Red Sox vs Cardinals Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – May 12, 2023

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A series opener between the Boston Red Sox (22-16) and St. Louis Cardinals (13-25) is scheduled for Friday at 7:10 PM ET, at Fenway Park. On the mound for the Red Sox will be James Paxton, opposed by the Cardinals’ Adam Wainwright.

With moneyline odds of -115 for the Red Sox versus -103 for the Cardinals, this game should be a close one. The game’s total is set at 10.5.

Red Sox vs. Cardinals Odds

Run Line

Boston Red Sox (-1.5)

Moneyline

Red Sox (-115)

Total

10.5 Runs (Over: -118, Under: -103)

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When, Where, at What Time is Red Sox vs. Cardinals

  • Game Day: Friday, May 12, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • TV Channel: NESN
  • Location: Boston, Massachusetts
  • Stadium: Fenway Park

Red Sox Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Christian Arroyo 10-Day Injured List Hamstring
Yu Chang 10-Day Injured List Wrist
Garrett Whitlock 15-Day Injured List Elbow
Kutter Crawford 15-Day Injured List Hamstring
Joely Rodriguez 15-Day Injured List Oblique
Zack Kelly 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Adam Duvall 60-Day Injured List Wrist
Trevor Story 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Adalberto Mondesi 60-Day Injured List Hamstring
Wyatt Mills 60-Day Injured List Elbow

Cardinals Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Tyler O’Neill 10-Day Injured List Back
Jake Woodford 15-Day Injured List Shoulder
Packy Naughton 15-Day Injured List Forearm
Wilking Rodriguez 60-Day Injured List Shoulder

Last Time Out: Red Sox and Cardinals

The Red Sox won 5-2 over the Braves Friday in their most recent game. Brayan Bello was the winning pitcher after throwing six innings, giving up two earned runs on six hits while striking out five, while Triston Casas went 1-for-3 with a home run and two RBI to lead them offensively.

The Cardinals lost to the Cubs Friday, with Jordan Montgomery registering the loss while pitching five innings, giving up six earned runs on seven hits while striking out three. Nolan Arenado went 1-for-4 with a triple and an RBI to pace the Cardinals’ offense.

Betting Trends

Red Sox Betting Records and Team Stats

This season, the Red Sox have won nine out of the 14 games, or 64.3%, in which they’ve been favored. This season, Boston has won eight of its 13 games, or 61.5%, when favored by at least -115 on the moneyline. The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 53.5% chance of a victory for the Red Sox. Games involving Boston have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 25 of 38 chances this season. In 38 games with a spread this season, the Red Sox are 24-14-0 ATS.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Alex Verdugo 36 .308 (17) .380 (25) .500 (40) 3.1% (85) 12.3% (13) 8.6% (100)
Rafael Devers 37 .248 (96) .302 (130) .538 (17) 6.9% (6) 21.4% (91) 6.3% (136)
Masataka Yoshida 31 .298 (27) .377 (29) .496 (42) 4.3% (41) 10.1% (6) 9.4% (83)
Justin Turner 38 .277 (49) .370 (38) .397 (99) 1.8% (136) 13.3% (18) 10.9% (59)
Jarren Duran 22 .372 (-) .420 (-) .603 (-) 2.3% (-) 25% (-) 6.8% (-)

Cardinals Betting Records and Team Stats

The Cardinals have been victorious in four, or 25%, of the 16 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season. St. Louis has a win-loss record of 4-9 when favored by -103 or worse by sportsbooks this year. The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Cardinals have a 50.7% chance of walking away with the win. St. Louis and their opponents have hit the over in 20 of their 38 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season. In 38 games with a line this season, the Cardinals have a mark of 15-23-0 against the spread.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Paul Goldschmidt 37 .306 (18) .389 (20) .544 (15) 4.2% (45) 18.6% (56) 10.8% (61)
Nolan Gorman 33 .255 (88) .346 (66) .518 (33) 6.3% (10) 26% (127) 11.8% (44)
Tommy Edman 35 .239 (110) .310 (121) .425 (82) 4% (50) 15.1% (27) 8.7% (97)
Willson Contreras 36 .266 (65) .345 (68) .391 (106) 1.4% (145) 21.4% (91) 10.3% (69)
Nolan Arenado 36 .233 (124) .285 (153) .336 (151) 1.9% (133) 20.9% (86) 7% (128)

Red Sox vs. Cardinals Picks and Predictions

We pick that the Red Sox will pick up the win in this matchup, and they’re our choice on the moneyline (-115). If you’re looking for a pick on the over/under, we see the final scoring winding up under the total (10.5 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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