Mets vs Marlins Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – September 11, 2022

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At LoanDepot park on Sunday, the New York Mets (88-52) play the Miami Marlins (57-81), with first pitch at 1:40 PM ET. The scheduled starters are Taijuan Walker (10-4) for the Mets, and Jesus Luzardo (3-6) for the Marlins.

Despite playing away from their home ballpark, the Mets are favored to win (-147) over the Marlins (+122). The game has an over/under set at 7.5 runs.

Mets vs. Marlins Odds

Run Line

New York Mets (-1.5)

Moneyline

Mets (-147)

Total

7.5 Runs (Over: +102, Under: -122)

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When, Where, at What Time is Mets vs. Marlins

  • Game Day: Sunday, September 11, 2022
  • Game Time: 1:40 PM ET
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Stadium: LoanDepot park

Mets Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Luis Guillorme 10 Day Injury List Groin
Starling Marte 10 Day Injury List Finger
Trevor May 10 Day Injury List Undisclosed
Brett Baty 10 Day Injury List Thumb
Drew Smith 15 Day Injury List Back
Max Scherzer 15 Day Injury List Oblique
Stephen Nogosek 15 Day Injury List Oblique
Joey Lucchesi 60 Day Injury List Elbow
John Curtiss 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Sean Reid-Foley 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Tylor Megill 60 Day Injury List Shoulder

Marlins Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Jorge Soler 10 Day Injury List Back
Braxton Garrett 15 Day Injury List Oblique
Jordan Holloway 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Jazz Chisholm 60 Day Injury List Back
Paul Campbell 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Cody Poteet 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Max Meyer 60 Day Injury List Arm
Anthony Bender 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Sean Guenther 60 Day Injury List Arm
Daniel Castano 7 Day Injury List Head

Last Time Out: Mets and Marlins

These clubs meet again after the Mets took down the Marlins 11-3 yesterday. Carlos Carrasco picked up the win for the Mets (6.00 IP, 1 R, 4 H, 6 K), and Francisco Lindor led the way offensively (3-for-5 with a double, a home run and two RBI). Pablo Lopez (3.00 IP, 8 R, 10 H, 2 K) was credited with the loss for the Marlins.

Betting Trends

Mets Betting Records and Team Stats

This season, the Mets have been favored 104 times and won 70, or 67.3%, of those games. New York is 46-19 this season when entering a game favored by -147 or more on the moneyline. The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 59.5% chance of a victory for the Mets. New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 72 of their 140 opportunities. The Mets are 76-64-0 ATS in their 140 games with a spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Pete Alonso 139 .267 (50) .344 (43) .503 (13) 5.6% (11) 19.7% (72) 9.3% (56)
Francisco Lindor 139 .268 (48) .343 (45) .444 (55) 3.6% (50) 18.6% (64) 9.2% (58)
Brandon Nimmo 131 .266 (54) .354 (27) .419 (73) 2.2% (103) 17.0% (48) 9.6% (50)
Jeff McNeil 126 .318 (3) .367 (18) .449 (50) 1.4% (123) 11.6% (7) 6.1% (113)
Mark Canha 119 .272 (41) .371 (14) .422 (68) 2.6% (85) 16.8% (44) 9.7% (47)

Marlins Betting Records and Team Stats

The Marlins have been underdogs in 85 games this season and have come away with the win 26 times (30.6%) in those contests. Miami has a mark of 13-41 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by +122 or worse on the moneyline. The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 45% according to the moneyline set for this matchup. Miami and their opponents have gone over in 61 of their 138 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The Marlins are 64-74-0 against the spread in their 138 games that had a posted line this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Miguel Rojas 124 .231 (116) .278 (131) .326 (133) 1.4% (123) 12.4% (12) 5.4% (126)
Garrett Cooper 108 .261 (-) .337 (-) .412 (-) 1.9% (-) 25.4% (-) 8.8% (-)
Jon Berti 80 .254 (-) .342 (-) .357 (-) 1.0% (-) 21.9% (-) 11.0% (-)
Joey Wendle 88 .255 (-) .296 (-) .358 (-) 0.9% (-) 12.7% (-) 4.3% (-)
Nick Fortes 56 .247 (-) .324 (-) .424 (-) 4.0% (-) 18.8% (-) 7.4% (-)

Mets vs. Marlins Picks and Predictions

Our prediction for this matchup is the Mets to emerge victorious (-147 on the moneyline), while we project the total score will go over the total (7.5 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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