Brewers vs Mets Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – April 5, 2023

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On Wednesday, the Milwaukee Brewers (4-1) are hosting the New York Mets (3-3), at 1:40 PM ET. The Brewers have won four in a row. The scheduled starters are Corbin Burnes for the Brewers, and David Peterson (0-1) for the Mets.

The oddsmakers have spoken, making the Brewers (-136) a moderate moneyline favorite to beat the Mets (+117) at home. The contest has an over/under set at 7.5.

Brewers vs. Mets Odds

Run Line

Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)

Moneyline

Brewers (-136)

Total

7.5 Runs (Over: -108, Under: -113)

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When, Where, at What Time is Brewers vs. Mets

  • Game Day: Wednesday, April 5, 2023
  • Game Time: 1:40 PM ET
  • Location: Milwaukee, Wisconsin
  • Stadium: American Family Field

Brewers Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Luis Urías 10-Day Injured List Hamstring
Tyrone Taylor 10-Day Injured List Elbow
Adrian Houser 15-Day Injured List Groin
Aaron Ashby 15-Day Injured List Shoulder
Justin Wilson 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Jason Alexander 60-Day Injured List Shouder
Devin Williams Day-to-day Bicep

Mets Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Tommy Hunter 15-Day Injured List Back
Elieser Hernandez 15-Day Injured List Shoulder
Justin Verlander 15-Day Injured List Shoulder
José Quintana 15-Day Injured List Ribs
Sam Coonrod 15-Day Injured List Back
Stephen Ridings 15-Day Injured List Shoulder
Edwin Díaz 60-Day Injured List Knee
Bryce Montes de Oca 60-Day Injured List Elbow

Last Time Out: Brewers and Mets

Betting Trends

Brewers Betting Records and Team Stats (2022)

Last season, the Brewers were favored 125 times and won 71, or 56.8%, of those games. Milwaukee had a record of 58-39, a 59.8% win rate, when it was favored by -136 or more by bookmakers last season. Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Brewers have a 57.6% chance to win. Games involving Milwaukee went over the total set by sportsbooks in 75 of 162 chances last season. The Brewers were 69-93-0 against the spread in their 162 chances last season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Rowdy Tellez 153 .219 (121) .316 (88) .461 (36) 5.8% (4) 20.2% (70) 11.9% (20)
Willy Adames 139 .238 (100) .302 (108) .458 (39) 5.0% (14) 26.9% (119) 8.4% (74)
Christian Yelich 155 .252 (73) .360 (27) .383 (111) 2.1% (108) 24.2% (98) 13.9% (8)
Jesse Winker 138 .219 (121) .345 (40) .344 (121) 2.6% (87) 18.8% (59) 15.5% (4)
William Contreras 97 .278 (-) .355 (-) .506 (-) 5.3% (-) 27.7% (-) 10.6% (-)

Mets Betting Records and Team Stats

The Mets have split the two contests they have played as underdogs this season. This is the worst odds of a win that sportsbooks have given New York this season with a +117 moneyline set for this game. The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mets have a 46.1% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest. New York and their opponents have gone over in three of their six games with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The Mets have an against the spread mark of 3-3-0 in six games with a line this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Brandon Nimmo 6 .313 (64) .478 (18) .375 (117) 0.0% (104) 4.3% (3) 26.1% (7)
Pete Alonso 6 .136 (172) .269 (148) .318 (134) 3.8% (100) 11.5% (29) 15.4% (36)
Tommy Pham 6 .308 (-) .357 (-) .615 (-) 7.1% (-) 14.3% (-) 7.1% (-)
Mark Canha 6 .190 (146) .320 (107) .381 (114) 4.0% (93) 16.0% (66) 12.0% (58)
Jeff McNeil 6 .292 (84) .320 (107) .333 (129) 0.0% (104) 8.0% (11) 0.0% (160)

Brewers vs. Mets Picks and Predictions

Our pick for this matchup is the Brewers to earn the win (-136 on the moneyline), while we project the total score will go under the total (7.5 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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