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The NLDS begins with a showdown between the Atlanta Braves and the Philadelphia Phillies at Truist Park on Saturday, starting at 6:07 PM ET. The scheduled starters are Spencer Strider (20-5) for the Braves, and Ranger Suarez (4-6) for the Phillies.
Bookmakers have made the Braves a decent moneyline favorite (-210) at home over the Phillies (+173). The total for this contest is set at 8.5.
Braves vs. Phillies Odds
Run Line
Atlanta Braves (-1.5)
Moneyline
Braves (-210)
Total
8.5 Runs (Over: -113, Under: -109)
When, Where, at What Time is Braves vs. Phillies
- Game Day: Saturday, October 7, 2023
- Game Time: 6:07 PM ET
- TV Channel: TBS
- Location: Atlanta, Georgia
- Stadium: Truist Park
Braves Injury Report
| Name | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Charlie Morton | 15-Day Injured List | Finger |
| Max Fried | 15-Day Injured List | Finger |
| Jackson Stephens | 15-Day Injured List | Elbow |
| Yonny Chirinos | 60-Day Injured List | Elbow |
| Nick Anderson | 60-Day Injured List | Shouder |
| Mike Soroka | 60-Day Injured List | Shoulder |
| Daysbel Hernandez | 60-Day Injured List | Forearm |
| Dylan Lee | 60-Day Injured List | Shoulder |
| Sam Hilliard | 60-Day Injured List | Heel |
| Kolby Allard | 60-Day Injured List | Shoulder |
| Tyler Matzek | 60-Day Injured List | Elbow |
| Huascar Ynoa | 60-Day Injured List | Elbow |
Phillies Injury Report
| Name | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Erich Uelmen | 60-Day Injured List | Hip Flexor |
| Rhys Hoskins | 60-Day Injured List | Knee |
Last Time Out: Braves and Phillies
The Braves’ matchup Saturday versus the Nationals ended in a 10-9 loss. Marcell Ozuna went 2-for-3 with two home runs and four RBI in the defeat, while Michael Tonkin threw one inning, giving up three earned runs on two hits en route to taking the loss.
The Phillies took down the Marlins 7-1 Saturday. J.T. Realmuto led the way offensively after going 2-for-4 with a double, a home run and an RBI, and Aaron Nola got the win, pitching seven innings without giving up an earned run on three hits, while striking out three.
Betting Trends
Braves Betting Records and Team Stats
The Braves have entered the game as favorites 148 times this season and won 96, or 64.9%, of those games. Atlanta is 40-16 this season when entering a game favored by -210 or more on the moneyline. The implied probability of a win from the Braves, based on the moneyline, is 67.7%. Atlanta and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 92 of their 162 opportunities. The Braves have an ATS record of 84-78-0 in 162 games with a spread this season.
| Name | GP | AVG (Rank) | OBP (Rank) | SLG (Rank) | HR% (Rank) | K% (Rank) | BB% (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronald Acuña Jr. | 159 | .337 (2) | .416 (1) | .596 (4) | 5.6% (13) | 11.4% (6) | 10.9% (27) |
| Matt Olson | 162 | .283 (19) | .389 (9) | .604 (3) | 7.5% (1) | 23.2% (94) | 14.4% (8) |
| Ozzie Albies | 148 | .280 (23) | .336 (54) | .513 (15) | 5% (18) | 16.3% (26) | 7% (93) |
| Austin Riley | 159 | .281 (21) | .345 (43) | .516 (13) | 5.2% (17) | 24.1% (102) | 8.3% (77) |
| Marcell Ozuna | 144 | .275 (32) | .348 (39) | .562 (7) | 6.8% (4) | 22.6% (86) | 9.6% (54) |
Phillies Betting Records and Team Stats
The Phillies have won in 24, or 47.1%, of the 51 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year. Philadelphia has been listed as an underdog of +173 or more on two occasions this season and lost both games. The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Phillies have a 36.6% chance of walking away with the win. Philadelphia and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 75 of their 164 opportunities. The Phillies have posted a record of 75-89-0 against the spread this season.
| Name | GP | AVG (Rank) | OBP (Rank) | SLG (Rank) | HR% (Rank) | K% (Rank) | BB% (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber | 160 | .197 (136) | .343 (46) | .474 (37) | 6.5% (5) | 29.9% (130) | 17.5% (2) |
| Trea Turner | 155 | .266 (54) | .320 (89) | .459 (53) | 3.8% (47) | 21.7% (73) | 6.5% (102) |
| Alec Bohm | 145 | .274 (37) | .327 (70) | .437 (74) | 3.3% (76) | 15.4% (16) | 6.9% (94) |
| Bryce Harper | 126 | .293 (10) | .401 (7) | .499 (21) | 3.8% (47) | 21.8% (74) | 14.7% (6) |
| Bryson Stott | 151 | .280 (23) | .329 (66) | .419 (88) | 2.3% (113) | 15.6% (20) | 6.1% (109) |
Braves vs. Phillies Picks and Predictions
Our pick for this matchup is the Braves to win (-210 on the moneyline), while we project the scoring will go over the total (8.5 runs).