Yankees vs Padres Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – May 28, 2023

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On Sunday, the San Diego Padres (24-28) are visiting the New York Yankees (31-23), at 1:35 PM ET, in the final game of a three-game set. The Yankees will hand the ball to Gerrit Cole (5-0), and the Padres will turn to Yu Darvish (3-3).

With the Padres (+124) visiting, the Yankees (-147) are a solid favorite on the moneyline. The over/under for this contest is set at 7.5.

Yankees vs. Padres Odds

Run Line

New York Yankees (-1.5)

Moneyline

Yankees (-147)

Total

7.5 Runs (Over: -113, Under: -108)

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When, Where, at What Time is Yankees vs. Padres

  • Game Day: Sunday, May 28, 2023
  • Game Time: 1:35 PM ET
  • TV Channel: YES
  • Location: The Bronx, New York
  • Stadium: Yankee Stadium

Yankees Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Giancarlo Stanton 10-Day Injured List Hamstring
Jose Trevino 10-Day Injured List Hamstring
Josh Donaldson 10-Day Injured List Hamstring
Ian Hamilton 15-Day Injured List Groin
Carlos Rodón 15-Day Injured List Elbow
Jonathan Loaisiga 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Scott Effross 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Tommy Kahnle 60-Day Injured List Bicep
Luis Gil 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Lou Trivino 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Frankie Montás 60-Day Injured List Shoulder
Domingo Germán Suspended List Suspension

Padres Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Luis Campusano 10-Day Injured List Thumb
Manny Machado 10-Day Injured List Hand
Seth Lugo 15-Day Injured List Calf
Luís Garcia 15-Day Injured List Oblique
Nabil Crismatt 15-Day Injured List Hip
Adrian Morejon 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Eguy Rosario 60-Day Injured List Ankle
Drew Pomeranz 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Robert Suarez 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Xander Bogaerts Day-to-day Wrist
Ha-Seong Kim Day-to-day Knee

Last Time Out: Yankees and Padres

These squads play again following the Yankees’ 3-2 victory over the Padres yesterday. Clay Holmes (1.0 IP, 0 R, 0 H, 1 K) earned the win for the Yankees. DJ LeMahieu went 2-for-3 with a double, a home run and two RBI to lead the team on offense. Nick Martinez (2.1 IP, 0 R, 3 H, 1 K) took the loss on the mound for the Padres.

Betting Trends

Yankees Betting Records and Team Stats

The Yankees have won 21, or 65.6%, of the 32 games they’ve played as favorites this season. New York has a record of 13-2, a 86.7% win rate, when favored by -147 or more by bookmakers this season. Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Yankees have a 59.5% chance to win. New York and its opponents have hit the over in 21 of their 47 games with a total this season. The Yankees have an ATS record of 24-23-0 in 47 games with a spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Gleyber Torres 52 .263 (74) .345 (60) .454 (68) 4% (46) 12.6% (11) 11.2% (52)
Aaron Judge 43 .286 (35) .396 (12) .617 (2) 7.5% (4) 29.4% (148) 16% (7)
Anthony Rizzo 52 .303 (10) .376 (18) .507 (27) 4.9% (26) 22.6% (99) 8% (104)
DJ LeMahieu 47 .257 (85) .326 (96) .427 (87) 3.2% (81) 25.8% (118) 8.4% (96)
Anthony Volpe 53 .197 (158) .280 (153) .356 (139) 3.3% (74) 30.3% (154) 10% (73)

Padres Betting Records and Team Stats

The Padres have come away with seven wins in the 17 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season. San Diego has a win-loss record of 1-3 when favored by +124 or worse by sportsbooks this year. The Padres have an implied victory probability of 44.6% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup. Contests with San Diego have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 11 of 44 chances this season. In 44 games with a line this season, the Padres have a mark of 22-22-0 against the spread.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Juan Soto 52 .263 (74) .424 (3) .508 (26) 4.4% (37) 21.4% (88) 21.8% (1)
Xander Bogaerts 51 .258 (83) .352 (47) .405 (101) 3.2% (81) 18.3% (51) 11.4% (46)
Jake Cronenworth 51 .213 (148) .336 (80) .376 (124) 2.3% (111) 22% (92) 14% (18)
Fernando Tatis Jr. 32 .254 (-) .297 (-) .486 (-) 6.1% (-) 18.9% (-) 6.1% (-)
Ha-Seong Kim 46 .232 (129) .314 (116) .374 (126) 2.9% (93) 24.6% (112) 10.3% (68)

Yankees vs. Padres Picks and Predictions

Our pick for Yankees vs. Padres is the Yankees (-147 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. As for the total, we recommend betting on the under on 7.5 runs.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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