Steelers vs Saints Prediction: Week 10 Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – November 2022

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The New Orleans Saints (3-6) travel to Acrisure Stadium on Sunday, November 13, 2022 to take on the Pittsburgh Steelers (2-6).

Steelers vs. Saints Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 1 point, with oddsmakers listing the Steelers as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, the Steelers have -115 odds to pick up the win, while the Saints are listed at -105 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 39.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Steelers vs. Saints Live?

  • Game Day: Sunday, November 13, 2022
  • Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: FOX
  • Location: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
  • Stadium: Acrisure Stadium

Betting Preview

Steelers

With 298.8 yards of total offense per game (fifth-worst) and 395.1 yards allowed per game on defense (fourth-worst), the Steelers have been struggling on both sides of the ball this season. The Steelers have been a bottom-five scoring offense this year, ranking second-worst with 15.0 points per contest. On defense, they are ranked 24th in the NFL (24.6 points allowed per game).

With 277.3 passing yards allowed per game on defense, which ranks second-worst in the NFL, the Steelers have been forced to lean on their 23rd-ranked passing offense (203.9 passing yards per contest) to keep them in games. The Steelers are totaling 94.9 rushing yards per game on offense, which ranks them 27th in the NFL. Defensively, they rank 15th, surrendering 117.9 rushing yards per contest.

The Steelers rank 27th in third-down efficiency (33.6%) on offense and 26th in third-down conversion rate allowed (43.4%) on defense this year. The Steelers rank second-worst in yards per play on offense (4.7) and fifth-worst in yards per play allowed on defense (5.9) this season. The Steelers have forced 10 total turnovers (17th in NFL) this season and have turned it over 14 times (28th in NFL) for a turnover margin of -4, 26th-ranked in the league.

Saints

From an offensive perspective, the Saints are compiling 377.6 total yards per game (sixth-ranked). They rank 11th in the NFL on defense (320.6 total yards surrendered per game). The Saints’ defense has been a bottom-five unit in scoring defense this season, allowing 25.2 points per game, which ranks fourth-worst in the NFL. On offense, they rank 10th with 23.6 points per contest.

The Saints are accumulating 246.4 passing yards per contest on offense this season (seventh-ranked). Meanwhile, they are allowing 199.7 passing yards per contest (ninth-ranked) on defense. From an offensive angle, the Saints are generating 131.1 rushing yards per contest (12th-ranked). They rank 19th in the NFL on the other side of the ball (120.9 rushing yards allowed per game).

In terms of third-down efficiency, the Saints rank 12th in the NFL (42.2% third-down conversion percentage) and 10th on defense (37.1% third-down rate allowed). With 5.9 yards per play on offense, the Saints rank sixth in the NFL. Defensively they rank 10th, surrendering 5.3 yards per play. At -10, the Saints sport the worst turnover margin in the NFL this season.

Steelers vs. Saints Injury Report

Steelers

Player Pos. Injury Status
Ahkello Witherspoon CB Hamstring Out
Chris Boswell K Groin Out
Malik Reed LB Personal Questionable
William Jackson III CB Back Out

Saints

Player Pos. Injury Status
Mark Ingram II RB Knee Out
Marcus Davenport DE Calf Questionable
P.J. Williams CB Illness Questionable
Tanoh Kpassagnon DE Illness Questionable
Pete Werner LB Ankle Out
Marshon Lattimore CB Abdomen Out
Trevor Penning OT Foot Questionable

Steelers vs. Saints Betting Analysis

Steelers Betting Insights

The Steelers have gone 3-4-1 against the spread this season. The Steelers have yet to cover the spread when playing as at least 1-point favorites (0-1).

Steelers games have gone over the total three times this season. The Steelers were favored on the moneyline seven total times last season. They finished 4-2-1 in those games.

The Steelers finished 3-2-1 last year (winning 50% of their games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -115 or shorter.

Saints Betting Insights

The Saints have covered the spread three times in nine games with a set spread. In games they have played as 1-point underdogs or more, the Saints have an ATS record of 2-4.

Saints games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under five times this season. This season, the Saints have been the underdog six times and won one of those games.

The Saints are 1-5 this season when entering a game as the underdog by -105 or more on the moneyline.

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Steelers vs. Saints Against The Spread & Betting Records

Steelers

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 42.8 42.5 42.9
Implied Total AVG 25.3 24.0 26.0
ATS Record 3-4-1 1-1-1 2-3-0
Over/Under Record 3-5-0 1-2-0 2-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 0-1 0-1 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-5 1-1 1-4

Saints

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 44.1 44.7 43.0
Implied Total AVG 23.3 23.5 23.0
ATS Record 3-6-0 3-3-0 0-3-0
Over/Under Record 5-4-0 3-3-0 2-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-1 1-0 1-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-5 1-4 0-1

Players to Watch

Steelers

  • Najee Harris has put up 361 rushing yards with one touchdown (45.1 yards per game through eight games). His 3.3 yards per attempt rank 57th in the league.
  • Harris has 28 targets, 24 catches, 112 receiving yards and two TDs in the passing game.
  • Mitchell Trubisky has 797 passing yards, three touchdowns and two interceptions this year. He has completed 60.9% of his attempts, averaging 159.4 yards per game and 6.2 per attempt.
  • He has tacked on 29 rushing yards (5.8 per game) and one touchdown on the ground.
  • Kenny Pickett has 962 passing yards, two touchdowns and eight interceptions this year. He has completed 67.9% of his passes, averaging 192.4 yards per game and 5.8 per attempt.
  • He has tacked on 98 rushing yards (19.6 per game) and two touchdowns on the ground.
  • Pat Freiermuth averages 4.6 receptions and 52.4 yards per game, and has 367 total receiving yards and 32 catches. He’s gotten 48 total targets, and has caught one touchdown pass.
  • On defense, Alex Highsmith has 30 tackles, 6.0 TFL, 6.5 sacks, and one pass defended in 2022.
  • Myles Jack has 71 tackles this season. His tackle total leads the Steelers.
  • Minkah Fitzpatrick has collected three interceptions (seventh in the NFL) and also has 45 tackles and six passes defended.
  • This season, Cameron Heyward has 32 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and 3.0 sacks. He’s fourth on the Steelers in tackles.

Saints

  • Alvin Kamara averages 63.3 rushing yards per game this year (443 total yards), while scoring one rushing touchdown.
  • Kamara has also figured into the receiving game with 319 yards (45.6 per game) on 36 receptions (5.1 per game), while being targeted 49 times. He has two receiving touchdowns.
  • Andy Dalton has 1,385 passing yards, 10 touchdowns and five interceptions. His completion percentage is 65.3% and he averages 230.8 yards per game and 7.3 per attempt.
  • Taysom Hill has totaled 16 receiving yards and one touchdown on three receptions, while being targeted five times on the season.
  • Chris Olave has 618 receiving yards (ninth in the NFL) and two touchdowns from 43 receptions after getting 72 targets.
  • So far in 2022, Demario Davis has amassed 53 tackles, 7.0 TFL, and 6.5 sacks over nine games.
  • Pete Werner’s stat sheet includes 74 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and three passes defended.
  • During the 2022 campaign, Cameron Jordan has 37 tackles, 6.0 TFL, and 4.5 sacks through nine games.
  • Tyrann Mathieu has 43 tackles and two interceptions.

Steelers vs. Saints Predictions and Pick

Our pick to win this contest is the Steelers, and we project that Steelers will cover the spread (Steelers -1). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 39.5 points.

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How to Bet on Steelers vs. Saints

You can bet on Steelers vs. Saints at every legal online sportsbook. For more NFL odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NFL prop odds, check out the latest NFL lines as well as our guide to the best NFL betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Steelers vs. Saints picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Andy Molitor

Andy has been involved in sports betting on and off his entire adult life and has been creating content surrounding it for the past five years. While the NFL is his first love, he also bets hundreds of college basketball games every winter and loves sweating golf DFS during the football offseason.

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