Astros vs Mariners ALDS Game 1: Picks, Predictions, Moneyline and Odds – Tuesday, October 11

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The Houston Astros host the Seattle Mariners to begin the ALDS on Tuesday 3:37 PM ET at Minute Maid Park. The Astros will hand the ball to Justin Verlander (18-4), and the Mariners will turn to Logan Gilbert (13-6).

The oddsmakers have spoken, making the Astros (-227) a moderate moneyline favorite to defeat the Mariners (+192) at home. The game’s over/under is set at 6.5.

Astros vs. Mariners Odds

Run Line

Houston Astros (-1.5)

Moneyline

Astros (-227)

Total

6.5 Runs (Over: -121, Under: +100)

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When, Where, at What Time is Astros vs. Mariners

  • Game Day: Tuesday, October 11, 2022
  • Game Time: 3:37 PM ET
  • TV Channel: TBS
  • Location: Houston, Texas
  • Stadium: Minute Maid Park

Astros Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Jason Castro 60 Day Injury List Knee
Michael Brantley 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
Josh James 60 Day Injury List Back

Mariners Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Sam Haggerty 40 Man Active Groin
Tom Murphy 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
Casey Sadler 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
Carlos Santana Day-to-day Hamstring
Dylan Moore Day-to-day Hand

Last Time Out: Astros and Mariners

The Astros won 3-2 over the Phillies Tuesday in their last game. Framber Valdez was named the winning pitcher after throwing five innings without giving up an earned run on two hits, while striking out 10, while Chas McCormick finished 3-for-3 with a double and an RBI to lead them offensively.

The Mariners beat the Blue Jays 10-9 Tuesday. Carlos Santana went 2-for-4 with a double, a home run and three RBI, and Andres Munoz got the win, throwing one inning without giving up a hit or an earned run while striking out one.

Betting Trends

Astros Betting Records and Team Stats

This season, the Astros have been favored 144 times and won 100, or 69.4%, of those games. Houston has a record of 30-8, a 78.9% win rate, when favored by -227 or more by bookmakers this season. The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 69.4% chance of a victory for the Astros. Houston’s games have gone over the total in 61 of their 166 chances. The Astros have an ATS record of 89-77-0 in 166 games with a spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Yordan Alvarez 136 .307 (6) .407 (2) .614 (2) 6.6% (3) 18.9% (62) 13.9% (7)
Alex Bregman 156 .260 (61) .367 (16) .455 (42) 3.5% (54) 11.7% (8) 13.3% (8)
Jose Altuve 141 .298 (12) .386 (7) .531 (6) 4.6% (25) 14.4% (18) 10.9% (23)
Kyle Tucker 152 .257 (67) .330 (58) .478 (21) 5.0% (14) 15.7% (27) 9.7% (47)
Yuli Gurriel 147 .242 (90) .288 (121) .360 (118) 1.4% (119) 12.5% (12) 5.1% (119)

Mariners Betting Records and Team Stats

The Mariners have been victorious in 36, or 45%, of the 80 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season. Seattle has a mark of 2-1 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by +192 or worse on the moneyline. The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mariners have a 34.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest. Seattle and their opponents have gone over in 76 of their 167 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The Mariners are 85-82-0 against the spread in their 167 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Julio Rodriguez 134 .284 (24) .345 (36) .507 (14) 5.0% (14) 25.9% (113) 7.1% (89)
Ty France 140 .278 (29) .340 (45) .439 (56) 3.3% (60) 15.4% (23) 5.7% (112)
Eugenio Suárez 150 .236 (104) .332 (55) .459 (38) 4.9% (19) 31.2% (128) 11.6% (16)
J.P. Crawford 147 .243 (87) .339 (46) .336 (123) 1.0% (124) 13.3% (15) 11.3% (18)
Carlos Santana 133 .202 (127) .316 (79) .376 (114) 3.8% (46) 17.4% (45) 14.0% (5)

Astros vs. Mariners Picks and Predictions

Our prediction for this matchup is the Astros to emerge victorious (-227 on the moneyline), while we project the total score will go over the total (6.5 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Stacy Sailer

Stacy has been a baseball fan for as long as she can remember. She admits that she grew up as a spoiled Yankees fan in the late-90’s/early 2000’s, but has slowly evolved into a disgruntled Yankees fan due to their lone championship title in the last 21 seasons. She follows other sports, but her first love has always been baseball and loves getting to share her insight and knowledge with the Betsperts community.

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