Another solid day for us yesterday going 1-1 on our props, but we hit a plus-money winner with the Mets cruising to a 1st Half cover in Game 1 of a doubleheader against the Pirates. Our loss was a bit of a bad beat with the Phillies taking a 4-2 lead into the 9th, only to allow a solo home run to Jacob Stallings of all people, dooming the -1.5 run line bet at +128. We’ll take the profitable evening and head back to the board. It’s a much smaller slate today in Major League Baseball, but still some value to be had. Check out Matt & I’s top MLB prop bets for September 8th below.
Top MLB Prop Bets for September 8th
Marlins 1st Half Moneyline (+100) vs Phillies
Rolling the dice on this one with a Marlins team playing some really bad baseball, but Sandy Alcantara is throwing for them today and he’s been good for us all season. Alcantara hasn’t been great over the last few weeks. He got touched up in 2 of his last 3 starts against the Dodgers and Braves, but the Dodgers and Braves get to a lot of pitchers.
In 4 starts against the Phillies this season, Alcantara has 3 quality starts. Kyle Gibson was blasted in his last start by the Giants to the tune of 7 ER over 1.2 IP. We’re getting some value here with Alcantara because of the rough last weeks, but he’s still been one of the NL’s best pitchers all season. I’m happy and confident in adding this to our top MLB prop bets for September 8th.
White Sox & A’s 1st Half under 3.5 (-122) & White Sox 1st Half Winning Margin by 1-2 Runs (+220)
We have ourselves a pretty good pitching matchup tonight in Oakland as the White Sox continue their west coast swing. Cy Young candidate Dylan Cease makes his first start since tossing 8.2 innings of no-hit ball against the Twins on Saturday night before losing his no hit bid. With the injuries to Justin Verlander and Shane McClanahan, Cease has a window to be the Cy Young front-runner with another dominant start or two.
The White Sox offense has been better as of late, but much of their offense has been coming in later innings. JP Sears has only thrown 49.1 IP, but in that limited action he’s been really good. He’s 5-1 (usually records for pitchers don’t matter a ton, but this is a terrible A’s team) with a 2.37 ERA. Banking on a pitching battle where the Sox scrape across a run or two early.
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Corbin Burnes Over 6.5 Strikeouts (-160, BetMGM) Bet 2u to win 1.25u
I’ll start by saying that Burnes is one of the best strikeout pitchers in baseball. He is just one of four pitchers already at 200+ K’s on the season, has the 6th best K/9 rate at 10.976, and has gone over this prop in 15 of 27 starts. Yes, he has struggled to pile up K’s since August, going over this number in just ONE of his last seven starts, but today’s matinee at home against San Fran could break this trend.
Corbin dominated the Giants in Frisco back in July striking out 10 over 7.1 innings and the Giants have been fairly easy to strike out all season. They’ve K’d the 8th most times on the year, and have done so in over 23% of all plate appearances facing RHP. Burnes is overdue for a dominating performance and today may just be that day. His K prop is set at 7.5 everywhere else, so I was quick to add this as one of my top MLB prop bets for September 8th.
Josiah Gray Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-164, FanDuel) Bet 2u to win 1.22u
Gray has been pretty solid during his first full season in The Bigs. He sports a 4.91 ERA and has allowed a league-high 34 HR but it’s clear the future is bright. One area where he’s excelled is in the strikeout department where Josiah has tallied 142 over his 128.1 innings this season. Signs of fatigue may be present of late however, which is why this found itself as one of my top MLB prop bets for September 8th.
The game totals have taken a dip of late however, as he’s K’d 5 or fewer hitters in four of his last five starts. I expect this trend to continue going against a Cardinals offense that has been one of the toughest to strike out all season. As a team, they’ve K’d the 6th fewest times and haven’t allowed an opposing starter 6 or more K’s in 11 straight games. Gray has the stuff, but his propensity to allow the longball could see him make an early exit and not even get a chance to hit this mark.
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