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The Houston Astros host the Seattle Mariners to begin the ALDS on Tuesday 3:37 PM ET at Minute Maid Park. The Astros will hand the ball to Justin Verlander (18-4), and the Mariners will turn to Logan Gilbert (13-6).
The oddsmakers have spoken, making the Astros (-227) a moderate moneyline favorite to defeat the Mariners (+192) at home. The game’s over/under is set at 6.5.
Astros vs. Mariners Odds
Run Line
Houston Astros (-1.5)
Moneyline
Astros (-227)
Total
6.5 Runs (Over: -121, Under: +100)
When, Where, at What Time is Astros vs. Mariners
- Game Day: Tuesday, October 11, 2022
- Game Time: 3:37 PM ET
- TV Channel: TBS
- Location: Houston, Texas
- Stadium: Minute Maid Park
Astros Injury Report
| Name | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Jason Castro | 60 Day Injury List | Knee |
| Michael Brantley | 60 Day Injury List | Shoulder |
| Josh James | 60 Day Injury List | Back |
Mariners Injury Report
| Name | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Sam Haggerty | 40 Man Active | Groin |
| Tom Murphy | 60 Day Injury List | Shoulder |
| Casey Sadler | 60 Day Injury List | Shoulder |
| Carlos Santana | Day-to-day | Hamstring |
| Dylan Moore | Day-to-day | Hand |
Last Time Out: Astros and Mariners
The Astros won 3-2 over the Phillies Tuesday in their last game. Framber Valdez was named the winning pitcher after throwing five innings without giving up an earned run on two hits, while striking out 10, while Chas McCormick finished 3-for-3 with a double and an RBI to lead them offensively.
The Mariners beat the Blue Jays 10-9 Tuesday. Carlos Santana went 2-for-4 with a double, a home run and three RBI, and Andres Munoz got the win, throwing one inning without giving up a hit or an earned run while striking out one.
Betting Trends
Astros Betting Records and Team Stats
This season, the Astros have been favored 144 times and won 100, or 69.4%, of those games. Houston has a record of 30-8, a 78.9% win rate, when favored by -227 or more by bookmakers this season. The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 69.4% chance of a victory for the Astros. Houston’s games have gone over the total in 61 of their 166 chances. The Astros have an ATS record of 89-77-0 in 166 games with a spread this season.
| Name | GP | AVG (Rank) | OBP (Rank) | SLG (Rank) | HR% (Rank) | K% (Rank) | BB% (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez | 136 | .307 (6) | .407 (2) | .614 (2) | 6.6% (3) | 18.9% (62) | 13.9% (7) |
| Alex Bregman | 156 | .260 (61) | .367 (16) | .455 (42) | 3.5% (54) | 11.7% (8) | 13.3% (8) |
| Jose Altuve | 141 | .298 (12) | .386 (7) | .531 (6) | 4.6% (25) | 14.4% (18) | 10.9% (23) |
| Kyle Tucker | 152 | .257 (67) | .330 (58) | .478 (21) | 5.0% (14) | 15.7% (27) | 9.7% (47) |
| Yuli Gurriel | 147 | .242 (90) | .288 (121) | .360 (118) | 1.4% (119) | 12.5% (12) | 5.1% (119) |
Mariners Betting Records and Team Stats
The Mariners have been victorious in 36, or 45%, of the 80 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season. Seattle has a mark of 2-1 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by +192 or worse on the moneyline. The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mariners have a 34.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest. Seattle and their opponents have gone over in 76 of their 167 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The Mariners are 85-82-0 against the spread in their 167 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
| Name | GP | AVG (Rank) | OBP (Rank) | SLG (Rank) | HR% (Rank) | K% (Rank) | BB% (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julio Rodriguez | 134 | .284 (24) | .345 (36) | .507 (14) | 5.0% (14) | 25.9% (113) | 7.1% (89) |
| Ty France | 140 | .278 (29) | .340 (45) | .439 (56) | 3.3% (60) | 15.4% (23) | 5.7% (112) |
| Eugenio Suárez | 150 | .236 (104) | .332 (55) | .459 (38) | 4.9% (19) | 31.2% (128) | 11.6% (16) |
| J.P. Crawford | 147 | .243 (87) | .339 (46) | .336 (123) | 1.0% (124) | 13.3% (15) | 11.3% (18) |
| Carlos Santana | 133 | .202 (127) | .316 (79) | .376 (114) | 3.8% (46) | 17.4% (45) | 14.0% (5) |
Astros vs. Mariners Picks and Predictions
Our prediction for this matchup is the Astros to emerge victorious (-227 on the moneyline), while we project the total score will go over the total (6.5 runs).