Red Sox vs Royals Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – September 16, 2022

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The Boston Red Sox (69-74) will host the Kansas City Royals (57-87), Friday at 7:10 PM ET, with both teams on losing streaks — two and three in a row, respectively. The scheduled starters are Michael Wacha (11-1) for the Red Sox, and Jonathan Heasley (3-8) for the Royals.

Bookmakers have made the Red Sox a decent moneyline favorite (-207) at home over the Royals (+174). The game has an over/under set at 9.5 runs.

Red Sox vs. Royals Odds

Run Line

Boston Red Sox (-1.5)

Moneyline

Red Sox (-207)

Total

9.5 Runs (Over: +101, Under: -121)

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When, Where, at What Time is Red Sox vs. Royals

  • Game Day: Friday, September 16, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • Location: Boston, Massachusetts
  • Stadium: Fenway Park

Red Sox Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Eric Hosmer 10 Day Injury List Back
Nathan Eovaldi 15 Day Injury List Neck
Kutter Crawford 15 Day Injury List Shoulder
Chris Sale 60 Day Injury List Finger/Wrist
James Paxton 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Franchy Cordero 60 Day Injury List Ankle
Tanner Houck 60 Day Injury List Back
Josh Taylor 60 Day Injury List Back
Trevor Story Day-to-day Heel

Royals Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Taylor Clarke 15 Day Injury List Oblique
Josh Staumont 15 Day Injury List Bicep
Gabe Speier 40 Man Active Illness
Jake Brentz 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Edward Olivares 60 Day Injury List Quadricep
Angel Zerpa 60 Day Injury List Knee
Adalberto Mondesi 60 Day Injury List Knee
Tyler Zuber 60 Day Injury List Shoulder

Last Time Out: Red Sox and Royals

The Red Sox lost their last game against the Yankees by a 5-3 score Friday. Abraham Almonte went 1-for-2 with a double to lead them offensively. Brayan Bello picked up the loss after throwing five innings without giving up an earned run on six hits, while striking out six.

The Royals lost to the Twins yesterday, with Daniel Lynch registering the loss while throwing five innings, giving up three earned runs on seven hits while striking out eight. Salvador Perez went 2-for-4 with a home run and an RBI to pace the Royals’ offense.

Betting Trends

Red Sox Betting Records and Team Stats

The Red Sox have been favorites in 70 games this season and won 41 (58.6%) of those contests. Boston has entered three games this season favored by -207 or more, and won each of those games. The implied probability of a win from the Red Sox, based on the moneyline, is 67.4%. Boston’s games have gone over the total in 66 of their 143 chances. In 143 games with a spread this season, the Red Sox are 74-69-0 ATS.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Rafael Devers 124 .287 (24) .347 (37) .524 (10) 4.8% (22) 18.8% (62) 7.4% (85)
Xander Bogaerts 135 .317 (5) .384 (8) .474 (26) 2.5% (91) 19.5% (71) 8.8% (67)
Alex Verdugo 136 .284 (27) .332 (65) .404 (90) 1.6% (117) 12.2% (11) 6.4% (105)
J.D. Martínez 126 .272 (40) .343 (43) .423 (71) 2.1% (107) 24.1% (108) 9.1% (62)
Tommy Pham 133 .245 (88) .321 (80) .385 (108) 2.9% (79) 27.2% (128) 9.2% (58)

Royals Betting Records and Team Stats

The Royals have come away with 45 wins in the 119 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season. This season, Kansas City has come away with a win five times in 26 chances when named as an underdog of at least +174 or longer on the moneyline. The Royals have an implied victory probability of 36.5% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup. Kansas City’s games have gone over the total in 71 of their 144 opportunities. In 144 games with a line this season, the Royals have a mark of 69-75-0 against the spread.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Bobby Witt Jr. 134 .245 (88) .288 (126) .436 (61) 3.6% (50) 21.4% (84) 4.9% (131)
Salvador Pérez 101 .245 (-) .282 (-) .459 (-) 5.1% (-) 25.5% (-) 3.6% (-)
MJ Melendez 111 .216 (129) .316 (94) .384 (109) 3.3% (61) 25.4% (116) 12.8% (9)
Michael A. Taylor 113 .267 (-) .329 (-) .380 (-) 2.2% (-) 24.4% (-) 8.3% (-)
Nicky Lopez 132 .237 (104) .291 (124) .286 (137) 0.0% (137) 13.9% (19) 6.3% (108)

Red Sox vs. Royals Picks and Predictions

We predict that the Red Sox will pick up the victory in this matchup, and they’re our choice on the moneyline (-207). If you’re looking for a pick on the over/under, we see the final scoring winding up under the total (9.5 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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