Braves vs Cubs Today: Picks, Predictions, Moneyline and Odds – Thursday, September 28

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On Thursday, the Atlanta Braves (102-56) are hosting the Chicago Cubs (82-76), at 7:20 PM ET. The Braves have taken three straight. A.J. Smith-Shawver (1-0) will start for the Braves, and Marcus Stroman (10-8) for the Cubs.

The oddsmakers have spoken, making the Braves (-150) a moderate moneyline favorite to beat the Cubs (+126) at home. The contest has an over/under set at 9.5.

Braves vs. Cubs Odds

Run Line

Atlanta Braves (-1.5)

Moneyline

Braves (-150)

Total

9.5 Runs (Over: -110, Under: -111)

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When, Where, at What Time is Braves vs. Cubs

  • Game Day: Thursday, September 28, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:20 PM ET
  • TV Channel: BSSO
  • Location: Atlanta, Georgia
  • Stadium: Truist Park

Braves Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Charlie Morton 15-Day Injured List Finger
Max Fried 15-Day Injured List Finger
Collin McHugh 15-Day Injured List Shoulder
Yonny Chirinos 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Nick Anderson 60-Day Injured List Shouder
Mike Soroka 60-Day Injured List Shoulder
Dylan Lee 60-Day Injured List Shoulder
Daysbel Hernandez 60-Day Injured List Forearm
Sam Hilliard 60-Day Injured List Heel
Kolby Allard 60-Day Injured List Shoulder
Tyler Matzek 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Huascar Ynoa 60-Day Injured List Elbow

Cubs Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Nick Madrigal 10-Day Injured List Hamstring
Michael Fulmer 15-Day Injured List Forearm
Adbert Alzolay 15-Day Injured List Forearm
Brad Boxberger 15-Day Injured List Right Forearm
Brandon Hughes 60-Day Injured List Knee
Nick Burdi 60-Day Injured List Appendix
Codi Heuer 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Ethan Roberts 60-Day Injured List Elbow

Last Time Out: Braves and Cubs

These teams meet again after the Braves beat the Cubs 6-5 yesterday. Jesse Chavez earned the win for the Braves (1.0 IP, 0 R, 1 H, 1 K), and Ozzie Albies led the way offensively (3-for-5 with a home run and three RBI). Daniel Palencia (0.1 IP, 1 R, 2 H, 0 K) took the loss for the Cubs.

Betting Trends

Braves Betting Records and Team Stats

The Braves have entered the game as favorites 144 times this season and won 94, or 65.3%, of those games. Atlanta has a record of 75-30 in games where oddsmakers favor them by at least -150 on the moneyline. The moneyline for this contest implies a 60% chance of a victory for the Braves. So far this season, Atlanta and its opponents have hit the over in 90 of their 158 games with a total. The Braves are 82-76-0 ATS in their 158 games with a spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Ronald Acuña Jr. 155 .336 (2) .414 (1) .596 (4) 5.7% (12) 11.3% (6) 10.8% (29)
Matt Olson 158 .281 (20) .388 (10) .602 (3) 7.5% (1) 23.3% (95) 14.5% (7)
Ozzie Albies 144 .278 (29) .331 (64) .514 (15) 5.2% (18) 16.1% (27) 6.6% (99)
Austin Riley 155 .279 (25) .344 (42) .512 (16) 5.3% (17) 24% (101) 8.3% (77)
Marcell Ozuna 140 .272 (44) .343 (45) .544 (7) 6.4% (5) 22.6% (87) 9.6% (56)

Cubs Betting Records and Team Stats

The Cubs have won in 29, or 44.6%, of the 65 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year. This season, Chicago has been victorious 14 times in 24 chances when named as an underdog of at least +126 or longer on the moneyline. The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Cubs have a 44.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest. Chicago and their opponents have hit the over in 78 of their 158 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season. In 158 games with a line this season, the Cubs have a mark of 76-82-0 against the spread.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Cody Bellinger 127 .310 (6) .359 (27) .532 (9) 4.8% (24) 15.7% (23) 7.2% (90)
Nico Hoerner 148 .283 (16) .347 (40) .384 (116) 1.3% (130) 12.2% (8) 7.2% (90)
Ian Happ 155 .248 (101) .361 (25) .428 (81) 2.9% (93) 22% (77) 14.5% (7)
Seiya Suzuki 134 .282 (18) .353 (34) .484 (30) 3.5% (66) 22.5% (84) 10% (45)
Dansby Swanson 144 .249 (100) .330 (66) .423 (87) 3.5% (66) 24.3% (104) 10.2% (40)

Braves vs. Cubs Picks and Predictions

Our best pick for Braves vs. Cubs is the Braves (-150 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. As for the over/under, we prefer the over on 9.5 runs.

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WRITTEN BY

Stacy Sailer

Stacy has been a baseball fan for as long as she can remember. She admits that she grew up as a spoiled Yankees fan in the late-90’s/early 2000’s, but has slowly evolved into a disgruntled Yankees fan due to their lone championship title in the last 21 seasons. She follows other sports, but her first love has always been baseball and loves getting to share her insight and knowledge with the Betsperts community.

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