Astros vs Diamondbacks Today: Picks, Predictions, Moneyline and Odds – Sunday, October 1

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On Sunday, the Arizona Diamondbacks (84-77) are hosting the Houston Astros (89-72), at 3:10 PM ET. The Astros have taken three in a row. The starting pitchers are Cristian Javier (9-5) for the Astros, and Kyle Nelson (7-3) for the Diamondbacks.

Despite playing away from their home ballpark, the Astros are favored to win (-142) over the Diamondbacks (+120). The contest has a total set at 9.5.

Astros vs. Diamondbacks Odds

Run Line

Houston Astros (-1.5)

Moneyline

Astros (-142)

Total

9.5 Runs (Over: -110, Under: -110)

When, Where, at What Time is Astros vs. Diamondbacks

  • Game Day: Sunday, October 1, 2023
  • Game Time: 3:10 PM ET
  • TV Channel: BSAZ
  • Location: Phoenix, Arizona
  • Stadium: Chase Field

Astros Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Luis Garcia 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Lance McCullers Jr. 60-Day Injured List Forearm
J.P. France Day-to-day Personal
Ryne Stanek Paternity List Personal

Diamondbacks Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Scott McGough 15-Day Injured List Shoulder
Tommy Henry 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Drey Jameson 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Dominic Fletcher 60-Day Injured List Finger
Austin Adams 60-Day Injured List Ankle
Mark Melancon 60-Day Injured List Shoulder
Corbin Martin 60-Day Injured List Back
Sebasrian Santana Restricted List Personal

Last Time Out: Astros and Diamondbacks

These squads play again following the Astros’ 1-0 victory over the Diamondbacks yesterday. Justin Verlander (5.0 IP, 0 R, 2 H, 5 K) picked up the win for the Astros. Jose Abreu went 1-for-4 with a double and an RBI to lead the team on offense. Merrill Kelly (7.0 IP, 1 R, 5 H, 5 K) took the loss on the mound for the Diamondbacks.

Betting Trends

Astros Betting Records and Team Stats

The Astros have been favorites in 117 games this season and won 61 (52.1%) of those contests. Houston is 39-37 this season when entering a game favored by -142 or more on the moneyline. The moneyline for this contest implies a 58.7% chance of a victory for the Astros. Games involving Houston have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 84 of 161 chances this season. In 161 games with a spread this season, the Astros are 79-82-0 ATS.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Kyle Tucker 156 .282 (19) .369 (15) .512 (16) 4.4% (32) 13.7% (9) 12.1% (22)
Alex Bregman 160 .261 (69) .363 (20) .432 (77) 3.3% (77) 12.1% (7) 12.8% (17)
Yordan Alvarez 113 .290 (-) .404 (-) .580 (-) 6.3% (-) 18.7% (-) 13.8% (-)
Jose Altuve 89 .312 (-) .394 (-) .525 (-) 4.2% (-) 17.2% (-) 10.8% (-)
Jeremy Pena 148 .267 (52) .326 (70) .385 (116) 1.6% (127) 20.4% (64) 6.7% (94)

Diamondbacks Betting Records and Team Stats

The Diamondbacks have won in 40, or 46.5%, of the 86 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year. This year, Arizona has won 17 of 43 games when listed as at least +120 or worse on the moneyline. The Diamondbacks have an implied victory probability of 45.5% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup. Arizona and their opponents have hit the over in 71 of their 161 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The Diamondbacks are 88-73-0 against the spread in their 161 games that had a posted line this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Corbin Carroll 153 .287 (15) .363 (20) .510 (18) 3.9% (44) 19.6% (58) 8.9% (66)
Christian Walker 157 .258 (78) .333 (59) .497 (23) 5% (19) 19.2% (52) 9.4% (60)
Ketel Marte 149 .276 (30) .358 (26) .485 (29) 3.8% (48) 16.8% (33) 10.9% (27)
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 144 .261 (69) .310 (112) .463 (49) 4.1% (37) 17.3% (35) 5.6% (119)
Tommy Pham 125 .256 (-) .328 (-) .446 (-) 3.3% (-) 22% (-) 9.8% (-)

Astros vs. Diamondbacks Picks and Predictions

Our pick for this matchup is the Diamondbacks to win (+120 on the moneyline), while we project the total score will go under the total (9.5 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Stacy Sailer

Stacy has been a baseball fan for as long as she can remember. She admits that she grew up as a spoiled Yankees fan in the late-90’s/early 2000’s, but has slowly evolved into a disgruntled Yankees fan due to their lone championship title in the last 21 seasons. She follows other sports, but her first love has always been baseball and loves getting to share her insight and knowledge with the Betsperts community.

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