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The Houston Astros host the Minnesota Twins in the opening game of the ALDS on Saturday at 4:45 PM ET at Minute Maid Park. Justin Verlander (13-8) will start for the Astros, and Bailey Ober (8-6) for the Twins.
The oddsmakers have spoken, making the Astros (-159) a moderate moneyline favorite to beat the Twins (+131) at home. The contest has a total set at 7.5.
Astros vs. Twins Odds
Run Line
Houston Astros (-1.5)
Moneyline
Astros (-159)
Total
7.5 Runs (Over: -111, Under: -110)
When, Where, at What Time is Astros vs. Twins
- Game Day: Saturday, October 7, 2023
- Game Time: 4:45 PM ET
- TV Channel: FOX
- Location: Houston, Texas
- Stadium: Minute Maid Park
Astros Injury Report
| Name | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Garcia | 60-Day Injured List | Elbow |
| Lance McCullers Jr. | 60-Day Injured List | Forearm |
Twins Injury Report
| Name | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Dallas Keuchel | 15-Day Injured List | Calf |
| Jovani Moran | 60-Day Injured List | Forearm |
| Tyler Mahle | 60-Day Injured List | Elbow |
| Jose Miranda | 60-Day Injured List | Shoulder |
| Nick Gordon | 60-Day Injured List | Shin |
| Oliver Ortega | 60-Day Injured List | Back |
| José De León | 60-Day Injured List | Elbow |
| Matt Canterino | 60-Day Injured List | Elbow |
Last Time Out: Astros and Twins
The Astros knocked off the Diamondbacks by an 8-1 score in their most recent game Sunday. Alex Bregman went 2-for-4 with a triple, a home run and two RBI to lead them offensively while Cristian Javier earned the win after throwing six innings without giving up an earned run on three hits, while striking out four.
Saturday, the Twins took down the Blue Jays 2-0. Sonny Gray was the winning pitcher after he went five innings without giving up an earned run on five hits, while striking out six. Jorge Polanco led the Twins’ offense, going 2-for-3.
Betting Trends
Astros Betting Records and Team Stats
The Astros have been favorites in 118 games this season and won 62 (52.5%) of those contests. Houston is 33-24 this season when entering a game favored by -159 or more on the moneyline. Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Astros have a 61.4% chance to win. So far this season, Houston and its opponents have hit the over in 84 of their 162 games with a total. The Astros are 80-82-0 against the spread this season.
| Name | GP | AVG (Rank) | OBP (Rank) | SLG (Rank) | HR% (Rank) | K% (Rank) | BB% (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Tucker | 157 | .284 (18) | .369 (15) | .517 (12) | 4.3% (32) | 13.8% (9) | 12% (22) |
| Alex Bregman | 161 | .262 (66) | .363 (20) | .441 (70) | 3.5% (65) | 12% (7) | 12.7% (17) |
| Yordan Alvarez | 114 | .290 (-) | .405 (-) | .578 (-) | 6.3% (-) | 18.5% (-) | 13.9% (-) |
| Jose Altuve | 90 | .311 (-) | .393 (-) | .522 (-) | 4.1% (-) | 17.3% (-) | 10.7% (-) |
| Jeremy Pena | 149 | .267 (52) | .327 (70) | .385 (116) | 1.6% (126) | 20.5% (64) | 6.8% (95) |
Twins Betting Records and Team Stats
The Twins have won in 20, or 40%, of the 50 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year. This season, Minnesota has been victorious four times in 10 chances when named as an underdog of at least +131 or longer on the moneyline. Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Twins have a 43.3% chance of pulling out a win. Contests with Minnesota have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 81 of 164 chances this season. The Twins are 83-81-0 against the spread in their 164 games that had a posted line this season.
| Name | GP | AVG (Rank) | OBP (Rank) | SLG (Rank) | HR% (Rank) | K% (Rank) | BB% (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Kepler | 127 | .260 (-) | .332 (-) | .484 (-) | 4.9% (-) | 21.6% (-) | 9.2% (-) |
| Carlos Correa | 133 | .230 (126) | .312 (107) | .399 (108) | 3.1% (86) | 22.6% (86) | 10.2% (40) |
| Willi Castro | 112 | .257 (-) | .339 (-) | .411 (-) | 2.2% (-) | 24.3% (-) | 8.4% (-) |
| Edouard Julien | 107 | .260 (-) | .378 (-) | .456 (-) | 3.9% (-) | 31.4% (-) | 15.7% (-) |
| Royce Lewis | 58 | .309 (-) | .372 (-) | .548 (-) | 6.3% (-) | 23% (-) | 8.4% (-) |
Astros vs. Twins Picks and Predictions
Our best pick for Astros vs. Twins sees the Astros (-159 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. As for the total, we pick the over on 7.5 runs.