Orioles vs Rangers ALDS Game 1 Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – October 7, 2023

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The Baltimore Orioles meet the Texas Rangers in the opening game of the ALDS on Saturday at 1:03 PM ET at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. On the hill for the Orioles will be Kyle Bradish (12-7), matched up against the Rangers’ Andrew Heaney (10-6).

At home, the Orioles are favored to win on the moneyline (-149) over the Rangers (+123). The game has an over/under set at 8 runs.

Orioles vs. Rangers Odds

Run Line

Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)

Moneyline

Orioles (-149)

Total

8 Runs (Over: -112, Under: -109)

When, Where, at What Time is Orioles vs. Rangers

  • Game Day: Saturday, October 7, 2023
  • Game Time: 1:03 PM ET
  • TV Channel: FOX
  • Location: Baltimore, Maryland
  • Stadium: Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Orioles Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Keegan Akin 60-Day Injured List Lower Body
Terrin Vavra 60-Day Injured List Shouder
Dillon Tate 60-Day Injured List Forearm
Felix Bautista Day-to-day Arm
Christopher Ramirez Restricted List Personal
Alexis Cruz Restricted List Personal
Isaiah Kearns Restricted List Personal

Rangers Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Jon Gray 15-Day Injured List Wrist
Jacob deGrom 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Ian Kennedy 60-Day Injured List Rotator Cuff
Brad Miller 60-Day Injured List Hamstring
Jake Odorizzi 60-Day Injured List Shoulder
Brett Martin 60-Day Injured List Shoulder

Last Time Out: Orioles and Rangers

The Orioles lost 6-1 against the Red Sox Saturday, with Danny Coulombe getting credited with the loss. He threw one inning, giving up one earned run on two hits while striking out two.

The Rangers knocked off the Rays 7-1 Saturday. Josh Jung went 3-for-4 with two doubles, a triple and an RBI, and Nathan Eovaldi got the win, pitching 6 2/3 innings, giving up one earned run on six hits while striking out eight.

Betting Trends

Orioles Betting Records and Team Stats

This season, the Orioles have been favored 82 times and won 55, or 67.1%, of those games. Baltimore has a record of 35-13 in games where oddsmakers favor them by at least -149 on the moneyline. The implied probability of a win from the Orioles, based on the moneyline, is 59.8%. So far this season, Baltimore and its opponents have hit the over in 81 of their 162 games with a total. The Orioles have an ATS record of 97-65-0 in 162 games with a spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Adley Rutschman 154 .277 (27) .374 (12) .435 (76) 2.9% (93) 14.7% (14) 13.4% (15)
Gunnar Henderson 150 .255 (85) .325 (76) .489 (27) 4.5% (27) 25.6% (111) 9% (66)
Anthony Santander 153 .255 (85) .323 (80) .470 (41) 4.3% (32) 23.2% (94) 8.4% (73)
Austin Hays 141 .275 (32) .325 (76) .444 (67) 2.8% (98) 24.9% (108) 6.7% (96)
Ryan Mountcastle 115 .270 (-) .328 (-) .452 (-) 3.8% (-) 22.8% (-) 7.9% (-)

Rangers Betting Records and Team Stats

The Rangers have been victorious in 27, or 50%, of the 54 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season. Texas has a win-loss record of 9-12 when favored by +123 or worse by oddsmakers this year. The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rangers have a 44.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest. Texas and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 85 of their 164 opportunities. The Rangers have an against the spread record of 88-76-0 in 164 games with a line this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Marcus Semien 162 .276 (28) .348 (39) .478 (33) 3.9% (44) 14.6% (12) 9.6% (54)
Corey Seager 119 .325 (5) .388 (10) .621 (2) 6.2% (8) 16.4% (27) 9.1% (64)
Adolis García 148 .245 (106) .328 (68) .508 (18) 6.2% (8) 27.7% (121) 10.3% (36)
Nate Lowe 161 .262 (66) .360 (24) .414 (95) 2.3% (113) 22.8% (90) 12.8% (16)
Jonah Heim 128 .260 (73) .319 (90) .442 (69) 3.6% (61) 19.2% (53) 8% (83)

Orioles vs. Rangers Picks and Predictions

We pick that the Orioles will pick up the win in this matchup, and they’re our choice on the moneyline (-149). If you’re looking for a pick on the over/under, we predict the final scoring winding up under the total (8 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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