Mets vs Tigers Today: Picks, Predictions, Moneyline and Odds – Thursday, May 4

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The Detroit Tigers (12-17) and New York Mets (16-15) will meet on Thursday at Comerica Park, starting at 1:10 PM ET. Justin Verlander is the starter for the Mets, and Eduardo Rodriguez (2-3) for the Tigers.

Oddsmakers have set the Mets as the moderate moneyline favorites (-177) on the road versus the Tigers (+150). The over/under in this contest is 7.5.

Mets vs. Tigers Odds

Run Line

New York Mets (-1.5)

Moneyline

Mets (-177)

Total

7.5 Runs (Over: -116, Under: -105)

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When, Where, at What Time is Mets vs. Tigers

  • Game Day: Thursday, May 4, 2023
  • Game Time: 1:10 PM ET
  • TV Channel: MLBN
  • Location: Detroit, Michigan
  • Stadium: Comerica Park

Mets Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Tim Locastro 10-Day Injured List Back
Omar Narváez 10-Day Injured List Calf
Brooks Raley 15-Day Injured List Elbow
Elieser Hernandez 15-Day Injured List Shoulder
Edwin Uceta 15-Day Injured List Ankle
Carlos Carrasco 15-Day Injured List Elbow
Justin Verlander 15-Day Injured List Shoulder
Sam Coonrod 60-Day Injured List Back
José Quintana 60-Day Injured List Ribs
Stephen Ridings 60-Day Injured List Shoulder
Bryce Montes de Oca 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Edwin Díaz 60-Day Injured List Knee

Tigers Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Kerry Carpenter 10-Day Injured List Shoulder
Trey Wingenter 15-Day Injured List Shoulder
Beau Brieske 15-Day Injured List Arm
Matt Manning 60-Day Injured List Foot
Austin Meadows 60-Day Injured List Personal
Casey Mize 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Freddy Pacheco 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Tarik Skubal 60-Day Injured List Elbow

Last Time Out: Mets and Tigers

These squads meet again after the Tigers’ 8-1 victory over the Mets yesterday. Michael Lorenzen (7.0 IP, 1 R, 4 H, 1 K) picked up the win for the Tigers. Eric Haase went 2-for-4 with a double, a home run and an RBI to lead the team on offense. Max Scherzer (3.1 IP, 6 R, 8 H, 3 K) took the loss on the mound for the Mets.

Betting Trends

Mets Betting Records and Team Stats

This season, the Mets have won 12 out of the 22 games, or 54.5%, in which they’ve been favored. This season, New York has won three of its seven games when favored by at least -177 on the moneyline. The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 63.9% chance of a victory for the Mets. New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 15 of their 32 opportunities. The Mets have an ATS record of 15-17-0 in 32 games with a spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Pete Alonso 31 .250 (92) .323 (102) .550 (24) 8.3% (3) 24.1% (117) 9% (97)
Francisco Lindor 31 .217 (152) .321 (107) .443 (68) 3.7% (65) 25.4% (123) 9.7% (82)
Jeff McNeil 31 .294 (33) .408 (11) .422 (87) 1.5% (143) 6.9% (2) 12.3% (45)
Brandon Nimmo 31 .304 (23) .398 (16) .438 (73) 1.5% (143) 17.3% (46) 12.8% (41)
Mark Canha 30 .229 (133) .319 (111) .385 (112) 2.7% (99) 17.7% (54) 10.6% (68)

Tigers Betting Records and Team Stats

The Tigers have come away with 12 wins in the 29 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season. This season, Detroit has been victorious five times in 14 chances when named as an underdog of at least +150 or worse on the moneyline. The Tigers have an implied victory probability of 40% according to the moneyline set for this matchup. Contests with Detroit have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 15 of 30 chances this season. The Tigers are 17-13-0 against the spread in their 30 games that had a posted line this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Javier Báez 27 .237 (115) .292 (148) .320 (162) 0.9% (153) 18.9% (65) 5.7% (152)
Matt Vierling 30 .281 (47) .333 (83) .416 (91) 2.1% (120) 25% (121) 6.3% (139)
Nick Maton 29 .163 (175) .270 (166) .349 (138) 4% (53) 27.3% (138) 13.1% (37)
Spencer Torkelson 28 .210 (158) .271 (165) .314 (164) 1.7% (137) 21.4% (95) 7.7% (117)
Zach McKinstry 27 .274 (-) .338 (-) .452 (-) 2.9% (-) 23.5% (-) 8.8% (-)

Mets vs. Tigers Picks and Predictions

We pick that the Tigers will pick up the win in this contest, and they’re our choice on the moneyline (+150). If you’re looking for a pick on the over/under, we predict the final scoring winding up over the total (7.5 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Stacy Sailer

Stacy has been a baseball fan for as long as she can remember. She admits that she grew up as a spoiled Yankees fan in the late-90’s/early 2000’s, but has slowly evolved into a disgruntled Yankees fan due to their lone championship title in the last 21 seasons. She follows other sports, but her first love has always been baseball and loves getting to share her insight and knowledge with the Betsperts community.

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