Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt Prediction: Spread, Total Points, Moneyline Picks

The No. 23 Kentucky Wildcats (20-9, 11-5 SEC) are heavily favored (-10) to extend a four-game winning streak when they host the Vanderbilt Commodores (16-13, 9-7 SEC) at 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, March 1, 2023 at Rupp Arena. The matchup airs on SEC Network. The over/under for the matchup is set at 145.5.

Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt Odds

Kentucky odds to win: -550
Vanderbilt odds to win: +403
Spread: Kentucky (-10)
Total: 145.5

Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt Promo Codes

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Game Time and Information

Date: Wednesday, March 1, 2023
Time: 7:00 PM ET
TV: SEC Network
Where: Lexington, Kentucky
Venue: Rupp Arena

Who Will Win Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt?

Kentucky and Vanderbilt Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

Kentucky has a 5-6 record against the spread in games it was favored by 10 points or more this season.

Vanderbilt is 2-1 against the spread when an underdog by 10 points or more this year.

Between them, these two teams average 1.5 more points per game (147) than this matchup’s over/under (145.5).

Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 139.1 points per game, 6.4 fewer than the point total in this matchup.

Kentucky’s average point total in matchups this year is 142.2, 3.3 points below the over/under in this game.

The average total for Commodores games this season is 1.6 fewer points than the point total of 145.5 in this outing.

The Wildcats are 14-15-0 ATS this season.

The Commodores are 15-14-0 against the spread this season.

Kentucky Stats & Insights

Kentucky averages 75 points per game (105th in college basketball) while giving up 67.2 per outing (93rd in college basketball). It has a +225 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 7.8 points per game.

Kentucky grabs 35.7 rebounds per game (21st in college basketball) while allowing 26.7 per outing to its opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 9.0 boards per game.

The Wildcats hit 6.6 three-pointers per game (264th in college basketball) at a 36.8% rate (52nd in college basketball), compared to the 6.4 their opponents make while shooting 32.9% from deep.

Kentucky ranks 49th in college basketball with 99 points scored per 100 possessions, and 110th in college basketball defensively with 88.8 points conceded per 100 possessions.

Offensively, the Wildcats have played better in home games this year, putting up 79.1 points per game, compared to 69.4 per game on the road.

Vanderbilt Stats & Insights

Vanderbilt scores 72 points per game (178th in college basketball) and allows 71.9 (239th in college basketball) for a +3 scoring differential overall.

Vanderbilt wins the rebound battle by 1.6 boards on average. It collects 34.2 rebounds per game, 49th in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 32.6.

Vanderbilt makes 1.3 more threes per game than the opposition, 8.4 (68th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 7.1.

Vanderbilt’s 94 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 175th in college basketball, and the 93.9 points it concedes per 100 possessions rank 259th in college basketball.

The Commodores average 71.9 points per game at home, and 73.9 on the road.

Kentucky Key Players to Watch

The scoring and rebounding leader for the Wildcats is Oscar Tshiebwe, who puts up 16.4 points and 12.8 rebounds per game.

Kentucky’s best passer is Sahvir Wheeler, who averages 5.6 assists per game to go with his 7.7 PPG scoring average.

Antonio Reeves makes more threes per game than any other member of the Wildcats, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.3 per contest.

Cason Wallace and Tshiebwe lead Kentucky on the defensive end, with Wallace leading the team in steals averaging two per game and Tshiebwe in blocks averaging one per contest.

Vanderbilt Key Players to Watch

The Commodores’ leader in scoring and rebounding is Liam Robbins with 15.5 points and 7.1 rebounds per game.

Ezra Manjon records more assists than any other Vanderbilt teammate with 3.8 per game. He also averages 8.9 points and pulls down 2.9 rebounds per game.

Myles Stute averages 2.3 three-pointers per game, the most on the Commodores.

Vanderbilt’s leader in steals is Manjon (0.9 per game), and its leader in blocks is Robbins (3.1 per game).