Phillies vs Diamondbacks NLCS Game 4 Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – October 20, 2023

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The Philadelphia Phillies visit the Arizona Diamondbacks for Game 4 of the NLCS on Friday at 8:07 PM ET at Chase Field. The Phillies have a 2-1 series lead. The starting pitchers are Cristopher Sanchez (3-5) for the Phillies, and Joe Mantiply (2-2) for the Diamondbacks.

Despite playing away from their home ballpark, the Phillies are favored to win (-134) over the Diamondbacks (+112). The contest has an over/under set at 9.5.

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Odds

Run Line

Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)

Moneyline

Phillies (-134)

Total

9.5 Runs (Over: -107, Under: -114)

When, Where, at What Time is Phillies vs. Diamondbacks

  • Game Day: Friday, October 20, 2023
  • Game Time: 8:07 PM ET
  • TV Channel: TBS
  • Location: Phoenix, Arizona
  • Stadium: Chase Field

Phillies Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Erich Uelmen 60-Day Injured List Hip Flexor
Rhys Hoskins 60-Day Injured List Knee

Diamondbacks Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Tommy Henry 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Drey Jameson 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Dominic Fletcher 60-Day Injured List Finger
Austin Adams 60-Day Injured List Ankle
Mark Melancon 60-Day Injured List Shoulder
Corbin Martin 60-Day Injured List Back
Sebasrian Santana Restricted List Personal

Last Time Out: Phillies and Diamondbacks

Paul Sewald (1.0 IP, 0 R, 0 H, 1 K) was credited with a win in the Diamondbacks’ 2-1 victory over the Phillies yesterday. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. led the way offensively, going 2-for-3 with a double and an RBI. Craig Kimbrel (0.1 IP, 1 R, 2 H, 0 K) took the loss for the Phillies.

Betting Trends

Phillies Betting Records and Team Stats

This season, the Phillies have been favored 115 times and won 70, or 60.9%, of those games. Philadelphia is 50-26 this season when entering a game favored by -134 or more on the moneyline. The implied probability of a win from the Phillies, based on the moneyline, is 57.3%. So far this season, Philadelphia and its opponents have hit the over in 79 of their 171 games with a total. The Phillies have an ATS record of 81-90-0 in 171 games with a spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Kyle Schwarber 160 .197 (136) .343 (46) .474 (39) 6.5% (5) 29.9% (130) 17.5% (2)
Trea Turner 155 .266 (52) .320 (89) .459 (52) 3.8% (47) 21.7% (73) 6.5% (102)
Alec Bohm 145 .274 (36) .327 (70) .437 (74) 3.3% (76) 15.4% (16) 6.9% (94)
Bryce Harper 126 .293 (10) .401 (7) .499 (22) 3.8% (47) 21.8% (74) 14.7% (6)
Bryson Stott 151 .280 (23) .329 (65) .419 (88) 2.3% (113) 15.6% (20) 6.1% (109)

Diamondbacks Betting Records and Team Stats

The Diamondbacks have been underdogs in 95 games this season and have come away with the win 46 times (48.4%) in those contests. This season, Arizona has come away with a win 28 times in 59 chances when named as an underdog of at least +112 or longer on the moneyline. The Diamondbacks have an implied victory probability of 47.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup. Arizona and their opponents have gone over in 75 of their 170 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The Diamondbacks are 94-76-0 against the spread in their 170 games that had a posted line this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Corbin Carroll 153 .285 (15) .362 (23) .506 (18) 3.9% (44) 19.6% (57) 8.9% (67)
Christian Walker 157 .258 (76) .333 (58) .497 (23) 5% (18) 19.2% (53) 9.4% (61)
Ketel Marte 149 .276 (28) .358 (27) .485 (30) 3.8% (47) 16.8% (32) 10.9% (27)
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 145 .263 (61) .311 (111) .465 (48) 4.1% (37) 17.4% (36) 5.6% (119)
Tommy Pham 125 .256 (-) .328 (-) .446 (-) 3.3% (-) 22% (-) 9.8% (-)

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Picks and Predictions

Our pick for Phillies vs. Diamondbacks is the Phillies (-134 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. For the over/under, we recommend betting on the under on 9.5 runs.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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