Dodgers vs Diamondbacks NLDS Game 1 Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – October 7, 2023

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The Los Angeles Dodgers host the Arizona Diamondbacks in the opening game of the NLDS on Saturday at 9:20 PM ET at Dodger Stadium. Clayton Kershaw (13-5) is the starter for the Dodgers, and Merrill Kelly (12-8) for the Diamondbacks.

At home, the Dodgers are favored to win on the moneyline (-203) over the Diamondbacks (+166). The total in this contest is 8.

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Odds

Run Line

Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)

Moneyline

Dodgers (-203)

Total

8 Runs (Over: -110, Under: -110)

When, Where, at What Time is Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks

  • Game Day: Saturday, October 7, 2023
  • Game Time: 9:20 PM ET
  • TV Channel: TBS
  • Location: Los Angeles, California
  • Stadium: Dodger Stadium

Dodgers Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Tony Gonsolin 60-Day Injured List Forearm
Dustin May 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Gus Varland 60-Day Injured List Knee
Jake Marisnick 60-Day Injured List Hamstring
Daniel Hudson 60-Day Injured List Knee
Tyler Cyr 60-Day Injured List Shoulder
Gavin Lux 60-Day Injured List Knee
Jimmy Nelson 60-Day Injured List Elbow
J.P. Feyereisen 60-Day Injured List Shoulder
Blake Treinen 60-Day Injured List Shoulder
Walker Buehler 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Álex Reyes 60-Day Injured List Shoulder

Diamondbacks Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Tommy Henry 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Drey Jameson 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Dominic Fletcher 60-Day Injured List Finger
Austin Adams 60-Day Injured List Ankle
Mark Melancon 60-Day Injured List Shoulder
Corbin Martin 60-Day Injured List Back
Gabriel Moreno Day-to-day Head
Sebasrian Santana Restricted List Personal

Last Time Out: Dodgers and Diamondbacks

The Dodgers won their most recent contest versus the Giants by a 5-2 score Saturday, with Victor Gonzalez picking up the win pitching going one inning without giving up a hit or an earned run while striking out one. Kike Hernandez went 1-for-4 with a home run and three RBI to lead them offensively.

The Diamondbacks knocked off the Brewers 5-2 Saturday. Alek Thomas led the way offensively after going 1-for-4 with a home run and an RBI, and Zac Gallen got the win, throwing six innings, giving up two earned runs on five hits while striking out four.

Betting Trends

Dodgers Betting Records and Team Stats

The Dodgers have been favorites in 137 games this season and won 87 (63.5%) of those contests. Los Angeles has a record of 25-11 in games where bookmakers favor them by at least -203 on the moneyline. Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Dodgers have a 67% chance to win. So far this season, Los Angeles and its opponents have hit the over in 87 of their 161 games with a total. The Dodgers are 89-72-0 against the spread in their 161 chances this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Mookie Betts 152 .307 (6) .408 (6) .579 (5) 5.6% (13) 15.4% (16) 13.9% (12)
Freddie Freeman 161 .331 (3) .410 (3) .567 (6) 4% (41) 16.6% (31) 9.9% (47)
Max Muncy 135 .212 (133) .333 (58) .475 (36) 6.2% (8) 26.4% (117) 14.7% (6)
Will Smith 125 .261 (71) .359 (26) .438 (72) 3.4% (72) 16.1% (25) 11.4% (24)
J.D. Martínez 112 .271 (-) .321 (-) .572 (-) 6.9% (-) 31.2% (-) 7.1% (-)

Diamondbacks Betting Records and Team Stats

The Diamondbacks have come away with 42 wins in the 89 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season. Arizona has a win-loss record of 4-5 when favored by +166 or worse by oddsmakers this year. Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Diamondbacks have a 37.6% chance of pulling out a win. Arizona and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 72 of their 164 opportunities. The Diamondbacks are 90-74-0 against the spread in their 164 games that had a posted line this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Corbin Carroll 153 .287 (15) .363 (20) .510 (17) 3.9% (44) 19.6% (57) 8.9% (67)
Christian Walker 157 .258 (78) .333 (58) .497 (24) 5% (18) 19.2% (53) 9.4% (61)
Ketel Marte 149 .276 (28) .358 (27) .485 (30) 3.8% (47) 16.8% (32) 10.9% (27)
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 145 .263 (62) .311 (111) .465 (48) 4.1% (37) 17.4% (36) 5.6% (119)
Tommy Pham 125 .256 (-) .328 (-) .446 (-) 3.3% (-) 22% (-) 9.8% (-)

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Picks and Predictions

Our prediction for this matchup is the Dodgers to win (-203 on the moneyline), while we predict the scoring will go under the total (8 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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