TCU vs. Texas Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Wednesday, March 1, 2023

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The No. 9 Texas Longhorns (22-7, 11-5 Big 12) are 3.5-point underdogs as they look to end a three-game road losing streak when they visit the No. 22 TCU Horned Frogs (19-10, 8-8 Big 12) on Wednesday, March 1, 2023 at Schollmaier Arena. The matchup airs at 9:00 PM ET on ESPN2. The over/under is set at 149.5 in the matchup.

TCU vs. Texas Odds

  • TCU odds to win: -169
  • Texas odds to win: +143
  • Spread: TCU (-3.5)
  • Total: 149.5

TCU vs. Texas Promo Codes

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Game Time and Information

  • Date: Wednesday, March 1, 2023
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • TV: ESPN2
  • Where: Fort Worth, Texas
  • Venue: Schollmaier Arena

Who Will Win TCU vs. Texas?

TCU and Texas Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

TCU has an 8-7 record against the spread when favored by 3.5 points or more this season.

Texas has not yet covered the spread as an underdog of 3.5 points or more this season (0-3).

The two teams average a combined 5.8 more points per game, 155.3, than this matchup’s over/under of 149.5 points.

TCU and Texas have seen their opponents average a combined 13.1 fewer points per game than the point total of 149.5 set in this outing.

TCU’s average point total in matchups this year is 143.7, 5.8 points below the total in this game.

The average point total for the Longhorns this year is 1.5 points fewer than this game’s over/under.

The Horned Frogs have a 15-14-0 record against the spread this season.

The Longhorns have a 12-17-0 record against the spread this year.

TCU Stats & Insights

TCU’s +245 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 8.5 points per game) is a result of scoring 76.1 points per game (75th in college basketball) while allowing 67.6 per outing (104th in college basketball).

TCU prevails in the rebound battle by an average of 1.9 boards. It is grabbing 33.2 rebounds per game (99th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 31.3 per contest.

The Horned Frogs make 5.1 three-pointers per game (347th in college basketball) while shooting 29.1% from beyond the arc (354th in college basketball). They are making 1.1 fewer threes per contest than their opponents, who drain 6.2 per game while shooting 30.7%.

TCU’s 94.6 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 162nd in college basketball, and the 84.1 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 26th in college basketball.

Offensively, the Horned Frogs have performed better at home this year, posting 78.1 points per game, compared to 73.6 per game on the road.

Texas Stats & Insights

Texas outscores opponents by 10.4 points per game (posting 79.2 points per game, 27th in college basketball, and allowing 68.8 per contest, 144th in college basketball) and has a +301 scoring differential.

Texas wins the rebound battle by an average of 1.1 boards. It records 31.6 rebounds per game (186th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 30.5.

Texas makes 7.4 three-pointers per game (186th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 6.7 on average.

Texas’ 100.0 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 35th in college basketball, and the 86.9 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 69th in college basketball.

In 2022-23 the Longhorns are scoring 16.4 more points per game at home (85.4) than on the road (69.0).

TCU Key Players to Watch

The Horned Frogs scoring leader is Mike Miles, who averages 18.0 per contest to go with 2.8 rebounds and 2.8 assists.

TCU’s leading rebounder is Emanuel Miller averaging 6.4 boards per game and its best passer is Damion Baugh and his 6.0 assists per game.

Miles makes more threes per game than any other member of the Horned Frogs, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 1.2 per contest.

Baugh is TCU’s leader in steals, averaging 1.8 steals per game, while Charles O’Bannon Jr. leads them in blocks with 1.0 per contest.

Texas Key Players to Watch

Marcus Carr racks up 16.8 points and tacks on 4.2 assists per game, putting him at the top of the Longhorns’ leaderboards in those statistics.

Timmy Allen’s stat line of 5.6 rebounds, 10.9 points and 3.4 assists per game helps him grab the top spot on the Texas rebounding leaderboard.

Carr is dependable from distance and leads the Longhorns with 2.3 made threes per game.

Texas’ leader in steals is Carr with 1.6 per game, and its leader in blocks is Dylan Disu with 1.4 per game.

TCU vs. Texas Prediction

  • Pick ATS:

    Texas (+3.5)

  • Pick OU:

    Under (149.5)

  • Prediction:
    TCU 74, Texas 73

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How to Bet on TCU vs. Texas

And for more CBB game previews, NCAA basketball picks or even how to bet on college basketball check out the latest NCAAB lines on Betsperts.


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