Saints vs Falcons Prediction: Week 15 Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – December 18, 2022

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The New Orleans Saints (4-9) and the Atlanta Falcons (5-8) — two NFC South combatants — square off on Sunday, December 18, 2022 at Caesars Superdome.

Saints vs. Falcons Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 4 points, with sportsbooks listing the Saints as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, the Saints have -205 odds to pick up the win, while the Falcons are listed at +175 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 43.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Saints vs. Falcons Live?

  • Game Day: Sunday, December 18, 2022
  • Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: FOX
  • Location: New Orleans, Louisiana
  • Stadium: Caesars Superdome

Betting Preview

Saints

The Saints are totaling 343.5 yards per game on offense, which ranks them 16th in the NFL. Defensively, they rank 11th, giving up 328.2 yards per game. The Saints are totaling 20.4 points per game offensively this season (21st in NFL), and they are giving up 22.8 points per game (16th) on defense.

From an offensive standpoint, the Saints rank 11th in the NFL with 233.8 passing yards per game. Meanwhile, they rank 10th in passing yards allowed per contest (203.2). From an offensive standpoint, the Saints rank 22nd in the NFL with 109.7 rushing yards per game. Meanwhile, they rank 19th in rushing yards allowed per contest (125).

The Saints rank 17th in third-down efficiency (39.6%) on offense and 20th in third-down percentage allowed (40%) on defense this season. This season, the Saints are accumulating 5.7 yards per play (ninth in the league), while surrendering 5.1 per play on the defensive side of the ball (eighth in the NFL). The Saints have forced nine total turnovers (32nd in NFL) this season and have turned it over 21 times (30th in NFL) to register a turnover margin of -12, the second-worst in the league.

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Falcons

The Falcons have lots of room to improve, as they rank fifth-worst in total yards per game (314.6) and third-worst in total yards surrendered per game (380.6). With 22.2 points per game on the offensive side of the ball, the Falcons rank 16th in the NFL. On defense, they rank 22nd, surrendering 24 points per contest.

The Falcons rank second-worst in passing yards per game (155.7), but they’ve been better on the defensive side of the ball, ranking 27th in the NFL with 251.1 passing yards ceded per contest. The Falcons’ run offense has been excelling, compiling 158.9 rushing yards per contest (fourth-best) this season. On defense, they rank 25th by giving up 129.5 rushing yards per game.

The Falcons have been struggling on third down, ranking third-worst with a 47.4% third-down conversion rate allowed per game. They have been better on the other side of the ball, generating a 40.7% third-down rate (12th-ranked). From an offensive standpoint, the Falcons are generating 5.5 yards per play (14th-ranked). They rank 26th in the NFL on the other side of the ball (5.8 yards given up per play). After forcing 15 turnovers (15th in NFL) and turning the ball over 17 times (19th in NFL) this season, the Falcons own the 18th-ranked turnover margin of -2.

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Saints vs. Falcons Injury Report

Saints

Player Pos. Injury Status
Dwayne Washington RB Illness Questionable
Adam Trautman TE Ankle Questionable
Ryan Ramczyk OT Knee Questionable
Cameron Jordan DE Foot Questionable
Wil Lutz K Illness Questionable
Chase Hansen LB Knee Questionable

Falcons

Player Pos. Injury Status
Marcus Mariota QB Knee Out

Saints vs. Falcons Betting Analysis

Saints Betting Insights

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The Saints are 5-8-0 against the spread this season. In games they have played as 4-point favorites or more, the Saints have an ATS record of 1-1.

Saints games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under six times this season. The Saints won five of the eight games they were favored on the moneyline last season (62.5%).

The Saints went 4-2 when they played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -205 or shorter (66.7%).

Falcons Betting Insights

The Falcons have covered the spread seven times this year (7-6-0). The Falcons have an ATS record of 4-1 when playing as at least 4-point underdogs.

Falcons games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under six times this season. This season, the Falcons have been the underdog 10 times and won three of those games.

The Falcons have been at least a +175 moneyline underdog four times this season, but lost all of those games.

Saints vs. Falcons Against The Spread & Betting Records

Saints

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 43 43.9 42.1
Implied Total AVG 22.9 23.1 22.7
ATS Record 5-8-0 4-3-0 1-5-0
Over/Under Record 6-7-0 4-3-0 2-4-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 3-1 2-0 1-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-8 1-4 0-4

Falcons

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 45.2 45.9 44.4
Implied Total AVG 24.5 24 25
ATS Record 7-6-0 4-3-0 3-3-0
Over/Under Record 6-7-0 3-4-0 3-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-1 2-0 0-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 3-7 2-3 1-4

Players to Watch

Saints

  • Andy Dalton has thrown for 2,252 yards, 15 touchdowns and seven interceptions this year. He averages 225.2 yards per game and 7.5 per attempt, while completing 66.9% of his passes.
  • Alvin Kamara has recorded 550 rushing yards with one touchdown (50 yards per game over 11 games). His 3.8 yards per attempt rank 42nd in the NFL.
  • He’s also caught 51 passes (on 68 targets) for 433 receiving yards with two touchdowns. He’s averaging 39.4 receiving yards and 4.6 catches per game.
  • Through 12 games played, Chris Olave is averaging 73.9 yards and five receptions per game to total 887 receiving yards and 60 catches. He’s been targeted 98 times, and has three receiving touchdowns.
  • Taysom Hill averages 0.6 receptions and 5.5 yards per game, and has 66 total receiving yards and seven catches. He’s gotten 11 total targets, and has caught two touchdown passes.
  • Over on defense, Demario Davis has one interception to go with 83 tackles, eight TFL, seven sacks, and five passes defended in 2022.
  • Kaden Elliss has 56 tackles, three TFL, 4.5 sacks, and two passes defended.
  • Tyrann Mathieu has totaled two interceptions and added 64 tackles, two TFL, and five passes defended.
  • Paulson Adebo has two TFL and 50 tackles on the year.

Falcons

  • Cordarrelle Patterson averages 62.9 rushing yards per game this year (566 total yards), while scoring five rushing touchdowns.
  • Tyler Allgeier averages 50.3 rushing yards per game over 12 games (604 total yards), while scoring one rushing touchdown.
  • Allgeier has also collected 87 receiving yards (7.3 per game) on 10 catches (0.8 per game). He’s been targeted 10 times and has caught one touchdown pass.
  • So far this season, Drake London has caught 47 passes for 533 receiving yards with four touchdowns in the passing game. He has been targeted 81 total times and is averaging 3.6 receptions per game over 13 games played.
  • Olamide Zaccheaus has 32 catches for 478 yards and two receiving touchdowns. He averages 2.5 yards per game through 13 games and has been targeted 44 times.
  • Rashaan Evans’ 2022 showing includes 136 tackles, five TFL, and one sack in 13 games. He leads the Falcons and is third in the NFL in tackles.
  • Mykal Walker has one sack (fourth on the Falcons) to go with two TFL, 101 tackles, and two interceptions.
  • Richie Grant has 89 tackles, three TFL, and two interceptions in the 2022 season. He is third on the Falcons in tackles.
  • Grady Jarrett’s stat sheet includes 46 tackles, nine TFL, 5.5 sacks, and three passes defended in 13 games

Saints vs. Falcons Predictions and Pick

Our pick to win this game is the Saints, and we project that Falcons will cover the spread (Saints -4). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 43.5 points.

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How to Bet on Saints vs. Falcons

You can bet on Saints vs. Falcons at every legal online sportsbook. For more NFL odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NFL prop odds, check out the latest NFL lines as well as our guide to the best NFL betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Saints vs. Falcons picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Andy Molitor

Andy has been involved in sports betting on and off his entire adult life and has been creating content surrounding it for the past five years. While the NFL is his first love, he also bets hundreds of college basketball games every winter and loves sweating golf DFS during the football offseason.

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