Braves vs Phillies Today: Picks, Predictions, Moneyline and Odds – Sunday, September 25

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On Sunday, the Atlanta Braves (93-58) are visiting the Philadelphia Phillies (83-68), at 1:05 PM ET, in the final game of a four-game set. The Braves will give the start to Charlie Morton (9-6), and the Phillies will turn to Kyle Gibson (10-7).

Despite playing away from their home ballpark, the Braves are favored to win (-122) over the Phillies (+104). The total for this contest is set at 8.5.

Braves vs. Phillies Odds

Run Line

Atlanta Braves (-1.5)

Moneyline

Braves (-122)

Total

8.5 Runs (Over: -116, Under: -103)

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When, Where, at What Time is Braves vs. Phillies

  • Game Day: Sunday, September 25, 2022
  • Game Time: 1:05 PM ET
  • Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
  • Stadium: Citizens Bank Park

Braves Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Ozzie Albies 10 Day Injury List Finger
Chadwick Tromp 10 Day Injury List Quadricep
Kirby Yates 15 Day Injury List Elbow
Spencer Strider 15 Day Injury List Oblique
Adam Duvall 60 Day Injury List Wrist
Darren O’Day 60 Day Injury List Calf
Manny Piña 60 Day Injury List Wrist
Luke Jackson 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Ronald Acuña Jr. Day-to-day Back

Phillies Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Edmundo Sosa 10 Day Injury List Hamstring
Nicholas Castellanos 10 Day Injury List Oblique
Corey Knebel 60 Day Injury List Back
Kent Emanuel 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Mark Appel 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Hans Crouse 60 Day Injury List Bicep
Simon Muzziotti 60 Day Injury List Undisclosed
Damon Jones 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
James McArthur 60 Day Injury List Elbow

Last Time Out: Braves and Phillies

These clubs meet again following the Braves’ 6-3 victory over the Phillies yesterday. Kyle Wright (5.00 IP, 2 R, 2 H, 6 K) picked up the win for the Braves. Michael Harris went 3-for-4 with a double, a home run and two RBI to lead the team on offense. Bailey Falter (3.00 IP, 6 R, 10 H, 6 K) took the loss on the mound for the Phillies.

Betting Trends

Braves Betting Records and Team Stats

The Braves have entered the game as favorites 123 times this season and won 85, or 69.1%, of those games. Atlanta has a record of 83-33 in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -122 on the moneyline. The implied probability of a win from the Braves, based on the moneyline, is 55%. Games involving Atlanta have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 77 of 155 chances this season. The Braves are 78-77-0 ATS in their 155 games with a spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Austin Riley 150 .280 (28) .351 (31) .542 (6) 5.7% (9) 23.9% (100) 7.8% (79)
Matt Olson 152 .233 (114) .319 (79) .451 (51) 4.3% (34) 24.1% (104) 10.7% (28)
Dansby Swanson 152 .279 (32) .332 (59) .439 (59) 3.2% (67) 26.2% (120) 7.2% (90)
Michael Harris 106 .306 (-) .344 (-) .538 (-) 4.7% (-) 23.9% (-) 4.2% (-)
Ronald Acuña Jr. 112 .270 (43) .356 (27) .416 (77) 2.6% (88) 23.5% (96) 9.9% (44)

Phillies Betting Records and Team Stats

The Phillies have been underdogs in 56 games this season and have come away with the win 26 times (46.4%) in those contests. This season, Philadelphia has been victorious 22 times in 42 chances when named as an underdog of at least +104 or longer on the moneyline. The Phillies have an implied victory probability of 49% according to the moneyline set for this matchup. Philadelphia and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 78 of their 155 opportunities. In 155 games with a line this season, the Phillies have a mark of 76-79-0 against the spread.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
J.T. Realmuto 130 .273 (36) .342 (40) .479 (24) 4.0% (42) 20.6% (77) 7.8% (79)
Kyle Schwarber 145 .211 (128) .310 (104) .475 (27) 6.4% (3) 30.5% (131) 12.1% (13)
Rhys Hoskins 146 .250 (81) .338 (48) .471 (30) 4.6% (27) 24.8% (111) 10.9% (23)
Alec Bohm 141 .288 (23) .323 (74) .409 (84) 2.1% (109) 17.8% (52) 5.0% (127)
Bryce Harper 90 .288 (-) .366 (-) .535 (-) 4.7% (-) 21.2% (-) 10.7% (-)

Braves vs. Phillies Picks and Predictions

Our prediction for this matchup is the Phillies to win (+104 on the moneyline), while we project the scoring will go over the total (8.5 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Stacy Sailer

Stacy has been a baseball fan for as long as she can remember. She admits that she grew up as a spoiled Yankees fan in the late-90’s/early 2000’s, but has slowly evolved into a disgruntled Yankees fan due to their lone championship title in the last 21 seasons. She follows other sports, but her first love has always been baseball and loves getting to share her insight and knowledge with the Betsperts community.

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