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In the final game of a four-game series at Fenway Park, the Baltimore Orioles (80-75) meet the Boston Red Sox (74-81), Thursday at 1:35 PM ET. The starting pitchers are Nathan Eovaldi (5-3) for the Red Sox, and Mike Baumann (1-3) for the Orioles.
The Orioles (+136) are on the road versus the favored Red Sox (-159). The game has an over/under set at 8.5 runs.
Red Sox vs. Orioles Odds
Run Line
Boston Red Sox (-1.5)
Moneyline
Red Sox (-159)
Total
8.5 Runs (Over: -120, Under: -101)
When, Where, at What Time is Red Sox vs. Orioles
- Game Day: Thursday, September 29, 2022
- Game Time: 1:35 PM ET
- Location: Boston, Massachusetts
- Stadium: Fenway Park
Red Sox Injury Report
| Name | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Hosmer | 10 Day Injury List | Back |
| Trevor Story | 10 Day Injury List | Heel |
| Garrett Whitlock | 15 Day Injury List | Hip |
| Kutter Crawford | 15 Day Injury List | Shoulder |
| Nathan Eovaldi | 15 Day Injury List | Neck |
| James Paxton | 60 Day Injury List | Elbow |
| Franchy Cordero | 60 Day Injury List | Ankle |
| Tanner Houck | 60 Day Injury List | Back |
| Josh Taylor | 60 Day Injury List | Back |
| Chris Sale | 60 Day Injury List | Finger/Wrist |
| Christian Arroyo | Day-to-day | Illness |
Orioles Injury Report
| Name | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Ramón Urías | 10 Day Injury List | Knee |
| Tyler Wells | 15 Day Injury List | Shouder |
| John Means | 60 Day Injury List | Elbow |
| Chris Ellis | 60 Day Injury List | Shoulder |
| Isaiah Kearns | Restricted List | Personal |
Last Time Out: Red Sox and Orioles
Rich Hill (6.00 IP, 0 R, 5 H, 9 K) was credited with the win in the Red Sox’s 3-1 victory over the Orioles yesterday. Alex Verdugo led the way offensively, going 2-for-4 with a home run and two RBI. Dean Kremer (5.00 IP, 3 R, 6 H, 2 K) took the loss for the Orioles.
Betting Trends
Red Sox Betting Records and Team Stats
The Red Sox have been favorites in 79 games this season and won 47 (59.5%) of those contests. Boston has a record of 18-8, a 69.2% win rate, when favored by -159 or more by sportsbooks this season. Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 61.4% chance to win. Boston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 74 of their 158 opportunities. In 158 games with a spread this season, the Red Sox are 81-77-0 ATS.
| Name | GP | AVG (Rank) | OBP (Rank) | SLG (Rank) | HR% (Rank) | K% (Rank) | BB% (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers | 135 | .294 (16) | .356 (27) | .522 (10) | 4.6% (27) | 18.9% (66) | 7.9% (77) |
| Xander Bogaerts | 145 | .309 (6) | .379 (8) | .457 (42) | 2.3% (100) | 18.7% (63) | 9.1% (53) |
| Alex Verdugo | 146 | .284 (26) | .332 (57) | .412 (82) | 1.8% (115) | 13.4% (15) | 6.6% (103) |
| J.D. Martínez | 137 | .272 (40) | .341 (43) | .434 (62) | 2.3% (100) | 24.1% (105) | 8.9% (62) |
| Tommy Pham | 144 | .244 (91) | .321 (76) | .386 (109) | 2.8% (81) | 27.1% (123) | 9.1% (53) |
Orioles Betting Records and Team Stats
The Orioles have won in 63, or 48.8%, of the 129 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year. This season, Baltimore has come away with a win 30 times in 65 chances when named as an underdog of at least +136 or longer on the moneyline. The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 42.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup. Baltimore and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 72 of their 157 opportunities. The Orioles have an against the spread mark of 99-58-0 in 157 games with a line this season.
| Name | GP | AVG (Rank) | OBP (Rank) | SLG (Rank) | HR% (Rank) | K% (Rank) | BB% (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander | 146 | .248 (82) | .323 (70) | .469 (30) | 5.3% (13) | 18.6% (61) | 8.2% (71) |
| Cedric Mullins | 150 | .261 (64) | .320 (80) | .410 (84) | 2.5% (92) | 18.5% (58) | 6.8% (101) |
| Ryan Mountcastle | 140 | .246 (86) | .301 (113) | .424 (71) | 3.8% (48) | 25.1% (114) | 7.0% (92) |
| Austin Hays | 139 | .252 (77) | .309 (102) | .416 (77) | 2.9% (77) | 19.5% (72) | 5.9% (113) |
| Adley Rutschman | 107 | .254 (-) | .358 (-) | .447 (-) | 2.9% (-) | 18.2% (-) | 13.3% (-) |
Red Sox vs. Orioles Picks and Predictions
We predict that the Red Sox will pick up the win in this contest, and they’re our choice on the moneyline (-159). If you’re looking for a pick on the over/under, we predict the final scoring winding up over the total (8.5 runs).