Dodgers vs Diamondbacks NLDS Game 3 Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – October 11, 2023

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The Los Angeles Dodgers visit the Arizona Diamondbacks for Game 3 of the NLDS on Wednesday at 9:07 PM ET at Chase Field. The Diamondbacks are up 2-0 in the series and can sweep with a victory. The scheduled starters are Lance Lynn (13-11) for the Dodgers, and Brandon Pfaadt (3-9) for the Diamondbacks.

Despite playing on the road, the Dodgers are still a decent moneyline favorite (-149) over the Diamondbacks (+123). The contest has an over/under set at 9.5.

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Odds

Run Line

Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)

Moneyline

Dodgers (-149)

Total

9.5 Runs (Over: -119, Under: -102)

When, Where, at What Time is Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks

  • Game Day: Wednesday, October 11, 2023
  • Game Time: 9:07 PM ET
  • TV Channel: TBS
  • Location: Phoenix, Arizona
  • Stadium: Chase Field

Dodgers Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Tony Gonsolin 60-Day Injured List Forearm
Dustin May 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Gus Varland 60-Day Injured List Knee
Jake Marisnick 60-Day Injured List Hamstring
Daniel Hudson 60-Day Injured List Knee
Tyler Cyr 60-Day Injured List Shoulder
Gavin Lux 60-Day Injured List Knee
Jimmy Nelson 60-Day Injured List Elbow
J.P. Feyereisen 60-Day Injured List Shoulder
Blake Treinen 60-Day Injured List Shoulder
Walker Buehler 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Álex Reyes 60-Day Injured List Shoulder

Diamondbacks Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Tommy Henry 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Drey Jameson 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Dominic Fletcher 60-Day Injured List Finger
Austin Adams 60-Day Injured List Ankle
Mark Melancon 60-Day Injured List Shoulder
Corbin Martin 60-Day Injured List Back
Sebasrian Santana Restricted List Personal

Last Time Out: Dodgers and Diamondbacks

The Diamondbacks beat the Dodgers 4-2 Wednesday, with Zac Gallen getting the win (5.1 IP, 2 R, 5 H, 4 K) and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. leading the way offensively (going 2-for-3 with a home run and two RBI). Bobby Miller (1.2 IP, 3 R, 4 H, 1 K) took the loss for the Dodgers.

Betting Trends

Dodgers Betting Records and Team Stats

The Dodgers have entered the game as favorites 139 times this season and won 87, or 62.6%, of those games. This season, Los Angeles has won 56 of its 89 games, or 62.9%, when favored by at least -149 on the moneyline. The moneyline for this contest implies a 59.8% chance of a victory for the Dodgers. Los Angeles’ games have gone over the total in 88 of their 163 chances. The Dodgers are 89-74-0 against the spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Mookie Betts 152 .307 (6) .408 (6) .579 (5) 5.6% (13) 15.4% (16) 13.9% (12)
Freddie Freeman 161 .331 (3) .410 (3) .567 (6) 4% (41) 16.6% (31) 9.9% (47)
Max Muncy 135 .212 (133) .333 (58) .475 (36) 6.2% (8) 26.4% (117) 14.7% (6)
Will Smith 125 .261 (71) .359 (26) .438 (71) 3.4% (72) 16.1% (25) 11.4% (24)
J.D. Martínez 112 .271 (-) .321 (-) .572 (-) 6.9% (-) 31.2% (-) 7.1% (-)

Diamondbacks Betting Records and Team Stats

The Diamondbacks have been underdogs in 91 games this season and have come away with the win 44 times (48.4%) in those contests. This year, Arizona has won 19 of 42 games when listed as at least +123 or worse on the moneyline. The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Diamondbacks have a 44.8% chance of walking away with the win. Arizona and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 73 of their 166 opportunities. The Diamondbacks have an against the spread mark of 92-74-0 in 166 games with a line this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Corbin Carroll 153 .285 (15) .362 (23) .506 (18) 3.9% (44) 19.6% (57) 8.9% (67)
Christian Walker 157 .258 (76) .333 (58) .497 (23) 5% (18) 19.2% (53) 9.4% (61)
Ketel Marte 149 .276 (28) .358 (27) .485 (30) 3.8% (47) 16.8% (32) 10.9% (27)
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 145 .263 (61) .311 (111) .465 (48) 4.1% (37) 17.4% (36) 5.6% (119)
Tommy Pham 125 .256 (-) .328 (-) .446 (-) 3.3% (-) 22% (-) 9.8% (-)

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Picks and Predictions

Our recommended pick for this matchup is the Dodgers to earn the win (-149 on the moneyline), while we predict the total score will go under the total (9.5 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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