Vikings vs Cowboys Prediction: Odds, Picks & Betting Preview Week 11 – November 20, 2022

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The Minnesota Vikings (8-1) are putting their seven-game winning streak on the line when they collide with the Dallas Cowboys (6-3) at U.S. Bank Stadium on Sunday, November 20, 2022.

Cowboys vs. Vikings Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 1.5 points, with bookmakers listing the Cowboys as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, the Cowboys have -125 odds to pick up the win, while the Vikings are listed at +105 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 48.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Cowboys vs. Vikings Live?

  • Game Day: Sunday, November 20, 2022
  • Game Time: 4:25 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS
  • Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • Stadium: U.S. Bank Stadium

Betting Preview

Cowboys

The Cowboys are averaging 333.1 yards per game on offense (20th in NFL), and they rank 11th on the other side of the ball with 324.8 yards allowed per game. The Cowboys rank 11th in points scored this year (23.4 points per game), but they’ve been playing really well on the defensive side of the ball, ranking fifth-best in the NFL with 18.2 points allowed per game.

The Cowboys have the 26th-ranked offense this year in terms of passing yards (198.6 passing yards per game), and they’ve been better on defense, ranking third-best with just 181.7 passing yards allowed per game. The Cowboys own the eighth-ranked rushing offense this season (134.6 rushing yards per game), and they’ve been less effective on defense, ranking fourth-worst with 143.1 rushing yards allowed per game.

On offense, the Cowboys rank 25th in the NFL with a 37.2% third-down conversion rate. Meanwhile, they rank ninth in third-down conversion rate allowed (36.8%). The Cowboys are surrendering 5 yards per play on the defensive side of the ball (sixth in the NFL), while putting up 5.4 per play (16th in the league) on offense this season. With 15 forced turnovers (seventh in NFL) against nine turnovers committed (fourth in NFL), the Cowboys’ +6 turnover margin is the fourth-best in the league.

Vikings

The Vikings’ defense has been bottom-five in total defense this season, surrendering 381.2 total yards per game, which ranks fourth-worst. On offense, they rank 11th with 355.8 total yards per contest. The Vikings are posting 25.1 points per game on offense this season (eighth-ranked). Meanwhile, they are surrendering 21.2 points per game (14th-ranked) on defense.

The Vikings have been struggling in pass defense, ranking fourth-worst with 262.9 passing yards surrendered per game. They have been more effective on the other side of the ball, generating 248.8 passing yards per contest (seventh-ranked). In terms of rushing, the Vikings rank 23rd in the NFL on offense (107 rushing yards per game) and 16th on defense (118.3 rushing yards allowed per game).

The Vikings are posting a 40.5% third-down conversion rate on offense this season (18th-ranked). Meanwhile, they are allowing a 36.8% third-down rate (ninth-ranked) on defense. The Vikings’ defense has been struggling in terms of yards surrendered per play, ranking fifth-worst at 5.9. They have been more productive on the other side of the ball, compiling 5.4 yards per play (16th-ranked). The Vikings have produced 18 forced turnovers this season and have turned it over 10 times, resulting in a +8 turnover margin, which ranks second-best in the NFL.

Cowboys vs. Vikings Injury Report

Cowboys

Player Pos. Injury Status
Ezekiel Elliott RB Knee Questionable
Quinton Bohanna DT Illness Questionable
Anthony Brown CB Concussion Questionable
Anthony Barr LB Hamstring Questionable
Demarcus Lawrence DE Knee Questionable
Bryan Anger P Illness Questionable

Vikings

Player Pos. Injury Status
Akayleb Evans CB Concussion Out
Za’Darius Smith OLB Knee Questionable

Cowboys vs. Vikings Betting Analysis

Cowboys Betting Insights

The Cowboys have compiled a 6-3-0 record against the spread this season. In games this season when favored by 1.5 points or more, the Cowboys are 3-1 against the spread.

This season, four Cowboys games have gone over the point total. The Cowboys were the moneyline favorite 13 total times last season. They went 10-3 in those games.

The Cowboys went 10-3 in games they played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -125 or shorter (76.9%).

Vikings Betting Insights

The Vikings have covered the spread in a matchup four times this season (4-5-0). The Vikings are 1-1 ATS when playing as at least 1.5-point underdogs.

Games involving Vikings have hit the over five times this year. The Vikings have split the two games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

The Vikings have entered two games this season as the underdog by +105 or more and are 1-1 in those contests.

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Cowboys vs. Vikings Against The Spread & Betting Records

Cowboys

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 43.6 45.1 41.8
Implied Total AVG 24.1 25.4 22.5
ATS Record 6-3-0 4-1-0 2-2-0
Over/Under Record 4-5-0 1-4-0 3-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 3-1 3-0 0-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 3-2 1-1 2-1

Vikings

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 46.2 47.5 45.2
Implied Total AVG 25.3 26.3 24.6
ATS Record 4-5-0 2-2-0 2-3-0
Over/Under Record 5-4-0 3-1-0 2-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 7-0 4-0 3-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-1 0-0 1-1

Players to Watch

Cowboys

  • Tony Pollard has put up 621 rushing yards with six touchdowns (69 yards per game through nine games). His 6 yards per attempt rank seventh in the league.
  • Pollard has been targeted 25 times in the receiving game and has 15 catches (1.7 per game) for 134 yards (14.9 per game) and zero TDs.
  • CeeDee Lamb‘s 706 receiving yards this season (10th in the NFL) have come from 88 targets and 53 receptions (10th in the NFL). He’s averaging 78.4 receiving yards and 5.9 catches per game, with five receiving touchdowns (ninth in the NFL).
  • In seven games, Ezekiel Elliott has picked up 443 yards on the ground, averaging 63.3 yards per game and scoring four touchdowns.
  • Dak Prescott has passed for 856 yards, six touchdowns and four interceptions this year. He is averaging 214 yards per game and 6.7 per attempt, while completing 63.8%.
  • He has added 51 rushing yards (12.8 per game) and one touchdown on the ground.
  • On the defensive side, Micah Parsons has seven sacks (ninth in the NFL) to go with six TFL and 42 tackles in 2022.
  • Donovan Wilson has 65 tackles, four TFL, three sacks, and one interception this season.
  • Demarcus Lawrence has put up 41 tackles, six TFL, and five sacks so far this year. He’s fourth on the Cowboys in tackles.
  • Leighton Vander Esch has 64 tackles, three TFL, one sack, and one pass defended.

Vikings

  • Through nine games played this year, Kirk Cousins has amassed 2,356 passing yards (eighth-best in the NFL), while throwing 14 touchdowns (ninth in the NFL) against eight interceptions and completing 64.1% of his passes.
  • On the ground, Cousins has added two rushing touchdowns and 50 rushing yards (third on the Vikings).
  • Justin Jefferson has 69 catches (fourth in the NFL) for 1,060 yards (second in the NFL) and four receiving touchdowns. He has been targeted 100 times and averages 7.7 receptions per game in nine games played.
  • Dalvin Cook is averaging 80.8 rushing yards per game this season (727 total yards to rank eighth in the NFL), while scoring six rushing touchdowns.
  • Cook’s stat sheet includes 22 receptions (2.4 per game) on 33 targets for 146 yards (16.2 per game) and one receiving touchdown.
  • T.J. Hockenson has 510 receiving yards and three touchdowns from 42 receptions after receiving 62 targets.
  • Jordan Hicks’ 2022 output includes 77 tackles, two sacks, and one interception through nine games. He leads the Vikings in tackles.
  • Za’Darius Smith has 28 tackles, 12 TFL, and 8.5 sacks.
  • Eric Kendricks has four TFL and 75 tackles in the 2022 season.
  • Danielle Hunter has 39 tackles, 10 TFL, seven sacks, and two passes defended.

Cowboys vs. Vikings Predictions and Pick

Our prediction to win this game is the Vikings, and we expect that Vikings will cover the spread (Cowboys -1.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 48.5 points.

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How to Bet on Cowboys vs. Vikings

You can bet on Cowboys vs. Vikings at every legal online sportsbook. For more NFL odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NFL prop odds, check out the latest NFL lines as well as our guide to the best NFL betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Cowboys vs. Vikings picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Andy Molitor

Andy has been involved in sports betting on and off his entire adult life and has been creating content surrounding it for the past five years. While the NFL is his first love, he also bets hundreds of college basketball games every winter and loves sweating golf DFS during the football offseason.

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