The UC Davis Aggies (17-12, 10-7 Big West) are only 2.5-point underdogs as they try to build on a four-game home win streak when they square off against the UCSB Gauchos (22-7, 13-5 Big West) on Thursday, March 2, 2023 at The Pavilion at ARC. The contest airs at 9:00 PM ET on ESPN+. The matchup has an over/under set at 139.5 points.
UCSB vs. UC Davis Odds
- UCSB odds to win: -145
- UC Davis odds to win: +123
- Spread: UCSB (-2.5)
- Total: 139.5
UCSB vs. UC Davis Promo Codes
[bet-bonus id=”346413″ ]
Game Time and Information
- Date: Thursday, March 2, 2023
- Time: 9:00 PM ET
- TV: ESPN+
- Where: Davis, California
- Venue: The Pavilion at ARC
Who Will Win UCSB vs. UC Davis?
UCSB and UC Davis Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
UCSB has a 12-9-1 record against the spread this season when favored by 2.5 points or more.
In games this year in which it was an underdog by 2.5 points or more, UC Davis has a 3-5 record against the spread.
These teams average a combined 145.4 points per game, 5.9 more points than the total of 139.5 set for this matchup.
UCSB and UC Davis have seen their opponents average a combined 4.8 fewer points per game than the point total of 139.5 set in this outing.
UCSB’s average point total in matchups this season is 135.8, 3.7 points below the over/under in this game.
Aggies games this year have averaged a total of 144.3 points, 4.8 more than the point total in this matchup.
The Gauchos have a 16-10-1 record against the spread this season.
The Aggies are 12-15-0 ATS this season.
UCSB Stats & Insights
UCSB outscores opponents by 6.0 points per game (scoring 70.9 per game to rank 194th in college basketball while giving up 64.9 per outing to rank 41st in college basketball) and has a +175 scoring differential overall.
UCSB wins the rebound battle by 3.3 boards on average. It collects 29.8 rebounds per game, which ranks 284th in college basketball, while its opponents grab 26.5 per outing.
The Gauchos hit 5.5 three-pointers per game (338th in college basketball) at a 34.3% rate (182nd in college basketball), compared to the 5.9 their opponents make while shooting 34.6% from deep.
UCSB ranks 68th in college basketball by averaging 98.2 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 135th in college basketball, allowing 89.8 points per 100 possessions.
Offensively, the Gauchos have fared better when playing at home this year, putting up 74.9 points per game, compared to 68.1 per game when playing on the road.
UC Davis Stats & Insights
UC Davis is outscoring opponents by 4.7 points per game, with a +136 scoring differential overall. It puts up 74.5 points per game (117th in college basketball) and allows 69.8 per contest (175th in college basketball).
UC Davis records 33.6 rebounds per game (76th in college basketball) while allowing 29.1 per outing to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 4.5 boards per game.
UC Davis makes 6.9 three-pointers per game (239th in college basketball) at a 35.3% rate (125th in college basketball), compared to the 6.3 its opponents make, shooting 36.7% from deep.
UC Davis’ 93.7 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 184th in college basketball, and the 87.8 points it concedes per 100 possessions rank 81st in college basketball.
At home, the Aggies average 78.2 points per game. Away, they average 70.5.
UCSB Key Players to Watch
The leader in points and assists for the Gauchos is Ajay Mitchell, who scores 15.7 points and distributes 4.9 assists per game.
Andre Kelly leads UCSB in rebounding, grabbing 6.5 boards per game while also scoring 9.5 points a contest.
Miles Norris leads the Gauchos in three-point shooting, knocking down an average of 1.7 shots per game from beyond the arc.
The UCSB steals leader is Mitchell, who averages 1.4 takeaways per game, while its blocks leader is Norris, who compiles 0.9 rejections per contest.
UC Davis Key Players to Watch
Elijah Pepper holds the top spot on the Aggies leaderboards for scoring (22.0 per game), rebounds (5.9 per game), and assists (3.4 per game).
Pepper is the top scorer from the three-point line for the Aggies, hitting 2.3 threes per game.
UC Davis’ leader in steals is Ty Johnson (1.8 per game), and its leader in blocks is Christian Anigwe (1.4 per game).
UCSB vs. UC Davis Prediction
- Pick ATS:
UC Davis (+2.5)
- Pick OU:
UCSB 70, UC Davis 69
[bet-promo id=”168477″ ]