Padres vs Phillies NLCS Game 4: Picks, Predictions, Moneyline and Odds – Saturday, October 22

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The San Diego Padres hit the road for Game 4 of the NLCS against the Philadelphia Phillies on Saturday 7:45 PM ET at Citizens Bank Park. The Phillies have a 2-1 lead in the series. The Padres will give the start to Mike Clevinger (7-7), and the Phillies will counter with Bailey Falter (6-4).

With moneyline odds of -109 for the Padres versus -108 for the Phillies, this game should be a close one. The total for this contest is 8.5.

Padres vs. Phillies Odds

Run Line

San Diego Padres (-1.5)

Moneyline

Padres (-109)

Total

8.5 Runs (Over: -105, Under: -116)

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When, Where, at What Time is Padres vs. Phillies

  • Game Day: Saturday, October 22, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:45 PM ET
  • TV Channel: FOX
  • Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
  • Stadium: Citizens Bank Park

Padres Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Drew Pomeranz 60 Day Injury List Forearm
Austin Adams 60 Day Injury List Forearm
Fernando Tatis Jr. Suspended List Suspension

Phillies Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Damon Jones 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
Corey Knebel 60 Day Injury List Back
Simon Muzziotti 60 Day Injury List Undisclosed
Hans Crouse 60 Day Injury List Bicep
James McArthur 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Kent Emanuel 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Mark Appel 60 Day Injury List Elbow

Last Time Out: Padres and Phillies

Ranger Suarez (5.00 IP, 1 R, 2 H, 3 K) earned a win in the Phillies’ 4-2 victory over the Padres yesterday. Kyle Schwarber led the way offensively, going 2-for-4 with a home run and an RBI. Joe Musgrove (5.00 IP, 4 R, 8 H, 5 K) was handed the loss for the Padres.

Betting Trends

Padres Betting Records and Team Stats

This season, the Padres have won 69 out of the 120 games, or 57.5%, in which they’ve been favored. San Diego has a record of 69-52, a 57% win rate, when favored by -109 or more by sportsbooks this season. Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Padres have a 52.2% chance to win. San Diego and its opponents have hit the over in 83 of their 176 games with a total this season. In 176 games with a spread this season, the Padres are 80-96-0 ATS.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Manny Machado 150 .298 (12) .366 (19) .531 (6) 5.0% (14) 20.7% (74) 9.8% (42)
Juan Soto 154 .242 (90) .401 (5) .452 (46) 4.1% (40) 14.5% (20) 20.4% (1)
Josh Bell 156 .268 (46) .363 (21) .424 (69) 2.6% (87) 15.8% (29) 12.6% (11)
Jake Cronenworth 158 .240 (92) .333 (52) .394 (97) 2.5% (91) 19.2% (65) 10.3% (33)
Brandon Drury 139 .263 (55) .320 (74) .492 (16) 4.9% (19) 22.2% (82) 6.7% (99)

Phillies Betting Records and Team Stats

The Phillies have been underdogs in 68 games this season and have come away with the win 33 times (48.5%) in those contests. Philadelphia has a win-loss record of 32-35 when favored by -108 or worse by bookmakers this year. The Phillies have an implied victory probability of 51.9% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup. Philadelphia’s games have gone over the total in 88 of their 175 opportunities. The Phillies have posted a record of 89-86-0 against the spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Kyle Schwarber 155 .218 (121) .323 (71) .504 (15) 6.9% (2) 29.9% (126) 12.9% (10)
J.T. Realmuto 139 .273 (37) .339 (46) .475 (24) 3.9% (44) 21.3% (76) 7.3% (84)
Rhys Hoskins 156 .247 (81) .333 (52) .461 (36) 4.5% (28) 25.2% (108) 10.7% (26)
Alec Bohm 152 .278 (29) .314 (88) .398 (93) 2.1% (107) 17.5% (48) 4.9% (122)
Bryce Harper 100 .284 (-) .362 (-) .508 (-) 4.2% (-) 20.4% (-) 10.8% (-)

Padres vs. Phillies Picks and Predictions

Our best pick for Padres vs. Phillies is the Phillies (-108 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. As for the total, we pick the over on 8.5 runs.

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WRITTEN BY

Stacy Sailer

Stacy has been a baseball fan for as long as she can remember. She admits that she grew up as a spoiled Yankees fan in the late-90’s/early 2000’s, but has slowly evolved into a disgruntled Yankees fan due to their lone championship title in the last 21 seasons. She follows other sports, but her first love has always been baseball and loves getting to share her insight and knowledge with the Betsperts community.

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