Mets vs Braves Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – August 6, 2022

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In the third game of a five-game set at Citi Field, the Atlanta Braves (63-43) meet the New York Mets (67-39), Saturday at 1:10 PM ET. On the hill for the Mets will be David Peterson (5-2), opposed by the Braves’ Jake Odorizzi (4-3).

The Braves (+112) are on the road versus the favored Mets (-133). The total for this contest is set at 6.5.

Mets vs. Braves Odds

Run Line

New York Mets (-1.5)

Moneyline

Mets (-133)

Total

6.5 Runs (Over: -120, Under: -102)

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When, Where, at What Time is Mets vs. Braves

  • Game Day: Saturday, August 6, 2022
  • Game Time: 1:10 PM ET
  • Location: Queens, New York
  • Stadium: Citi Field

Mets Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Dominic Smith 10 Day Injury List Ankle
Drew Smith 15 Day Injury List Back
Joey Lucchesi 60 Day Injury List Elbow
John Curtiss 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Sean Reid-Foley 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Tylor Megill 60 Day Injury List Shoulder

Braves Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Mike Ford 10 Day Injury List Neck
Adam Duvall 10 Day Injury List Wrist
Darren O’Day 15 Day Injury List Calf
Ozzie Albies 60 Day Injury List Foot
Mike Soroka 60 Day Injury List Achilles
Kirby Yates 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Manny Piña 60 Day Injury List Wrist
Luke Jackson 60 Day Injury List Elbow

Last Time Out: Mets and Braves

Yesterday, the Braves claimed a 9-6 victory over the Mets, with A.J. Minter (1.00 IP, 0 R, 0 H, 3 K) earning the win for the Braves. Eddie Rosario finished 2-for-5 with a double, a home run and four RBI to lead the offensive attack. Taijuan Walker (1.00 IP, 8 R, 7 H, 0 K) was credited with the loss for the Mets.

Betting Trends

Mets Betting Records and Team Stats

This season, the Mets have won 53 out of the 78 games, or 67.9%, in which they’ve been favored. New York is 37-19 this season when entering a game favored by -133 or more on the moneyline. The implied probability of a win from the Mets, based on the moneyline, is 57.1%. New York’s games have gone over the total in 55 of their 106 chances. The Mets have an ATS record of 57-49-0 in 106 games with a spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Pete Alonso 105 .278 (39) .357 (32) .551 (6) 6.4% (6) 19.5% (73) 9.3% (64)
Francisco Lindor 105 .262 (61) .341 (57) .456 (48) 4.1% (39) 20.0% (79) 9.5% (57)
Brandon Nimmo 98 .272 (45) .352 (36) .428 (66) 2.3% (100) 16.8% (50) 9.0% (70)
Starling Marte 89 .298 (20) .344 (47) .463 (38) 2.8% (83) 19.5% (73) 4.6% (143)
Jeff McNeil 93 .303 (14) .360 (28) .436 (62) 1.7% (122) 12.7% (13) 6.6% (107)

Braves Betting Records and Team Stats

The Braves have won in eight, or 34.8%, of the 23 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year. This season, Atlanta has come away with a win three times in eight chances when named as an underdog of at least +112 or longer on the moneyline. The Braves have an implied victory probability of 47.2% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup. Atlanta’s games have gone over the total in 54 of their 107 opportunities. In 107 games with a line this season, the Braves have a mark of 53-54-0 against the spread.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Austin Riley 105 .297 (21) .359 (29) .591 (5) 6.4% (6) 24.9% (119) 7.3% (95)
Matt Olson 107 .248 (94) .337 (61) .489 (24) 4.5% (31) 24.9% (119) 11.3% (32)
Dansby Swanson 107 .299 (18) .356 (34) .466 (34) 3.3% (60) 26.0% (132) 7.6% (91)
Marcell Ozuna 101 .219 (138) .271 (143) .399 (96) 4.5% (31) 22.6% (99) 6.4% (115)
Ronald Acuña Jr. 72 .266 (-) .362 (-) .403 (-) 2.8% (-) 23.2% (-) 10.5% (-)

Mets vs. Braves Picks and Predictions

We predict that the Mets will pick up the victory in this game, and they’re our choice on the moneyline (-133). If you’re looking for a pick on the over/under, we predict the final scoring winding up over the total (6.5 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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