line

Atlanta Braves (-1.5)

Moneyline

Braves (-210)

Total

8.5 Runs (Over: -113, Under: -109)

When, Where, at What Time is Braves vs. Phillies

  • Game Day: Saturday, October 7, 2023
  • Game Time: 6:07 PM ET
  • TV Channel: TBS
  • Location: Atlanta, Georgia
  • Stadium: Truist Park

Braves Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Charlie Morton 15-Day Injured List Finger
Max Fried 15-Day Injured List Finger
Jackson Stephens 15-Day Injured List Elbow
Yonny Chirinos 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Nick Anderson 60-Day Injured List Shouder
Mike Soroka 60-Day Injured List Shoulder
Daysbel Hernandez 60-Day Injured List Forearm
Dylan Lee 60-Day Injured List Shoulder
Sam Hilliard 60-Day Injured List Heel
Kolby Allard 60-Day Injured List Shoulder
Tyler Matzek 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Huascar Ynoa 60-Day Injured List Elbow

Phillies Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Erich Uelmen 60-Day Injured List Hip Flexor
Rhys Hoskins 60-Day Injured List Knee

Last Time Out: Braves and Phillies

The Braves’ matchup Saturday versus the Nationals ended in a 10-9 loss. Marcell Ozuna went 2-for-3 with two home runs and four RBI in the defeat, while Michael Tonkin threw one inning, giving up three earned runs on two hits en route to taking the loss.

The Phillies took down the Marlins 7-1 Saturday. J.T. Realmuto led the way offensively after going 2-for-4 with a double, a home run and an RBI, and Aaron Nola got the win, pitching seven innings without giving up an earned run on three hits, while striking out three.

Betting Trends

Braves Betting Records and Team Stats

The Braves have entered the game as favorites 148 times this season and won 96, or 64.9%, of those games. Atlanta is 40-16 this season when entering a game favored by -210 or more on the moneyline. The implied probability of a win from the Braves, based on the moneyline, is 67.7%. Atlanta and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 92 of their 162 opportunities. The Braves have an ATS record of 84-78-0 in 162 games with a spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Ronald Acuña Jr. 159 .337 (2) .416 (1) .596 (4) 5.6% (13) 11.4% (6) 10.9% (27)
Matt Olson 162 .283 (19) .389 (9) .604 (3) 7.5% (1) 23.2% (94) 14.4% (8)
Ozzie Albies 148 .280 (23) .336 (54) .513 (15) 5% (18) 16.3% (26) 7% (93)
Austin Riley 159 .281 (21) .345 (43) .516 (13) 5.2% (17) 24.1% (102) 8.3% (77)
Marcell Ozuna 144 .275 (32) .348 (39) .562 (7) 6.8% (4) 22.6% (86) 9.6% (54)

Phillies Betting Records and Team Stats

The Phillies have won in 24, or 47.1%, of the 51 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year. Philadelphia has been listed as an underdog of +173 or more on two occasions this season and lost both games. The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Phillies have a 36.6% chance of walking away with the win. Philadelphia and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 75 of their 164 opportunities. The Phillies have posted a record of 75-89-0 against the spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Kyle Schwarber 160 .197 (136) .343 (46) .474 (37) 6.5% (5) 29.9% (130) 17.5% (2)
Trea Turner 155 .266 (54) .320 (89) .459 (53) 3.8% (47) 21.7% (73) 6.5% (102)
Alec Bohm 145 .274 (37) .327 (70) .437 (74) 3.3% (76) 15.4% (16) 6.9% (94)
Bryce Harper 126 .293 (10) .401 (7) .499 (21) 3.8% (47) 21.8% (74) 14.7% (6)
Bryson Stott 151 .280 (23) .329 (66) .419 (88) 2.3% (113) 15.6% (20) 6.1% (109)

Braves vs. Phillies Picks and Predictions

Our pick for this matchup is the Braves to win (-210 on the moneyline), while we project the scoring will go over the total (8.5 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Stacy Sailer

Stacy has been a baseball fan for as long as she can remember. She admits that she grew up as a spoiled Yankees fan in the late-90’s/early 2000’s, but has slowly evolved into a disgruntled Yankees fan due to their lone championship title in the last 21 seasons. She follows other sports, but her first love has always been baseball and loves getting to share her insight and knowledge with the Betsperts community.

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