Astros vs Rangers ALCS Game 7 Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – October 23, 2023

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The Houston Astros are at home for a decisive Game 7 of the ALCS against the Texas Rangers on Monday at 8:03 PM ET at Minute Maid Park. The winner clinches the series and moves on to the World Series. The Astros will hand the ball to Cristian Javier (10-5), and the Rangers will counter with Max Scherzer (13-6).

The Astros are moderate favorites on the moneyline (-126) at home over the Rangers (+107). The game’s total is set at 9.5.

Astros vs. Rangers Odds

Run Line

Houston Astros (-1.5)

Moneyline

Astros (-126)

Total

9.5 Runs (Over: +101, Under: -122)

When, Where, at What Time is Astros vs. Rangers

  • Game Day: Monday, October 23, 2023
  • Game Time: 8:03 PM ET
  • TV Channel: FOX
  • Location: Houston, Texas
  • Stadium: Minute Maid Park

Astros Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Luis Garcia 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Lance McCullers Jr. 60-Day Injured List Forearm
Bryan Abreu Suspended List Suspension

Rangers Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Jacob deGrom 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Ian Kennedy 60-Day Injured List Rotator Cuff
Brad Miller 60-Day Injured List Hamstring
Jake Odorizzi 60-Day Injured List Shoulder
Brett Martin 60-Day Injured List Shoulder

Last Time Out: Astros and Rangers

Yesterday, the Rangers claimed a 9-2 victory over the Astros, with Nathan Eovaldi (6.1 IP, 2 R, 5 H, 4 K) registering the win for the Rangers. Mitch Garver finished 3-for-4 with a double, a home run and two RBI to lead the offense. Framber Valdez (5.0 IP, 3 R, 5 H, 6 K) took the loss for the Astros.

Betting Trends

Astros Betting Records and Team Stats

The Astros have won 64, or 51.6%, of the 124 games they’ve played as favorites this season. Houston has a record of 54-46, a 54% win rate, when favored by -126 or more by bookmakers this season. Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Astros have a 55.8% chance to win. Houston and its opponents have hit the over in 91 of their 172 games with a total this season. In 172 games with a spread this season, the Astros are 85-87-0 ATS.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Kyle Tucker 157 .284 (18) .369 (15) .517 (13) 4.3% (32) 13.8% (9) 12% (22)
Alex Bregman 161 .262 (66) .363 (20) .441 (69) 3.5% (65) 12% (7) 12.7% (17)
Yordan Alvarez 114 .293 (-) .407 (-) .583 (-) 6.3% (-) 18.5% (-) 13.9% (-)
Jose Altuve 90 .311 (-) .393 (-) .522 (-) 4.1% (-) 17.3% (-) 10.7% (-)
Jeremy Pena 149 .263 (61) .324 (80) .381 (120) 1.6% (126) 20.5% (64) 6.8% (95)

Rangers Betting Records and Team Stats

The Rangers have been chosen as underdogs in 60 games this year and have walked away with the win 32 times (53.3%) in those games. Texas has a win-loss record of 16-15 when favored by +107 or worse by sportsbooks this year. The Rangers have an implied victory probability of 48.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup. Texas’ games have gone over the total in 90 of their 173 opportunities. The Rangers are 95-78-0 against the spread in their 173 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Marcus Semien 162 .276 (28) .348 (39) .478 (33) 3.9% (44) 14.6% (12) 9.6% (54)
Corey Seager 119 .327 (5) .390 (9) .623 (2) 6.2% (8) 16.4% (27) 9.1% (64)
Adolis García 148 .245 (106) .328 (68) .508 (17) 6.2% (8) 27.7% (121) 10.3% (36)
Nate Lowe 161 .262 (66) .360 (24) .414 (95) 2.3% (113) 22.8% (90) 12.8% (16)
Jonah Heim 128 .258 (76) .317 (95) .438 (71) 3.6% (61) 19.2% (53) 8% (83)

Astros vs. Rangers Picks and Predictions

Our best pick for Astros vs. Rangers is the Astros (-126 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. For the over/under, we prefer the under on 9.5 runs.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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