Cubs vs Marlins Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – May 6, 2023

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On Saturday, the Miami Marlins (16-17) are visiting the Chicago Cubs (16-16), at 2:20 PM ET. The Cubs have won 12 in a row. Drew Smyly (3-1) is the starter for the Cubs, and Bryan Hoeing (0-1) for the Marlins.

The Cubs (-176) are moneyline favorites at home over the Marlins (+148). The game’s total is set at 9.

Cubs vs. Marlins Odds

Run Line

Chicago Cubs (-1.5)

Moneyline

Cubs (-176)

Total

9 Runs (Over: -118, Under: -103)

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When, Where, at What Time is Cubs vs. Marlins

  • Game Day: Saturday, May 6, 2023
  • Game Time: 2:20 PM ET
  • TV Channel: MLBN
  • Location: Chicago, Illinois
  • Stadium: Wrigley Field

Cubs Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Kyle Hendricks 15-Day Injured List Shoulder
Adrian Sampson 15-Day Injured List Knee
Brandon Hughes 15-Day Injured List Knee
Codi Heuer 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Ethan Roberts 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Yan Gomes 7-Day Injured List Concussion

Marlins Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Joey Wendle 10-Day Injured List Oblique
Avisaíl García 10-Day Injured List Back
Garrett Cooper 10-Day Injured List Illness
Trevor Rogers 15-Day Injured List Bicep
JT Chargois 15-Day Injured List Back
Johnny Cueto 15-Day Injured List Bicep
Max Meyer 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Nic Enright 60-Day Injured List Illness
Anthony Bender 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Tommy Nance 60-Day Injured List Shoulder

Last Time Out: Cubs and Marlins

These teams meet again after the Cubs beat the Marlins 4-1 yesterday. Justin Steele picked up the win for the Cubs (7.0 IP, 1 R, 6 H, 4 K), and Ian Happ led the way offensively (1-for-3 with a home run and two RBI). Edward Cabrera (5.0 IP, 3 R, 5 H, 8 K) took the loss for the Marlins.

Betting Trends

Cubs Betting Records and Team Stats

This season, the Cubs have won nine out of the 19 games, or 47.4%, in which they’ve been favored. Chicago has a record of 1-3 in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -176 on the moneyline. The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 63.8% chance of a victory for the Cubs. So far this season, Chicago and its opponents have hit the over in 13 of their 32 games with a total. The Cubs have an ATS record of 18-14-0 in 32 games with a spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Nico Hoerner 32 .309 (20) .353 (65) .410 (96) 1.3% (150) 11.3% (11) 5.3% (161)
Cody Bellinger 29 .297 (31) .365 (51) .568 (18) 5.6% (22) 19% (67) 8.7% (100)
Ian Happ 31 .300 (28) .426 (7) .491 (49) 3% (83) 20.7% (85) 18.5% (6)
Patrick Wisdom 31 .229 (134) .311 (125) .587 (8) 9% (3) 36.9% (178) 9.8% (82)
Dansby Swanson 32 .283 (44) .390 (22) .375 (121) 1.4% (146) 22.7% (107) 14.9% (18)

Marlins Betting Records and Team Stats

The Marlins have come away with 10 wins in the 21 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season. This year, Miami has won three of five games when listed as at least +148 or worse on the moneyline. Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 40.3% chance of pulling out a win. Miami and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 14 of their 33 opportunities. The Marlins are 13-20-0 against the spread in their 33 games that had a posted line this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Luis Arraez 30 .437 (1) .504 (1) .544 (23) 0.9% (155) 5.2% (1) 12.1% (48)
Jorge Soler 33 .212 (158) .294 (146) .451 (67) 4.8% (38) 25.6% (128) 8.8% (96)
Jon Berti 32 .271 (64) .330 (94) .375 (121) 1.9% (129) 17.9% (57) 8.5% (106)
Jazz Chisholm 33 .229 (134) .283 (157) .390 (112) 3.9% (55) 36.2% (176) 6.3% (148)
Yuli Gurriel 29 .292 (-) .329 (-) .431 (-) 2.9% (-) 10% (-) 4.3% (-)

Cubs vs. Marlins Picks and Predictions

Our pick for this matchup is the Cubs to win (-176 on the moneyline), while we predict the total score will go under the total (9 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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