Orioles vs Pirates Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – May 12, 2023

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At Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Friday, the Pittsburgh Pirates (21-17) open a three-game series against the Baltimore Orioles (24-13), at 7:05 PM ET. The starting pitchers are Kyle Bradish (1-1) for the Orioles, and Juan Carlos Oviedo (2-3) for the Pirates.

With the Pirates (+134) visiting, the Orioles (-157) are a solid favorite on the moneyline. The game’s total is set at 8.5.

Orioles vs. Pirates Odds

Run Line

Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)

Moneyline

Orioles (-157)

Total

8.5 Runs (Over: -119, Under: -103)

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When, Where, at What Time is Orioles vs. Pirates

  • Game Day: Friday, May 12, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:05 PM ET
  • TV Channel: MLBN
  • Location: Baltimore, Maryland
  • Stadium: Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Orioles Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Ramón Urías 10-Day Injured List Hamstring
Dillon Tate 15-Day Injured List Forearm
Mychal Givens 15-Day Injured List Knee
John Means 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Christopher Ramirez Restricted List Personal
Alexis Cruz Restricted List Personal
Isaiah Kearns Restricted List Personal

Pirates Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Vince Velásquez 15-Day Injured List Elbow
Rob Zastryzny 15-Day Injured List Elbow
Ji-Man Choi 60-Day Injured List Achilles
Wil Crowe 60-Day Injured List Shoulder
Oneil Cruz 60-Day Injured List Ankle
Jarlin García 60-Day Injured List Bicep
Max Kranick 60-Day Injured List Elbow
JT Brubaker 60-Day Injured List Elbow

Last Time Out: Orioles and Pirates

The Orioles won their most recent contest versus the Rays by a 2-1 score Friday, with Dean Kremer picking up the win pitching going six innings without giving up an earned run on four hits, while striking out four. Adam Frazier went 1-for-4 with a double and an RBI to lead them offensively.

The Pirates were defeated by the Rockies 4-3 Friday. Andrew McCutchen led the way offensively after going 3-for-3 with a home run and two RBI, and Robert Stephenson took the loss, throwing one inning, giving up one earned run on two hits while striking out two.

Betting Trends

Orioles Betting Records and Team Stats

This season, the Orioles have won 15 out of the 19 games, or 78.9%, in which they’ve been favored. This season, Baltimore has won nine of its 11 games, or 81.8%, when favored by at least -157 on the moneyline. The moneyline for this contest implies a 61.1% chance of a victory for the Orioles. So far this season, Baltimore and its opponents have hit the over in 20 of their 37 games with a total. The Orioles are 23-14-0 ATS in their 37 games with a spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Cedric Mullins 36 .248 (96) .351 (57) .421 (87) 2.6% (94) 18.8% (61) 13.6% (25)
Adley Rutschman 37 .274 (53) .401 (14) .422 (85) 3% (87) 14.4% (23) 18% (8)
Ryan Mountcastle 37 .255 (88) .283 (154) .471 (56) 4.8% (32) 21.7% (94) 4.2% (165)
Jorge Mateo 31 .282 (-) .327 (-) .515 (-) 5.3% (-) 21.2% (-) 6.2% (-)
Adam Frazier 34 .226 (131) .322 (98) .358 (131) 2.5% (99) 10.7% (9) 12.4% (32)

Pirates Betting Records and Team Stats

The Pirates have been victorious in 13, or 48.1%, of the 27 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season. Pittsburgh has a win-loss record of 4-6 when favored by +134 or worse by oddsmakers this year. Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Pirates have a 42.7% chance of pulling out a win. Pittsburgh and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 19 of their 38 opportunities. The Pirates have an against the spread mark of 21-17-0 in 38 games with a line this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Bryan Reynolds 36 .297 (28) .338 (72) .522 (29) 3.2% (80) 17.5% (41) 6.5% (134)
Andrew McCutchen 33 .255 (88) .366 (44) .491 (45) 5.2% (24) 20.1% (75) 14.9% (14)
Carlos Santana 35 .246 (99) .336 (76) .381 (111) 1.4% (145) 17.8% (43) 12.3% (34)
Ke’Bryan Hayes 35 .246 (99) .309 (122) .362 (123) 0.7% (159) 13.2% (17) 8.6% (100)
Connor Joe 33 .274 (53) .374 (30) .538 (17) 3.3% (75) 26.8% (134) 12.2% (36)

Orioles vs. Pirates Picks and Predictions

Our pick for this matchup is the Orioles to win (-157 on the moneyline), while we project the scoring will go under the total (8.5 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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