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The Houston Astros host the Texas Rangers in Game 6 of the ALCS on Sunday at 8:03 PM ET at Minute Maid Park. The Astros have a 3-2 series lead, and will aim to clinch a spot in the World Series. On the hill for the Astros will be Framber Valdez (12-11), matched up against the Rangers’ Nathan Eovaldi (12-5).
The sportsbooks have spoken, making the Astros (-124) a moderate moneyline favorite to beat the Rangers (+104) at home. The contest has an over/under set at 8.5.
Astros vs. Rangers Odds
Run Line
Houston Astros (-1.5)
Moneyline
Astros (-124)
Total
8.5 Runs (Over: -116, Under: -106)
When, Where, at What Time is Astros vs. Rangers
- Game Day: Sunday, October 22, 2023
- Game Time: 8:03 PM ET
- TV Channel: FS1
- Location: Houston, Texas
- Stadium: Minute Maid Park
Astros Injury Report
| Name | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Garcia | 60-Day Injured List | Elbow |
| Lance McCullers Jr. | 60-Day Injured List | Forearm |
| Bryan Abreu | Suspended List | Suspended |
Rangers Injury Report
| Name | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Jacob deGrom | 60-Day Injured List | Elbow |
| Ian Kennedy | 60-Day Injured List | Rotator Cuff |
| Brad Miller | 60-Day Injured List | Hamstring |
| Jake Odorizzi | 60-Day Injured List | Shoulder |
| Brett Martin | 60-Day Injured List | Shoulder |
Last Time Out: Astros and Rangers
The Astros took down the Rangers 5-4 Sunday, with Ryan Pressly getting the win (2.0 IP, 0 R, 2 H, 3 K) and Jose Altuve leading the way offensively (going 1-for-5 with a home run and three RBI). Jose Leclerc (1.1 IP, 3 R, 2 H, 1 K) took the loss for the Rangers.
Betting Trends
Astros Betting Records and Team Stats
This season, the Astros have been favored 123 times and won 64, or 52%, of those games. Houston has a record of 56-48 in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -124 on the moneyline. The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 55.4% chance of a victory for the Astros. Houston and its opponents have hit the over in 90 of their 171 games with a total this season. The Astros are 85-86-0 against the spread in their 171 chances this season.
| Name | GP | AVG (Rank) | OBP (Rank) | SLG (Rank) | HR% (Rank) | K% (Rank) | BB% (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Tucker | 157 | .284 (18) | .369 (15) | .517 (13) | 4.3% (32) | 13.8% (9) | 12% (22) |
| Alex Bregman | 161 | .262 (66) | .363 (20) | .441 (69) | 3.5% (65) | 12% (7) | 12.7% (17) |
| Yordan Alvarez | 114 | .293 (-) | .407 (-) | .583 (-) | 6.3% (-) | 18.5% (-) | 13.9% (-) |
| Jose Altuve | 90 | .311 (-) | .393 (-) | .522 (-) | 4.1% (-) | 17.3% (-) | 10.7% (-) |
| Jeremy Pena | 149 | .263 (61) | .324 (80) | .381 (120) | 1.6% (126) | 20.5% (64) | 6.8% (95) |
Rangers Betting Records and Team Stats
The Rangers have come away with 31 wins in the 59 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season. Texas has a win-loss record of 17-17 when favored by +104 or worse by oddsmakers this year. The Rangers have an implied victory probability of 49% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup. Contests with Texas have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 89 of 172 chances this season. The Rangers are 94-78-0 against the spread in their 172 games that had a posted line this season.
| Name | GP | AVG (Rank) | OBP (Rank) | SLG (Rank) | HR% (Rank) | K% (Rank) | BB% (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Semien | 162 | .276 (28) | .348 (39) | .478 (33) | 3.9% (44) | 14.6% (12) | 9.6% (54) |
| Corey Seager | 119 | .327 (5) | .390 (9) | .623 (2) | 6.2% (8) | 16.4% (27) | 9.1% (64) |
| Adolis García | 148 | .245 (106) | .328 (68) | .508 (17) | 6.2% (8) | 27.7% (121) | 10.3% (36) |
| Nate Lowe | 161 | .262 (66) | .360 (24) | .414 (95) | 2.3% (113) | 22.8% (90) | 12.8% (16) |
| Jonah Heim | 128 | .258 (76) | .317 (95) | .438 (71) | 3.6% (61) | 19.2% (53) | 8% (83) |
Astros vs. Rangers Picks and Predictions
We predict that the Astros will pick up the win in this matchup, and they’re our choice on the moneyline (-124). If you’re looking for a pick on the over/under, we predict the final scoring winding up over the total (8.5 runs).