Week 1 of the College Football season is officially in the books. We learned about a lot of teams through the first full week of College Football, though largely the favorites remained the same. We can start at the top with the three favorites to start the season. Alabama, Georgia, and Ohio State all won their Week 1 matchups impressively.
Alabama did what everyone expected them to against Utah State at home with a 55-0 win. The Crimson Tide will be tested more this week as they head to Austin to take on the Texas Longhorns on the road. Alabama is still a 20.5-point favorite in that matchup.
Read more about Alabama vs Texas
The defending National Champion Georgia Bulldogs turned a lot of head with their Week 1 performance. While they still entered the season the 3rd favorite to win the National Championship, the Bulldogs had a ton of turnover on their roster from last year’s team. Turns out it didn’t really matter.
Georgia dominated #11 Oregon from the word go and cruised to a 49-3 win in Atlanta over the Ducks and their former defensive coordinator Dan Lanning. Georgia did see their odds shorten to +250 as they jumped Ohio State.
Ohio State had the least dominant win of the three favorites, but it was against the best opponent. Ohio State won a low scoring brawl at home against Notre Dame. Prior to the season, the biggest question for Ohio State was whether or not they’d be able to win tightly contested defensive battles. They did indeed.
Ohio State looked much tougher on both lines in Week 1 against a very good Notre Dame defense and an offensive line with a good amount of pro talent.
|Alabama +160||Georgia +250||Ohio State +300|
|Clemson +1200||USC +1600||Texas A&M +3000|
|Michigan +3500||Oklahoma +5000||Miami (FL +8000|
|Tennessee +10000||Oklahoma State +10000||Wisconsin +10000|
|Penn State +10000||Texas +10000||Florida +10000|
|Arkansas +12000||Notre Dame +12000||Kentucky +15000|
|NC State +15000||Mississippi +15000||Baylor +15000|
|Utah +20000||South Carolina +20000||North Carolina +20000|
|Michigan State +20000||Florida State +20000||UCLA +20000|
|Auburn +20000||Minnesota +20000||Mississippi State +20000|
|Washington +20000||Pittsburgh +20000||Iowa State +25000|
|Iowa +25000||Wake Forest +25000||TCU +25000|
|UCF +25000||California +25000||Arizona State +30000|
|Houston +30000||Oregon +30000||Stanford +30000|
|Oregon State +30000||Indiana +30000||Kansas State +30000|
|Maryland +30000||Washington State +30000||Virginia +30000|
|Nebraska +30000||Georgia Tech +30000||Purdue +40000|
|Cincinnati +40000||SMU +50000||West Virginia +50000|
|LSU +50000||Syracuse +50000||BYU +50000|
Value Bets for the College Football Playoff
There were definitely some movers in Week 1 in terms of National Championship futures as there always are. Clemson saw their odds drop a little bit after a bad 1st Half against Georgia Tech on Monday night. The Tigers still came away with a 41-10 win.
Their odds to win the title sit at +1200. If you are a Clemson believer, this might be a good time to get them. Their defense is still good enough to beat anyone, and while their offense struggled a bit in the 1st Half they have some time to get things right against what should be a pretty light ACC schedule.
Florida is a team who I think has some value after Week 1. On paper, Utah was the second best team Florida will play with season. The rest of the way, the schedule is a little bit lighter. If they can get by Kentucky this week (which they should at home) they have huge games at Tennessee at the end of September and against Georgia at the end of October. If they can go 1-1 in those games, they have a real chance to finish the season 11-1.
Read more about Kentucky vs Florida
They have an elite quarterback. They have a lot of skill position talent. An 11-1 Florida team likely gets themselves into a playoff spot. At +10000, I don’t think those odds will be getting much more valuable.
College Football Playoff Result
|Year||No. 1 Seed||No. 2 Seed||No. 3 Seed||No. 4 Seed||Champion|
|2014-15||Alabama Crimson Tide||Oregon Ducks||Florida State Seminoles||Ohio State Buckeyes||Ohio State Buckeyes|
|2015-16||Clemson Tigers||Alabama Crimson Tide||Michigan State Spartans||Oklahoma Sooners||Alabama Crimson Tide|
|2016-17||Alabama Crimson Tide||Clemson Tigers||Ohio State Buckeyes||Washington Huskies||Clemson Tigers|
|2017-18||Clemson Tigers||Oklahoma Sooners||Georgia Bulldogs||Alabama Crimson Tide||Alabama Crimson Tide|
|2018-19||Alabama Crimson Tide||Clemson Tigers||Notre Dame Fighting Irish||Oklahoma Sooners||Clemson Tigers|
|2019-20||LSU Tigers||Ohio State Buckeyes||Clemson Tigers||Oklahoma Sooners||LSU Tigers|
|2020-21||Alabama Crimson Tide||Clemson Tigers||Ohio State Buckeyes||Notre Dame Fighting Irish||Alabama Crimson Tide|
|2021-22||Alabama Crimson Tide||Michigan Wolverines||Georgia Bulldogs||Cincinnati Bearcats||Georgia Bulldogs|