Mets vs Padres Odds, Picks & Predictions – July 22

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A series opener between the San Diego Padres (52-42) and New York Mets (58-35) is scheduled for Friday at 7:10 PM ET, at Citi Field. The Mets will give the start to Max Scherzer (6-1), and the Padres will turn to Yu Darvish (8-4).

The Mets are moderate favorites on the moneyline (-187) at home over the Padres (+158). The game’s over/under is set at 6.5.

Mets vs. Padres Odds

Run Line

New York Mets (-1.5)

Moneyline

Mets (-187)

Total

6.5 Runs (Over: -122, Under: +102)

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When, Where, at What Time is Mets vs. Padres

  • Game Day: Friday, July 22, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • Location: Queens, New York
  • Stadium: Citi Field

Mets Injury Report

Name Status Injury
James McCann 10 Day Injury List Oblique
Dominic Smith 10 Day Injury List Ankle
Joey Lucchesi 60 Day Injury List Elbow
John Curtiss 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Jacob deGrom 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
Trevor May 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Sean Reid-Foley 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Tylor Megill 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
Tomás Nido Day-to-day Forearm

Padres Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Wil Myers 10 Day Injury List Knee
Craig Stammen 15 Day Injury List Shoulder
Fernando Tatis Jr. 60 Day Injury List Wrist
Austin Adams 60 Day Injury List Forearm
Matt Beaty 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
Pierce Johnson 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Drew Pomeranz 60 Day Injury List Forearm
Robert Suarez 60 Day Injury List Knee

Last Time Out: Mets and Padres

The Mets lost their last game against the Cubs by a 3-2 score Friday. Starling Marte went 2-for-4 to lead them offensively. Drew Smith picked up the loss after throwing zero innings, giving up two earned runs on three hits.

Friday, the Padres lost to the Diamondbacks 3-1. Mike Clevinger was the losing pitcher after he went six innings, giving up one earned run on four hits while striking out eight. Luke Voit led the Padres’ offense, going 1-for-4 with a home run and an RBI.

Betting Trends

Mets Betting Records and Team Stats

The Mets have been favorites in 66 games this season and won 45 (68.2%) of those contests. New York has entered 11 games this season favored by -187 or more and is 8-3 in those contests. The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 65.2% chance of a victory for the Mets. New York and its opponents have hit the over in 47 of their 93 games with a total this season. The Mets have an ATS record of 49-44-0 in 93 games with a spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Pete Alonso 92 .265 (61) .340 (58) .517 (14) 6.1% (10) 20.8% (83) 8.6% (78)
Francisco Lindor 92 .248 (92) .324 (86) .432 (66) 3.9% (48) 19.7% (77) 8.8% (75)
Starling Marte 77 .295 (24) .345 (49) .458 (46) 2.7% (88) 17.9% (57) 5.1% (142)
Brandon Nimmo 85 .271 (46) .358 (33) .437 (64) 2.4% (100) 17.6% (55) 9.9% (60)
Jeff McNeil 81 .300 (19) .362 (28) .418 (77) 1.3% (137) 13.3% (15) 7.4% (95)

Padres Betting Records and Team Stats

The Padres have come away with 15 wins in the 29 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season. San Diego has played as an underdog of +158 or more just one time this year and came away with a win in that game. Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Padres have a 38.8% chance of pulling out a win. San Diego and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 42 of their 94 opportunities. The Padres are 43-51-0 against the spread in their 94 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Manny Machado 83 .303 (16) .377 (15) .513 (15) 4.2% (39) 18.7% (66) 10.5% (48)
Jurickson Profar 86 .241 (105) .343 (54) .394 (104) 2.1% (110) 13.9% (22) 12.9% (12)
Jake Cronenworth 92 .241 (105) .335 (69) .394 (104) 2.2% (108) 20.3% (82) 10.0% (58)
Eric Hosmer 82 .268 (55) .330 (73) .373 (129) 1.8% (123) 16.1% (40) 8.6% (78)
Ha-Seong Kim 84 .243 (101) .330 (73) .368 (132) 1.6% (133) 17.8% (56) 10.3% (49)

Mets vs. Padres Picks and Predictions

We predict that the Mets will pick up the win in this contest, and they’re our choice on the moneyline (-187). If you’re looking for a pick on the over/under, we see the final scoring winding up over the total (6.5 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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