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The Minnesota Twins and the Houston Astros take the field for Game 3 of the ALDS on Tuesday at 4:07 PM ET at Target Field. The series is tied 1-1. The Twins will give the start to Sonny Gray (8-8), and the Astros will counter with Cristian Javier (10-5).
At home, the Twins are favored to win on the moneyline (-137) over the Astros (+114). The total in this contest is set at 8.
Twins vs. Astros Odds
Run Line
Minnesota Twins (-1.5)
Moneyline
Twins (-137)
Total
8 Runs (Over: -113, Under: -109)
When, Where, at What Time is Twins vs. Astros
- Game Day: Tuesday, October 10, 2023
- Game Time: 4:07 PM ET
- TV Channel: FOX
- Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
- Stadium: Target Field
Twins Injury Report
| Name | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Dallas Keuchel | 15-Day Injured List | Calf |
| Jovani Moran | 60-Day Injured List | Forearm |
| Tyler Mahle | 60-Day Injured List | Elbow |
| Jose Miranda | 60-Day Injured List | Shoulder |
| Nick Gordon | 60-Day Injured List | Shin |
| José De León | 60-Day Injured List | Elbow |
| Oliver Ortega | 60-Day Injured List | Back |
| Matt Canterino | 60-Day Injured List | Elbow |
Astros Injury Report
| Name | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Garcia | 60-Day Injured List | Elbow |
| Lance McCullers Jr. | 60-Day Injured List | Forearm |
Last Time Out: Twins and Astros
These clubs meet again following the Twins’ 6-2 victory over the Astros Tuesday. Pablo Lopez (7.0 IP, 0 R, 6 H, 7 K) picked up the win for the Twins. Carlos Correa went 3-for-4 with two doubles and three RBI to lead the team on offense. Framber Valdez (4.1 IP, 5 R, 7 H, 5 K) was credited with the loss on the mound for the Astros.
Betting Trends
Twins Betting Records and Team Stats
This season, the Twins have been favored 113 times and won 69, or 61.1%, of those games. Minnesota has a record of 43-33 in games where bookmakers favor them by at least -137 on the moneyline. The Twins have a 57.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline. So far this season, Minnesota and its opponents have hit the over in 83 of their 166 games with a total. The Twins have an ATS record of 84-82-0 in 166 games with a spread this season.
| Name | GP | AVG (Rank) | OBP (Rank) | SLG (Rank) | HR% (Rank) | K% (Rank) | BB% (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Kepler | 127 | .260 (-) | .332 (-) | .484 (-) | 4.9% (-) | 21.6% (-) | 9.2% (-) |
| Carlos Correa | 133 | .230 (126) | .312 (108) | .399 (107) | 3.1% (86) | 22.6% (86) | 10.2% (40) |
| Willi Castro | 112 | .257 (-) | .339 (-) | .411 (-) | 2.2% (-) | 24.3% (-) | 8.4% (-) |
| Edouard Julien | 107 | .263 (-) | .381 (-) | .459 (-) | 3.9% (-) | 31.4% (-) | 15.7% (-) |
| Royce Lewis | 58 | .309 (-) | .372 (-) | .548 (-) | 6.3% (-) | 23% (-) | 8.4% (-) |
Astros Betting Records and Team Stats
The Astros have been victorious in 28, or 65.1%, of the 43 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season. This year, Houston has won nine of 17 games when listed as at least +114 or worse on the moneyline. The Astros have an implied victory probability of 46.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup. Houston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 86 of their 164 opportunities. The Astros have posted a record of 81-83-0 against the spread this season.
| Name | GP | AVG (Rank) | OBP (Rank) | SLG (Rank) | HR% (Rank) | K% (Rank) | BB% (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Tucker | 157 | .284 (18) | .369 (15) | .517 (13) | 4.3% (32) | 13.8% (9) | 12% (22) |
| Alex Bregman | 161 | .262 (66) | .363 (20) | .441 (69) | 3.5% (65) | 12% (7) | 12.7% (17) |
| Yordan Alvarez | 114 | .293 (-) | .407 (-) | .583 (-) | 6.3% (-) | 18.5% (-) | 13.9% (-) |
| Jose Altuve | 90 | .311 (-) | .393 (-) | .522 (-) | 4.1% (-) | 17.3% (-) | 10.7% (-) |
| Jeremy Pena | 149 | .263 (61) | .324 (80) | .381 (120) | 1.6% (126) | 20.5% (64) | 6.8% (95) |
Twins vs. Astros Picks and Predictions
We predict that the Twins will pick up the victory in this game, and they’re our choice on the moneyline (-137). If you’re looking for a pick on the over/under, we see the final scoring winding up over the total (8 runs).