Packers vs Titans Prediction: Week 11 Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – November 2022

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On Thursday, November 17, 2022, the Tennessee Titans (6-3) go on the road to match up against the Green Bay Packers (4-6) at Lambeau Field.

Packers vs. Titans Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 3.5 points, with oddsmakers listing the Packers as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, the Packers have -170 odds to pick up the win, while the Titans are listed at +145 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 41 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Packers vs. Titans Live?

  • Game Day: Thursday, November 17, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:15 PM ET
  • TV Channel: AMAZON
  • Location: Green Bay, Wisconsin
  • Stadium: Lambeau Field

Betting Preview

Packers

The Packers are averaging 352.3 yards per game on offense (13th in NFL), and they rank ninth on defense with 320.3 yards allowed per game. From an offensive standpoint, the Packers rank 25th in the NFL with 18.5 points per game. Meanwhile, they rank 16th in points allowed (320.3 points allowed per contest).

Defensively, the Packers have been a top-five unit in terms of passing yards, ranking third-best by surrendering just 179.7 passing yards per game. They rank 16th on offense (223.0 passing yards per game). The Packers are averaging 129.3 rushing yards per game on offense this year (12th in NFL), and they are surrendering 140.6 rushing yards per game (26th) on defense.

Defensively, the Packers have been a top-five unit in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking second-best by allowing a 32.7% third-down percentage. They rank 18th on offense (40.3% third-down percentage). This season, the Packers are gaining 5.6 yards per play (11th in the league), while allowing 5.4 per play on the defensive side of the ball (13th in the NFL). With 10 forced turnovers (20th in NFL) against 15 turnovers committed (27th in NFL), the Packers’ -5 turnover margin is the fifth-worst in the NFL.

Titans

The Titans rank worst in total yards per game (281.7), but they’ve been better on the defensive side of the ball, ranking 23rd in the NFL with 357.7 total yards allowed per contest. From an offensive perspective, the Titans are generating 18.4 points per contest (26th-ranked). They rank eighth in the NFL defensively (18.7 points allowed per game).

The Titans have been outplayed on both sides of the ball in terms of passing this season, ranking second-worst in passing yards (148.2 per game) and second-worst in passing yards surrendered (272.6 per game). The Titans rank ninth in the NFL with 133.4 rushing yards per game, but they’ve been carried by their defense, which ranks second-best by giving up just 85.1 rushing yards per contest.

The Titans rank fifth-worst in third-down conversion percentage (33.6%), but at least they’ve been dominating on defense, ranking best in third-down rate allowed (27.9%). The Titans rank 27th in the NFL with 5.0 yards per play on offense, and they rank 16th with 5.5 yards surrendered per play on defense. With 13 forced turnovers (11th in NFL) and 10 turnovers committed (eighth in NFL) this season, the Titans rank eighth in the NFL with a turnover margin of +3.

Packers vs. Titans Injury Report

Packers

Player Pos. Injury Status
Shemar Jean-Charles CB Ankle Doubtful
David Bakhtiari OT Knee Questionable
Randall Cobb WR Ankle Questionable
De’Vondre Campbell LB Knee Out

Titans

Player Pos. Injury Status
Randy Bullock K Calf Out
Amani Hooker DB Shoulder Out
Bud Dupree OLB Hip Out
Lonnie Johnson Jr. CB Hamstring Out
Jeffery Simmons DT Ankle Questionable
Ben Jones C Concussion Out
Elijah Molden CB Groin Questionable
Caleb Farley CB Back Out

Packers vs. Titans Betting Analysis

Packers Betting Insights

The Packers have covered the spread four times in 10 games with a set spread. In games they have played as 3.5-point favorites or more, the Packers have an ATS record of 1-5.

Packers games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under four times this season. The Packers were the moneyline favorite 13 total times last season. They finished 10-3 in those games.

When they played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -170 or shorter, the Packers had a record of 8-2 (80%).

Titans Betting Insights

The Titans have covered the spread seven times over nine games with a set spread. The Titans are 2-1 ATS when playing as at least 3.5-point underdogs.

Games involving the Titans have hit the over twice this season. The Titans have won two of the four games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

The Titans have entered three games this season as the underdog by +145 or more and are 1-2 in those contests.

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Packers vs. Titans Against The Spread & Betting Records

Packers

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 44.1 42.7 45.4
Implied Total AVG 25.2 25.4 25.0
ATS Record 4-6-0 2-3-0 2-3-0
Over/Under Record 4-6-0 3-2-0 1-4-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-4 2-2 0-2
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-2 1-0 1-2

Titans

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 43.2 42.8 43.6
Implied Total AVG 24.1 23.0 25.0
ATS Record 7-2-0 3-1-0 4-1-0
Over/Under Record 2-7-0 1-3-0 1-4-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 3-1 2-1 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-2 1-0 1-2

Players to Watch

Packers

  • Aaron Rodgers has 2,315 passing yards (ninth in the NFL), 17 touchdowns (fifth in the NFL) and seven interceptions this year. He has completed 65.0% of his passes, averaging 231.5 yards per game and 6.9 per attempt.
  • Aaron Jones averages 5.6 yards per carry (11th in the NFL) and 73.8 yards per game, and has 738 total rushing yards (seventh in the NFL). He has recorded two rushing TDs this season.
  • He’s hauled in 34 passes (on 42 targets) for 228 receiving yards with three touchdowns. He’s averaging 22.8 receiving yards and 3.4 catches per game.
  • Through eight games played, Allen Lazard is averaging 59.0 yards and 4.1 receptions per game on the way to 472 receiving yards and 33 catches. He’s been targeted 55 times, and has five receiving touchdowns (ninth in the NFL).
  • A.J. Dillon has rushed for 454 yards with one touchdown (45.4 yards per game through 10 games).
  • On defense, Quay Walker has 3.0 TFL and 71 tackles in 2022.
  • De’Vondre Campbell has picked off one pass and has added 64 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and two passes defended.
  • Rasul Douglas has put up 42 tackles, 2.0 TFL, 1.0 sack, and one interception this year.
  • So far this season, Adrian Amos has 48 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and 1.0 sack.

Titans

  • Derrick Henry has rushed for nine touchdowns this year, and has racked up 923 total rushing yards (102.6 per game and 4.6 per attempt).
  • Henry has also been a piece of the passing game with 154 yards (17.1 per game) on 16 receptions (1.8 per game), while being targeted 21 times. He is still trying for his first receiving touchdown.
  • Ryan Tannehill has 1,352 passing yards, eight touchdowns and three interceptions. His completion percentage is 62.6% and he averages 193.1 yards per game and 7.4 per attempt.
  • Tannehill also has one rushing touchdown and 41 rushing yards (fifth on the Titans).
  • So far this season through eight games, Dontrell Hilliard has racked up 123 rushing yards (second on the Titans), but has not scored a rushing touchdown. He averages 15.4 yards per game and 6.8 per attempt.
  • Hilliard has helped in the receiving game, putting up 146 receiving yards (18.3 per game) on 15 catches (1.9 per game), while being targeted 20 times. He has three receiving touchdowns.
  • Nick Westbrook-Ikhine has 257 receiving yards and two touchdowns from 12 receptions after receiving 23 targets.
  • So far in 2022, David Long has recorded 69 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and two interceptions through nine games.
  • Denico Autry has 7.0 sacks (first on the Titans and ninth in the NFL) to go with 6.0 TFL and 19 tackles.
  • During the 2022 campaign, Roger McCreary has 56 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and one interception in nine games.
  • Jeffery Simmons’ stats include 29 tackles, 4.0 TFL, 5.5 sacks, and four passes defended in eight games

Packers vs. Titans Predictions and Pick

Our pick to win this contest is the Titans, and we expect that Titans will cover the spread (Packers -3.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 41 points.

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How to Bet on Packers vs. Titans

You can bet on Packers vs. Titans at every legal online sportsbook. For more NFL odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NFL prop odds, check out the latest NFL lines as well as our guide to the best NFL betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Packers vs. Titans picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Luis Escalante

Luis has been a regular contributor to 4for4 since 2014 and is currently the Director of Strategy at Betsperts Group. Luis comes from an analytics background, leveraging his data skills with multiple years of experience in NFL, fantasy football, daily fantasy sports, and betting.

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