Picking MLB games is a complex and tiring task with shaky bullpens, weird extra inning rules, and the natural state of the game. One way to attack the sport and have fun while we’re at it is by betting MLB player props. With that in mind, I found a couple of my favorites for today’s schedule of games and gave a quick explanation as to why I’m betting them below. Check out my MLB Player Props of the day.
MLB Player Props for July 15th
Sandy Alcantara Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-125, DraftKings) Bet 1u to win .8u
Sandy is the clear favorite for the NL Cy Young award right now and rightfully so. He’s gone 7 or more innings in 12 straight starts while allowing 2 or fewer runs in nine of those. One area he hasn’t been otherworldly is in the K department where yes, he has a total of 111 on the season, but has eclipsed 6 just five times this season. On the road, Sandy has gone under this prop in seven of his nine starts and did so during both outings against Philadelphia this year.
Amazingly, the Phillies have hit Alcantara pretty well this year, piling up 13 total hits during his two starts and forcing 4 walks in the process. As a team, Philly is about league average in striking out but has allowed just two starters to go over this number in their last 15 games. I love Alcantara and think he’s one of the best pitchers in the game right now, but hitters know this as well, and will attack early. Not to mention, his ridiculous string of amazing starts has to be snapped at some point no?
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Adam Duvall to record an RBI (+155, PointsBet) Bet 1u to win 1.55u
Duvall has recorded just 3 RBI in his seven games played during the month of July but has done so in two of the four games he’s started. He’s also been much better against LHP this year, batting almost 40 points higher, and hitting 6 of his 11 total HR on the year in over 100 less AB’s. Tonight he and the Braves face lefty Patrick Corbin who has simply not been good this year. Corbin has allowed 3 or more runs in 13 of his 18 starts to begin 2022, and has been lit up by Atlanta twice already, surrendering 4+ runs in both starts.
Duvall has enjoyed plenty of career success against Corbin, going 11-for-32 (.344) while hitting 2 HR and knocking in 8 against him. And, the Braves’ outfielder has really liked facing Washington having hit a career-high 16 HR, and batting .276 against them during his career. Atlanta is averaging over 7 runs/gm against Washington this season and Duvall is batting behind a bunch of good hitters. All we need is a single RBI and considering this matchup has the 2nd highest game total on the board, there should be opportunities.
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