Red Sox vs Orioles Today: Picks, Predictions, Moneyline and Odds – Thursday, September 29

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In the final game of a four-game series at Fenway Park, the Baltimore Orioles (80-75) meet the Boston Red Sox (74-81), Thursday at 1:35 PM ET. The starting pitchers are Nathan Eovaldi (5-3) for the Red Sox, and Mike Baumann (1-3) for the Orioles.

The Orioles (+136) are on the road versus the favored Red Sox (-159). The game has an over/under set at 8.5 runs.

Red Sox vs. Orioles Odds

Run Line

Boston Red Sox (-1.5)

Moneyline

Red Sox (-159)

Total

8.5 Runs (Over: -120, Under: -101)

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When, Where, at What Time is Red Sox vs. Orioles

  • Game Day: Thursday, September 29, 2022
  • Game Time: 1:35 PM ET
  • Location: Boston, Massachusetts
  • Stadium: Fenway Park

Red Sox Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Eric Hosmer 10 Day Injury List Back
Trevor Story 10 Day Injury List Heel
Garrett Whitlock 15 Day Injury List Hip
Kutter Crawford 15 Day Injury List Shoulder
Nathan Eovaldi 15 Day Injury List Neck
James Paxton 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Franchy Cordero 60 Day Injury List Ankle
Tanner Houck 60 Day Injury List Back
Josh Taylor 60 Day Injury List Back
Chris Sale 60 Day Injury List Finger/Wrist
Christian Arroyo Day-to-day Illness

Orioles Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Ramón Urías 10 Day Injury List Knee
Tyler Wells 15 Day Injury List Shouder
John Means 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Chris Ellis 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
Isaiah Kearns Restricted List Personal

Last Time Out: Red Sox and Orioles

Rich Hill (6.00 IP, 0 R, 5 H, 9 K) was credited with the win in the Red Sox’s 3-1 victory over the Orioles yesterday. Alex Verdugo led the way offensively, going 2-for-4 with a home run and two RBI. Dean Kremer (5.00 IP, 3 R, 6 H, 2 K) took the loss for the Orioles.

Betting Trends

Red Sox Betting Records and Team Stats

The Red Sox have been favorites in 79 games this season and won 47 (59.5%) of those contests. Boston has a record of 18-8, a 69.2% win rate, when favored by -159 or more by sportsbooks this season. Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 61.4% chance to win. Boston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 74 of their 158 opportunities. In 158 games with a spread this season, the Red Sox are 81-77-0 ATS.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Rafael Devers 135 .294 (16) .356 (27) .522 (10) 4.6% (27) 18.9% (66) 7.9% (77)
Xander Bogaerts 145 .309 (6) .379 (8) .457 (42) 2.3% (100) 18.7% (63) 9.1% (53)
Alex Verdugo 146 .284 (26) .332 (57) .412 (82) 1.8% (115) 13.4% (15) 6.6% (103)
J.D. Martínez 137 .272 (40) .341 (43) .434 (62) 2.3% (100) 24.1% (105) 8.9% (62)
Tommy Pham 144 .244 (91) .321 (76) .386 (109) 2.8% (81) 27.1% (123) 9.1% (53)

Orioles Betting Records and Team Stats

The Orioles have won in 63, or 48.8%, of the 129 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year. This season, Baltimore has come away with a win 30 times in 65 chances when named as an underdog of at least +136 or longer on the moneyline. The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 42.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup. Baltimore and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 72 of their 157 opportunities. The Orioles have an against the spread mark of 99-58-0 in 157 games with a line this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Anthony Santander 146 .248 (82) .323 (70) .469 (30) 5.3% (13) 18.6% (61) 8.2% (71)
Cedric Mullins 150 .261 (64) .320 (80) .410 (84) 2.5% (92) 18.5% (58) 6.8% (101)
Ryan Mountcastle 140 .246 (86) .301 (113) .424 (71) 3.8% (48) 25.1% (114) 7.0% (92)
Austin Hays 139 .252 (77) .309 (102) .416 (77) 2.9% (77) 19.5% (72) 5.9% (113)
Adley Rutschman 107 .254 (-) .358 (-) .447 (-) 2.9% (-) 18.2% (-) 13.3% (-)

Red Sox vs. Orioles Picks and Predictions

We predict that the Red Sox will pick up the win in this contest, and they’re our choice on the moneyline (-159). If you’re looking for a pick on the over/under, we predict the final scoring winding up over the total (8.5 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Stacy Sailer

Stacy has been a baseball fan for as long as she can remember. She admits that she grew up as a spoiled Yankees fan in the late-90’s/early 2000’s, but has slowly evolved into a disgruntled Yankees fan due to their lone championship title in the last 21 seasons. She follows other sports, but her first love has always been baseball and loves getting to share her insight and knowledge with the Betsperts community.

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