Orioles vs Red Sox Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – October 1, 2023

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The Boston Red Sox (77-84) and Baltimore Orioles (101-60) will meet on Sunday at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, with first pitch at 3:05 PM ET. On the mound for the Orioles will be Kyle Bradish (12-7), matched up against the Red Sox’s Tanner Houck (5-10).

The oddsmakers have spoken, making the Orioles (-181) a moderate moneyline favorite to defeat the Red Sox (+152) at home. The game’s total is 8.

Orioles vs. Red Sox Odds

Run Line

Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)

Moneyline

Orioles (-181)

Total

8 Runs (Over: -107, Under: -114)

When, Where, at What Time is Orioles vs. Red Sox

  • Game Day: Sunday, October 1, 2023
  • Game Time: 3:05 PM ET
  • TV Channel: MASN
  • Location: Baltimore, Maryland
  • Stadium: Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Orioles Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Felix Bautista 15-Day Injured List Arm
Keegan Akin 60-Day Injured List Lower Body
Terrin Vavra 60-Day Injured List Shouder
Dillon Tate 60-Day Injured List Forearm
Adley Rutschman Day-to-day Illness
Ramón Urías Day-to-day Illness
Christopher Ramirez Restricted List Personal
Alexis Cruz Restricted List Personal
Isaiah Kearns Restricted List Personal

Red Sox Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Triston Casas 10-Day Injured List Shouder
Luis Urías 10-Day Injured List Calf
James Paxton 15-Day Injured List Knee
Chris Martin 15-Day Injured List Illness
Joely Rodriguez 15-Day Injured List Hip
Corey Kluber 60-Day Injured List Shoulder
Kaleb Ort 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Jarren Duran 60-Day Injured List Toe
Adalberto Mondesi 60-Day Injured List Knee
Wyatt Mills 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Reese McGuire Day-to-day Thumb

Last Time Out: Orioles and Red Sox

Yesterday, the Orioles claimed a 5-2 victory over the Red Sox, with Bruce Zimmermann (2.0 IP, 0 R, 2 H, 2 K) earning the win for the Orioles. Josh Winckowski (1.0 IP, 2 R, 3 H, 2 K) took the loss for the Red Sox.

Betting Trends

Orioles Betting Records and Team Stats

The Orioles have been favorites in 81 games this season and won 55 (67.9%) of those contests. Baltimore is 21-5 this season when entering a game favored by -181 or more on the moneyline. The Orioles have a 64.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline. Baltimore and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 81 of their 161 opportunities. In 161 games with a spread this season, the Orioles are 97-64-0 ATS.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Adley Rutschman 153 .277 (27) .373 (13) .436 (74) 2.9% (93) 14.6% (13) 13.3% (15)
Gunnar Henderson 149 .257 (82) .325 (74) .492 (24) 4.5% (29) 25.6% (111) 8.9% (66)
Anthony Santander 152 .256 (85) .324 (80) .472 (40) 4.3% (34) 23.3% (95) 8.4% (73)
Austin Hays 141 .275 (33) .325 (74) .444 (66) 2.8% (98) 24.9% (108) 6.7% (94)
Adam Frazier 136 .241 (-) .301 (-) .398 (-) 2.9% (-) 15% (-) 7.1% (-)

Red Sox Betting Records and Team Stats

The Red Sox have won in 36, or 42.9%, of the 84 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year. This season, Boston has come away with a win two times in four chances when named as an underdog of at least +152 or worse on the moneyline. Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 39.7% chance of pulling out a win. Boston and their opponents have gone over in 82 of their 161 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The Red Sox are 75-86-0 against the spread in their 161 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Rafael Devers 152 .271 (45) .350 (36) .501 (20) 5% (19) 19.3% (54) 9.3% (61)
Justin Turner 145 .277 (27) .347 (40) .458 (56) 3.7% (55) 17.3% (35) 8.2% (81)
Masataka Yoshida 139 .288 (14) .338 (50) .444 (66) 2.6% (105) 13.9% (10) 5.9% (113)
Alex Verdugo 138 .262 (65) .322 (85) .420 (90) 2.2% (115) 15.5% (17) 7.5% (87)
Adam Duvall 90 .247 (-) .303 (-) .531 (-) 5.9% (-) 31.2% (-) 6.2% (-)

Orioles vs. Red Sox Picks and Predictions

Our pick for Orioles vs. Red Sox sees the Orioles (-181 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. For the total, we prefer the under on 8 runs.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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