Vikings vs Patriots Prediction: Week 12 Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – November 24, 2022

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The New England Patriots (6-4) are putting their three-game winning streak to the test when they take on the Minnesota Vikings (8-2) at U.S. Bank Stadium on Thursday, November 24, 2022.

Vikings vs. Patriots Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 2.5 points, with oddsmakers listing the Vikings as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, the Vikings have -140 odds to pick up the win, while the Patriots are listed at +120 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 42.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Vikings vs. Patriots Live?

  • Game Day: Thursday, November 24, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:20 PM ET
  • TV Channel: NBC
  • Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • Stadium: U.S. Bank Stadium

Betting Preview

Vikings

With 388.9 yards allowed per game on defense, which ranks fourth-worst in the NFL, the Vikings have had to rely on their 18th-ranked offense (338.5 yards per contest) to keep them competitive. The Vikings are totaling 22.9 points per game offensively this season (13th in NFL), and they are surrendering 23.1 points per game (19th) on the other side of the ball.

With 267.3 passing yards allowed per game on defense, which ranks second-worst in the NFL, the Vikings have had to lean on their 10th-ranked passing offense (234.9 passing yards per contest) to keep them competitive. The Vikings are compiling 103.6 rushing yards per game on offense, which ranks them 24th in the NFL. Defensively, they rank 18th, surrendering 121.6 rushing yards per game.

On offense, the Vikings rank 21st in the NFL with a 37.9% third-down percentage. Meanwhile, they rank 22nd in third-down percentage allowed (41.5%). Despite having a bottom-five defense in terms of yards per play that ranks fifth-worst in the NFL (5.9 yards per play allowed), the Vikings have played better on the other side of the ball, ranking 18th in the NFL by averaging 5.3 yards per play. The Vikings have the third-best turnover margin in the league at +7, forcing 18 turnovers (third in NFL) while turning it over 11 times (eighth in NFL).

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Patriots

The Patriots rank 25th in the NFL with 317.6 total yards per game, but they’ve been lifted up by their defense, which ranks fourth-best by allowing only 302.8 total yards per contest. The Patriots rank 20th in the NFL with 21.3 points per contest, but they’ve been led by their defense, which ranks second-best by giving up just 16.9 points per contest.

The Patriots rank 24th in the NFL with 202.2 passing yards per contest, but they’ve been led by their defense, which ranks fourth-best by giving up only 188.3 passing yards per contest. In terms of rushing, the Patriots rank 17th in the NFL on offense (115.4 rushing yards per game) and 12th defensively (114.5 rushing yards allowed per game).

From an offensive perspective, the Patriots are posting a 37.7% third-down conversion rate (22nd-ranked). They rank ninth in the NFL on the other side of the ball (36.9% third-down rate allowed). The Patriots are accumulating 5.2 yards per play on offense this season (19th-ranked). Meanwhile, they are giving up 4.9 yards per play (sixth-ranked) on defense. After forcing 17 turnovers (fifth in NFL) and turning the ball over 17 times (29th in NFL) this season, the Patriots have the 16th-ranked turnover margin of 0.

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Vikings vs. Patriots Injury Report

Vikings

Player Pos. Injury Status
Christian Darrisaw OT Concussion Out
Akayleb Evans CB Concussion Out
Andrew Booth Jr. CB Knee Out

Patriots

Player Pos. Injury Status
David Andrews C Thigh Questionable
DeVante Parker WR Knee Questionable
Marcus Jones DB Ankle Questionable

Vikings vs. Patriots Betting Analysis

Vikings Betting Insights

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The Vikings have compiled a 4-6-0 record against the spread this season. In games they have played as 2.5-point favorites or more, the Vikings have an ATS record of 2-4.

Vikings games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under five times this season. The Vikings were the moneyline favorite eight total times last season. They went 5-3 in those games.

The Vikings had a 4-3 record last year (winning 57.1% of their games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -140 or shorter.

Patriots Betting Insights

The Patriots have put together a 6-3-1 record against the spread this season. In games they have played as 2.5-point underdogs or more, the Patriots have an ATS record of 2-2.

Games involving Patriots have hit the over four times this year. The Patriots have won one of the four games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

The Patriots have been at least a +120 moneyline underdog two times this season, but lost all of those games.

Vikings vs. Patriots Against The Spread & Betting Records

Vikings

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 46.5 47.7 45.2
Implied Total AVG 25.3 26 24.6
ATS Record 4-6-0 2-3-0 2-3-0
Over/Under Record 5-5-0 3-2-0 2-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 7-0 4-0 3-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-2 0-1 1-1

Patriots

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 42 42.1 41.8
Implied Total AVG 23.3 23.2 23.4
ATS Record 6-3-1 3-2-0 3-1-1
Over/Under Record 4-6-0 2-3-0 2-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 5-1 3-1 2-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-3 0-1 1-2

Players to Watch

Vikings

  • Kirk Cousins has thrown for 2,461 yards (eighth in the NFL), 14 touchdowns and eight interceptions this year. He is averaging 246.1 yards per game and 6.5 per attempt, while completing 63.4% of his passes.
  • To go along with his passing statistics, Cousins also has 50 rushing yards (third on the Vikings), with two rushing touchdowns.
  • Justin Jefferson has 72 receptions (fourth in the NFL) for 1,093 yards (second in the NFL) and four TDs. Through 10 games, he is averaging 7.2 catches and 109.3 yards per game.
  • Dalvin Cook‘s output on the ground this season includes 799 yards (sixth in the NFL) and six TDs. He’s averaging 79.9 yards per game and 5.1 per attempt (17th in the NFL).
  • Cook also has 22 catches, 146 yards and one TD in the passing game.
  • T.J. Hockenson averages 4.7 receptions and 54.4 yards per game, and has 544 total receiving yards and 47 catches. He’s gotten 71 total targets, and has caught three touchdown passes.
  • Over on defense, Jordan Hicks has one interception to go with 83 tackles, two sacks, and seven passes defended in 2022.
  • Za’Darius Smith has 29 tackles, 12 TFL, and 8.5 sacks this season.
  • Eric Kendricks has recorded 78 tackles and four TFL this year.
  • So far this season, Danielle Hunter has 43 tackles, 10 TFL, and seven sacks.

Patriots

  • Rhamondre Stevenson averages 64.4 rushing yards per game this year (644 total yards), while scoring four rushing touchdowns.
  • Stevenson has also been a part of the passing game with 283 yards (28.3 per game) on 41 receptions (4.1 per game), while being targeted 50 times. He has one receiving touchdown.
  • Mac Jones has 1,386 passing yards, four touchdowns and seven interceptions. His completion percentage is 68.7% and he averages 198 yards per game and 7.1 per attempt.
  • Jones also has one rushing touchdown and 81 rushing yards (third on the Patriots).
  • In eight games played this season, Jakobi Meyers has 44 catches (5.5 receptions per game on 7.1 targets per game) for 509 yards and three receiving touchdowns.
  • Damien Harris has scored three touchdowns on the ground, while running for 367 total yards (4.6 per carry and 45.9 per game).
  • Matthew Judon has amassed 13 sacks (first on the Patriots and first in the NFL) to go with 10 TFL and 38 tackles over 10 games so far in 2022.
  • Deatrich Wise’s stat sheet includes 36 tackles, six TFL, 6.5 sacks, and three passes defended.
  • In the 2022 season, Ja’Whaun Bentley has 61 tackles, two TFL, two sacks, and one interception in 10 games.
  • Devin McCourty has totaled 47 tackles and two interceptions.

Vikings vs. Patriots Predictions and Pick

Our pick to win this game is the Patriots, and we predict that Patriots will cover the spread (Vikings -2.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 42.5 points.

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How to Bet on Vikings vs. Patriots

You can bet on Vikings vs. Patriots at every legal online sportsbook. For more NFL odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NFL prop odds, check out the latest NFL lines as well as our guide to the best NFL betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Vikings vs. Patriots picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Brian Twining

Sports, of all kind, have been a huge part of my life and daily routine for as long as I can remember. My favorite sports to watch are College Basketball, College Football, the NFL, MLB, Nascar, & the FIFA World Cup. My favorite sports to bet on are the NFL, Nascar, College Hoops, and College Football.

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