Mets vs Nationals Today: Picks, Predictions, Moneyline and Odds – Sunday, September 4

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The Washington Nationals (46-87) will visit the New York Mets (85-49), in the final game of a three-game series, Sunday at 1:40 PM ET. On the hill for the Mets will be Carlos Carrasco (13-5), opposed by the Nationals’ Erick Fedde (5-9).

Oddsmakers have made the Mets heavy favorites at home (-320). The Nationals are +261 as the road underdogs. The over/under for the Mets-Nationals game is 8.5.

Mets vs. Nationals Odds

Run Line

New York Mets (-1.5)

Moneyline

Mets (-320)

Total

8.5 Runs (Over: -107, Under: -114)

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When, Where, at What Time is Mets vs. Nationals

  • Game Day: Sunday, September 4, 2022
  • Game Time: 1:40 PM ET
  • Location: Queens, New York
  • Stadium: Citi Field

Mets Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Luis Guillorme 10 Day Injury List Groin
Trevor May 10 Day Injury List Undisclosed
Brett Baty 10 Day Injury List Thumb
Drew Smith 15 Day Injury List Back
Carlos Carrasco 15 Day Injury List Oblique
Stephen Nogosek 15 Day Injury List Oblique
Joey Lucchesi 60 Day Injury List Elbow
John Curtiss 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Sean Reid-Foley 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Tylor Megill 60 Day Injury List Shoulder

Nationals Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Cade Cavalli 15 Day Injury List Shoulder
Tanner Rainey 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Will Harris 60 Day Injury List Pectoral
Stephen Strasburg 60 Day Injury List Ribs
Yadiel Hernandez 60 Day Injury List Calf
Sean Doolittle 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Joe Ross 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Carter Kieboom 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Jackson Tetreault 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
Evan Lee 60 Day Injury List Shoulder

Last Time Out: Mets and Nationals

Patrick Corbin (7.00 IP, 1 R, 3 H, 5 K) earned a win in the Nationals’ 7-1 victory over the Mets yesterday. Luis Garcia led the way offensively, going 4-for-5 with two doubles, a home run and an RBI. Adam Ottavino (1.00 IP, 1 R, 2 H, 0 K) was handed the loss for the Mets.

Betting Trends

Mets Betting Records and Team Stats

The Mets have entered the game as favorites 98 times this season and won 67, or 68.4%, of those games. New York has entered seven games this season favored by -320 or more and is 4-3 in those contests. The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 76.2% chance of a victory for the Mets. Games involving New York have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 68 of 134 chances this season. The Mets have an ATS record of 73-61-0 in 134 games with a spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Pete Alonso 133 .268 (45) .346 (42) .507 (12) 5.6% (10) 19.8% (78) 9.3% (55)
Francisco Lindor 133 .267 (48) .343 (44) .440 (53) 3.6% (48) 19.0% (68) 9.3% (55)
Starling Marte 116 .294 (17) .348 (41) .472 (25) 3.2% (66) 19.2% (72) 5.2% (134)
Brandon Nimmo 125 .266 (51) .353 (29) .421 (72) 2.2% (103) 17.3% (48) 9.4% (54)
Jeff McNeil 120 .317 (4) .367 (19) .452 (43) 1.5% (122) 11.8% (8) 6.0% (117)

Nationals Betting Records and Team Stats

The Nationals have been chosen as underdogs in 114 games this year and have walked away with the win 37 times (32.5%) in those games. This season, Washington has come away with a win six times in seven chances when named as an underdog of at least +261 or longer on the moneyline. The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 27.7% chance of walking away with the win. Washington and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 64 of their 133 opportunities. The Nationals have an against the spread mark of 59-74-0 in 133 games with a line this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Nelson Cruz 123 .235 (115) .315 (98) .343 (135) 2.1% (107) 23.8% (106) 9.8% (46)
César Hernández 127 .244 (96) .306 (112) .309 (141) 0.0% (142) 18.5% (63) 6.9% (99)
Keibert Ruiz 107 .245 (91) .306 (112) .351 (132) 1.4% (127) 11.8% (8) 6.7% (105)
Lane Thomas 118 .240 (109) .293 (124) .412 (81) 3.5% (53) 25.1% (123) 6.6% (107)
Luke Voit 108 .227 (126) .319 (90) .411 (83) 4.0% (39) 31.9% (143) 10.6% (34)

Mets vs. Nationals Picks and Predictions

We predict that the Mets will pick up the win in this matchup, and they’re our choice on the moneyline (-320). If you’re looking for a pick on the over/under, we see the final scoring winding up over the total (8.5 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Stacy Sailer

Stacy has been a baseball fan for as long as she can remember. She admits that she grew up as a spoiled Yankees fan in the late-90’s/early 2000’s, but has slowly evolved into a disgruntled Yankees fan due to their lone championship title in the last 21 seasons. She follows other sports, but her first love has always been baseball and loves getting to share her insight and knowledge with the Betsperts community.

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