Astros vs Phillies Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – October 5, 2022

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The Houston Astros (105-56) will host the Philadelphia Phillies (87-74), in the final game of a three-game series, Wednesday at 4:10 PM ET. Framber Valdez (15-6) is the starter for the Astros, and Bailey Falter (6-4) for the Phillies.

The bookmakers have spoken, making the Astros (-186) a moderate moneyline favorite to beat the Phillies (+158) at home. The over/under for this contest is 7.5.

Astros vs. Phillies Odds

Run Line

Houston Astros (-1.5)

Moneyline

Astros (-186)

Total

7.5 Runs (Over: -105, Under: -116)

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When, Where, at What Time is Astros vs. Phillies

  • Game Day: Wednesday, October 5, 2022
  • Game Time: 4:10 PM ET
  • Location: Houston, Texas
  • Stadium: Minute Maid Park

Astros Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Jason Castro 60 Day Injury List Knee
Michael Brantley 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
Josh James 60 Day Injury List Back

Phillies Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Edmundo Sosa 10 Day Injury List Hamstring
Brad Hand 15 Day Injury List Elbow
Corey Knebel 60 Day Injury List Back
Kent Emanuel 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Mark Appel 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Hans Crouse 60 Day Injury List Bicep
Simon Muzziotti 60 Day Injury List Undisclosed
Damon Jones 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
James McArthur 60 Day Injury List Elbow

Last Time Out: Astros and Phillies

These clubs meet again after the Astros defeated the Phillies 10-0 yesterday. Justin Verlander earned the win for the Astros (5.00 IP, 0 R, 0 H, 10 K), and Kyle Tucker led the way offensively (1-for-3 with a home run and three RBI). Ranger Suarez (3.00 IP, 6 R, 7 H, 2 K) was credited with the loss for the Phillies.

Betting Trends

Astros Betting Records and Team Stats

The Astros have been favorites in 143 games this season and won 99 (69.2%) of those contests. This season, Houston has won 48 of its 66 games, or 72.7%, when favored by at least -186 on the moneyline. The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 65% chance of a victory for the Astros. Games involving Houston have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 61 of 165 chances this season. In 165 games with a spread this season, the Astros are 89-76-0 ATS.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Yordan Alvarez 135 .305 (6) .406 (2) .614 (2) 6.6% (3) 18.9% (61) 14.0% (6)
Alex Bregman 155 .259 (64) .367 (16) .456 (41) 3.5% (55) 11.8% (8) 13.2% (8)
Jose Altuve 141 .298 (12) .386 (7) .531 (6) 4.6% (25) 14.4% (18) 10.9% (22)
Kyle Tucker 151 .258 (66) .331 (58) .479 (21) 5.0% (15) 15.7% (27) 9.8% (43)
Yuli Gurriel 146 .242 (92) .286 (122) .360 (119) 1.4% (120) 12.4% (12) 5.0% (122)

Phillies Betting Records and Team Stats

The Phillies have been victorious in 27, or 45.8%, of the 59 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season. This season, Philadelphia has been victorious three times in 11 chances when named as an underdog of at least +158 or longer on the moneyline. The Phillies have an implied victory probability of 38.8% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup. Contests with Philadelphia have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 83 of 165 chances this season. The Phillies are 81-84-0 against the spread in their 165 games that had a posted line this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Kyle Schwarber 154 .219 (121) .324 (66) .506 (13) 6.9% (2) 29.8% (128) 12.9% (10)
J.T. Realmuto 138 .272 (37) .339 (47) .475 (24) 3.9% (44) 21.2% (76) 7.3% (86)
Rhys Hoskins 155 .248 (79) .335 (51) .463 (34) 4.5% (29) 25.1% (110) 10.8% (25)
Alec Bohm 151 .279 (29) .315 (88) .398 (91) 2.1% (108) 17.3% (43) 4.9% (124)
Bryce Harper 100 .284 (-) .362 (-) .508 (-) 4.2% (-) 20.4% (-) 10.8% (-)

Astros vs. Phillies Picks and Predictions

Our prediction for this matchup is the Astros to earn the win (-186 on the moneyline), while we predict the total score will go over the total (7.5 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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