Falcons vs Ravens Prediction: Odds, Picks & Betting Preview Week 16 – December 24, 2022

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The Atlanta Falcons (5-9), who are in the midst of a three-game losing streak, head into a contest against the Baltimore Ravens (9-5) on Saturday, December 24, 2022 at M&T Bank Stadium.

Ravens vs. Falcons Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 7.5 points, with sportsbooks listing the Ravens as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, the Ravens have -325 odds to pick up the win, while the Falcons are listed at +270 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 35.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Ravens vs. Falcons Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, December 24, 2022
  • Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: FOX
  • Location: Baltimore, Maryland
  • Stadium: M&T Bank Stadium

Betting Preview

Ravens

From an offensive standpoint, the Ravens rank 16th in the NFL with 345.4 yards per game. Meanwhile, they rank 10th in total defense (326.9 yards allowed per contest). On the defensive side of the ball, the Ravens have been a top-five unit, ranking fourth-best by giving up just 18.8 points per game. They rank 16th on offense (21.7 points per game).

The Ravens rank 27th in pass offense (180.6 passing yards per game) and 25th in pass defense (241.3 passing yards allowed per game) this season. The Ravens have been a difficult matchup for opposing teams in the running game, as they rank top-five in both rushing offense (second-best with 164.7 rushing yards per game) and rushing defense (third-best with 85.6 rushing yards allowed per game) this year.

The Ravens have the ninth-ranked offense this year in terms of third-down efficiency (42.7% percentage), and they’ve been more effective on the other side of the ball, ranking third-best with a 32.3% third-down conversion rate allowed. The Ravens are accumulating 5.5 yards per play (14th in the league), while surrendering 5.4 per play on the defensive side of the ball (14th in the NFL) this season. With 23 forced turnovers (third in NFL) against 16 turnovers committed (ninth in NFL), the Ravens’ +7 turnover margin is the third-best in the NFL.

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Falcons

The Falcons have been outplayed on both offense and defense this season, ranking fifth-worst in total offense (315.0 total yards per game) and fifth-worst in total defense (378.3 total yards allowed per game). From an offensive standpoint, the Falcons are putting up 21.9 points per contest (15th-ranked). They rank 22nd in the NFL on defense (23.8 points given up per game).

The Falcons have been unproductive on both sides of the ball in terms of passing this season, ranking second-worst in passing yards (150.9 per game) and fifth-worst in passing yards allowed (248.4 per game). The Falcons’ run defense ranks 21st in the NFL with 129.9 rushing yards surrendered per contest, but they’ve been led by their offense, which ranks third-best by accumulating 164.1 rushing yards per game.

The Falcons have been struggling on third down, ranking third-worst with a 47.3% third-down conversion rate allowed per game. They have been better offensively, generating a 42.3% third-down rate (10th-ranked). From an offensive perspective, the Falcons are generating 5.4 yards per play (15th-ranked). They rank 26th in the NFL defensively (5.8 yards allowed per play). After forcing 16 turnovers (19th in NFL) and turning the ball over 18 times (17th in NFL) this season, the Falcons sport the 19th-ranked turnover margin of -2.

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Ravens vs. Falcons Injury Report

Ravens

Player Pos. Injury Status
Lamar Jackson QB Knee Questionable
Tyler Huntley QB Shoulder Questionable
Devin Duvernay WR Foot Out
Calais Campbell DE Knee Questionable
Josh Ross ILB Foot Questionable
Marcus Peters CB Calf Questionable
Ronnie Stanley OT Ankle Questionable

Falcons

Player Pos. Injury Status
Caleb Huntley RB Ankle Out
Chuma Edoga OT Knee Questionable
John FitzPatrick TE Undisclosed Questionable

Ravens vs. Falcons Betting Analysis

Ravens Betting Insights

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The Ravens have put together a 6-8-0 record against the spread this season. The Ravens have yet to cover the spread (0-2) when they are at least 7.5-point favorites.

This season, Ravens games have hit the over four times. The Ravens finished with a 6-5 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite last season (winning 54.5% of those games).

In games they played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -325 or shorter, the Ravens had a record of 2-1 (66.7%).

Falcons Betting Insights

The Falcons are 8-6-0 against the spread this season. The Falcons have a perfect 2-0 ATS record when playing as at least 7.5-point underdogs.

This season, Falcons games have hit the over six times. This season, the Falcons have won three out of the 11 games, or 27.3%, in which they’ve been the underdog.

This season, the Falcons have been at least a +270 underdog on the moneyline two times, losing each of those contests.

Ravens vs. Falcons Against The Spread & Betting Records

Ravens

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 44.0 45.2 43.1
Implied Total AVG 24.4 26.0 23.3
ATS Record 6-8-0 1-5-0 5-3-0
Over/Under Record 4-10-0 1-5-0 3-5-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 7-3 4-1 3-2
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-2 0-1 2-1

Falcons

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 45.1 45.9 44.3
Implied Total AVG 24.5 24.0 25.0
ATS Record 8-6-0 4-3-0 4-3-0
Over/Under Record 6-8-0 3-4-0 3-4-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-1 2-0 0-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 3-8 2-3 1-5

Players to Watch

Ravens

  • Mark Andrews has hauled in 61 passes on 99 targets for 702 total yards and five touchdowns. He is averaging 4.7 catches and 54.0 yards per game in 13 games played.
  • Kenyan Drake averages 4.5 yards per carry (21st in the NFL) and 38.4 yards per game, and has 422 total rushing yards. He has scored three rushing TDs this season.
  • Drake’s 21 targets in the passing game have turned into 15 catches (1.4 per game) for 70 yards (6.4 per game) and one touchdown.
  • J.K. Dobbins has 368 rushing yards with two touchdowns (61.3 yards per game across six games).
  • Dobbins has gotten seven targets in the passing game and has seven catches (1.2 per game) for 42 yards (7.0 per game) and one TD.
  • In the ground game, Gus Edwards averages 4.6 yards per attempt and 52.7 yards per game for 316 total rushing yards. He has scored three rushing touchdowns this season.
  • Over on the defensive side, Roquan Smith has 131 tackles, 9.0 TFL, 4.5 sacks, and three interceptions in 2022. His tackle total leads the Ravens and is sixth in the NFL.
  • Patrick Queen has 96 tackles, 8.0 TFL, 4.5 sacks, and two interceptions this season.
  • Marlon Humphrey has totaled 63 tackles, 3.0 TFL, 3.0 sacks, and three interceptions this year. He’s fourth on the Ravens in tackles.
  • So far this season, Chuck Clark has 84 tackles. He’s third on the Ravens in tackles.

Falcons

  • Cordarrelle Patterson has rushed for six touchdowns this year, and has accumulated 618 total rushing yards (61.8 per game and 5.1 per carry).
  • Tyler Allgeier has 743 rushing yards (leading the Falcons) and two rushing touchdowns, while averaging 57.2 yards per game and 5.0 per carry (12th in the NFL).
  • Allgeier also has 11 catches for 84 yards (sixth on the Falcons), with one receiving touchdown. He has been targeted 11 times and averages 6.5 yards per game.
  • Through 14 games played this season, Drake London has 54 catches (3.9 receptions per game on 6.6 targets per game) for 603 yards and four receiving touchdowns.
  • Olamide Zaccheaus has 478 receiving yards and two touchdowns from 32 receptions after getting 47 targets.
  • In 2022, Rashaan Evans has put up 2.0 sacks to go with 6.0 TFL and 146 tackles over 14 games.
  • Mykal Walker has 1.0 sack (fifth on the Falcons) to go with 2.0 TFL, 104 tackles, and two interceptions.
  • Richie Grant has intercepted two passes on top of 95 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and seven passes defended in the 2022 campaign.
  • Grady Jarrett has totaled 6.0 sacks (first on the Falcons) as well as 10.0 TFL and 51 tackles.

Ravens vs. Falcons Predictions and Pick

Our prediction to win this contest is the Ravens, and we predict that Ravens will cover the spread (Ravens -7.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 35.5 points.

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How to Bet on Ravens vs. Falcons

You can bet on Ravens vs. Falcons at every legal online sportsbook. For more NFL odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NFL prop odds, check out the latest NFL lines as well as our guide to the best NFL betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Ravens vs. Falcons picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Luis Escalante

Luis has been a regular contributor to 4for4 since 2014 and is currently the Director of Strategy at Betsperts Group. Luis comes from an analytics background, leveraging his data skills with multiple years of experience in NFL, fantasy football, daily fantasy sports, and betting.

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