We had ourselves a day yesterday, so how could we not combine baseball blogs again to keep the good vibes going. Matt’s MLB favorites parlay hit even with Tony Gonsolin getting scratched from his start midday with a forearm issue. Hopefully he’s ok, that forearm injuries and pitchers are always concerning. Brian nailed 2 of his 3 MLB props including a +240 hit with Aaron Judge going yard for the 50th time this season. Carlos Rodon had himself a rare off night, but 3-1 with 2 plus-money hits always works. We’re back with FanDuel tonight for our odds where you can get $150 in free bets win or lose when you place your first $5 wager by signing up below. So without further ado, here are our top MLB prop bets for August 30th.
Top MLB Prop Bets for August 30th
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Favorites ML Parlay (+198): Rays/Marlins 1st Half Under 3.5 (-140), Braves ML (-390), Astros ML (-172)
I didn’t really love the board again today, a lot of variance and not a whole lot of value on the run lines so let’s take a shot on a parlay again. Let’s start off with Rays and Marlins. Shane McClanahan throws for Tampa, he’s a guy who will be getting some Cy Young votes at the end of the season. After a pair of rough starts to end July/begin August he’s turned in three consecutive quality starts and allowed just 4 ER in his last 3 starts. The Marlins lineup struggled against the Dodgers putting up just 5 runs in their last 3 games. Jesus Luzardo has thrown really well for Miami in his limited action this season. He’s got quality starts in 3 of his last 4. His last two outings against the A’s and Dodgers were very good, and he’s done a good job of not issuing many walks. Let’s ride the hot starters here.
The Braves host the Rockies in what on paper should be the easiest win of the night, hence the -390 ML. But that’s also what concerns me most because #baseball. Max Fried should absolutely win the pitching matchup over Jose Urena. The Braves have the superior lineup and they’re playing better baseball. Atlanta has been a very good team at home this season and the Rockies aren’t as good on the road as they are at home.
Lastly, we’re going to take the Astros to round out the parlay and boost the value a little bit. It’s Framber Valdez vs Dane Dunning in the pitching matchup. Dunning has had solid second half after a rough start, but he’s been roughed up in 2 of his last 3 starts. Valdez has been really good this season and really helped solidify the top of that rotation with Lance McCullers missing a bunch of time. Dunning has actually been pretty good in his two starts against Houston this year, but I still trust the Astros offense more than an inconsistent starter in Dunning.
George Kirby Over 6.5 Strikeouts (+122) Bet 1u to win 1.22u
The rookie Kirby has rediscovered his K game, striking out 7+ in four of his last five starts. This comes on the heels of a nine-start stretch where he did so just once and in which he averaged just 4 K/game. Kirby faces a Tigers offense that is scoring the fewest runs/game and has struck out the 7th most times so far this season. This will be the first time Detroit has faced him so I expect Kirby to dominate.
Mark Canha Hit (-145) Bet 2u to win 1.38u
Who knew moving to Queens would be this beneficial. Canha is currently batting .278 which would be a season-long career-high. He’s reached this mark by hitting .367 over the last 18 games while recording a hit in 11 of the 15 games he started. Tonight he’ll face a familiar foe from their days in the AL West in Andrew Heaney.
Heaney has looked impressive with the Dodgers this season, pitching to a 1.94 ERA in nine starts but 7 of his 9 ER allowed on the year have come during his last three outings. The Mets are one of baseball’s most dangerous offenses, and Canha has the most career success among his teammates against LA’s lefty. All we need is a single hit, and Mark has provided at least that in three of his last four games.
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