Rays vs Red Sox Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – October 5, 2022

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At Fenway Park on Wednesday, the Boston Red Sox meet the Tampa Bay Rays (four consecutive defeats) at 4:10 PM ET. On the hill for the Rays will be Josh Fleming (2-4), opposed by the Red Sox’s Nick Pivetta (10-11).

The moneyline odds for the Rays (-115) versus the Red Sox (-103) are tight. The game’s over/under is 8.

Rays vs. Red Sox Odds

Run Line

Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)

Moneyline

Rays (-115)

Total

8 Runs (Over: -106, Under: -115)

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When, Where, at What Time is Rays vs. Red Sox

  • Game Day: Wednesday, October 5, 2022
  • Game Time: 4:10 PM ET
  • Location: Boston, Massachusetts
  • Stadium: Fenway Park

Rays Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Roman Quinn 10 Day Injury List Knee
Jalen Beeks 15 Day Injury List Leg
Ryan Yarbrough 15 Day Injury List Upper Body
Kevin Kiermaier 60 Day Injury List Hip
Ryan Thompson 60 Day Injury List Arm
Nick Anderson 60 Day Injury List Heel
Brandon Lowe 60 Day Injury List Back
Shane Baz 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Andrew Kittredge 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Brendan McKay 60 Day Injury List Elbow
J.P. Feyereisen 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
Mike Zunino 60 Day Injury List Shoulder

Red Sox Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Rob Refsnyder 10 Day Injury List Back
Trevor Story 10 Day Injury List Heel
Garrett Whitlock 15 Day Injury List Hip
Kutter Crawford 15 Day Injury List Shoulder
Chris Sale 60 Day Injury List Finger/Wrist
James Paxton 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Franchy Cordero 60 Day Injury List Ankle
Tanner Houck 60 Day Injury List Back
Josh Taylor 60 Day Injury List Back
Xander Bogaerts Day-to-day Back

Last Time Out: Rays and Red Sox

Yesterday, the Red Sox picked up a 6-0 victory over the Rays, with Nathan Eovaldi (5.00 IP, 0 R, 2 H, 4 K) registering the win for the Red Sox. Xander Bogaerts went 1-for-3 with a home run and four RBI to lead the offensive attack. Jeffrey Springs (3.00 IP, 1 R, 2 H, 3 K) took the loss for the Rays.

Betting Trends

Rays Betting Records and Team Stats

This season, the Rays have been favored 105 times and won 62, or 59%, of those games. This season, Tampa Bay has won 59 of its 99 games, or 59.6%, when favored by at least -115 on the moneyline. The Rays have a 53.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline. Tampa Bay and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 74 of their 166 opportunities. The Rays are 79-87-0 against the spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Yandy Díaz 139 .296 (13) .401 (6) .423 (70) 1.6% (117) 10.8% (5) 14.0% (6)
Randy Arozarena 152 .262 (58) .326 (63) .445 (53) 3.1% (67) 24.1% (97) 7.0% (93)
Harold Ramirez 119 .302 (-) .345 (-) .408 (-) 1.4% (-) 16.4% (-) 4.4% (-)
Isaac Paredes 111 .207 (-) .305 (-) .439 (-) 5.3% (-) 17.8% (-) 11.4% (-)
Wander Franco 85 .277 (-) .328 (-) .417 (-) 1.7% (-) 9.6% (-) 7.6% (-)

Red Sox Betting Records and Team Stats

The Red Sox have been chosen as underdogs in 82 games this year and have walked away with the win 29 times (35.4%) in those games. Boston has a win-loss record of 27-48 when favored by -103 or worse by bookmakers this year. Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 50.7% chance of pulling out a win. Boston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 77 of their 164 opportunities. The Red Sox have an against the spread record of 84-80-0 in 164 games with a line this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Rafael Devers 140 .295 (17) .358 (24) .520 (10) 4.4% (31) 18.7% (56) 8.2% (71)
Xander Bogaerts 149 .305 (6) .376 (10) .455 (43) 2.4% (93) 18.6% (53) 9.1% (54)
Alex Verdugo 151 .282 (26) .330 (59) .407 (82) 1.7% (115) 13.3% (16) 6.6% (102)
J.D. Martínez 142 .272 (37) .340 (45) .437 (57) 2.4% (93) 24.5% (105) 8.8% (63)
Tommy Pham 149 .236 (104) .312 (93) .374 (116) 2.7% (83) 26.9% (119) 9.0% (60)

Rays vs. Red Sox Picks and Predictions

We predict that the Red Sox will pick up the win in this contest, and they’re our choice on the moneyline (-103). If you’re looking for a pick on the over/under, we see the final scoring winding up over the total (8 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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