Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Odds, Picks, and Predictions: Pitching to keep offenses at bay in Tampa

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The top two teams in the AL East begin their four-game set tonight at 6:40 pm et at the Trop in Tampa. Ryan Yarbrough (0-0, 4.20 ERA) will start the game for Tampa Bay with Nestor Cortes (3-1, 1.80 ERA) getting the call for New York. Below are today’s Rays vs Yankees odds, pick, and predictions.

Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Odds, Pick, and Prediction

The Yankees salvaged their home series against Baltimore with a 2-0 win yesterday and still sit atop the MLB standings at 31-13 on the year. The Rays completed a short two-game sweep of same state rival Miami yesterday and currently find themselves 4.5 games back of New York in the division.

Rays vs Yankees OddsRun LineGame TotalMoney Line
Yankees-1.5 (+139)O 7.5 (-101)-123
Rays+1.5 (-164)U 7.5 (-120)+103

See all the Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees odds here

  • 11-9 ATS on the road
  • 14-6 outright on the road this year
  • 20-22 ATS as a favorite
  • Record of 26-8 in their last 34 games
  • Hit the Run Line in 10 or their last 17 road games
  • 9-15 ATS at home
  • 15-9 outright at home this year
  • 5-2 ATS as an underdog
  • Record of 21-11 in their last 32 games
  • Hit the Run Line in 13 of their last 21 games
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Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Prediction & Pick

These are two of the top five pitching teams in baseball this year with both having team ERA’s at 3.30 or below. The Yankees however are keeping opponents to just 3.18 runs/gm with the Rays allowing 4 runs/gm. Nestor Cortes showed himself to be human last time out against the White Sox allowing 3 ER in 5 innings. But, it was his second start against Chicago and the only start of 2022, allowing more than 2 runs. Ryan Yarbrough has looked pretty good over his last three appearances allowing just 3 runs in 12.2 innings and he’s given up just a single HR to date. Both starters pitched extremely well against today’s opponents last season, and these bullpens are a couple of baseball’s best. I expect scoring to come at a premium today and regardless of who wins think this goes under the game total.    

Pick: Under 7.5 Runs (-120, Fanduel Sportsbook)

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