Patriots vs Jets Prediction: Week 11 Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – November 20, 2022

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A pair of AFC East opponents battle on Sunday, November 20, 2022 at Gillette Stadium when the New England Patriots (5-4) and the New York Jets (6-3) square off.

Patriots vs. Jets Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 3.5 points, with bookmakers listing the Patriots as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, the Patriots have -190 odds to pick up the win, while the Jets are listed at +160 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 38 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Patriots vs. Jets Live?

  • Game Day: Sunday, November 20, 2022
  • Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS
  • Location: Foxborough, Massachusetts
  • Stadium: Gillette Stadium

Betting Preview

Patriots

The Patriots are compiling 319.9 yards per game on offense, which ranks them 26th in the NFL. Defensively, they rank 12th, allowing 325 yards per game. The Patriots are totaling 22.6 points per game on offense, which ranks them 14th in the NFL. On the defensive side of the ball, they rank sixth, allowing 18.4 points per contest.

The Patriots rank 23rd in pass offense (202.7 passing yards per game) and 11th in pass defense (204.3 passing yards allowed per game) this year. The Patriots are totaling 117.2 rushing yards per game on offense (17th in the NFL), and they rank 19th on the other side of the ball with 120.7 rushing yards allowed per game.

From an offensive standpoint, the Patriots rank 21st in the NFL with a 39.1% third-down conversion rate. Meanwhile, they rank 13th in third-down percentage allowed (38.6%). The Patriots are allowing 5.2 yards per play on the defensive side of the ball (eighth in the NFL), while gaining 5.3 per play (19th in the league) on offense this season. The Patriots have forced 17 total turnovers (third in NFL) this season and have turned it over 17 times (29th in NFL) for a turnover margin of an even, 14th-ranked in the NFL.

Jets

The Jets rank 18th with 334.8 total yards per contest on offense, and they rank seventh with 312 total yards ceded per contest on the defensive side of the ball. From an offensive standpoint, the Jets are accumulating 21.8 points per game (19th-ranked). They rank 10th in the NFL on defense (19.6 points surrendered per game).

In terms of passing, the Jets rank 19th in the NFL (218.8 passing yards per game) and ninth defensively (201.1 passing yards allowed per contest). From an offensive angle, the Jets are accumulating 116 rushing yards per contest (18th-ranked). They rank 11th in the NFL defensively (110.9 rushing yards allowed per game).

The Jets’ offense has not been getting things done on third down, ranking fourth-worst in the NFL with a 33.6% third-down conversion rate. They have been more productive defensively, allowing a 42.1% third-down rate (22nd-ranked). The Jets have been dominant on defense in terms of yards per play, giving up just 4.8 (fourth-best). Offensively, they rank 19th in the NFL by accumulating 5.3 yards per play. After forcing 14 turnovers (eighth in NFL) and turning the ball over 13 times (18th in NFL) this season, the Jets own the 11th-ranked turnover margin of +1.

Patriots vs. Jets Injury Report

Patriots

Player Pos. Injury Status
Jake Bailey P Back Out
Josh Uche LB Hamstring Questionable
Anfernee Jennings LB Back Questionable

Jets

Player Pos. Injury Status
Kenny Yeboah TE Calf Doubtful
Corey Davis WR Knee Out

Patriots vs. Jets Betting Analysis

Patriots Betting Insights

The Patriots have covered the spread in a matchup five times this season (5-3-1). The Patriots are 1-1 ATS when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites.

Games involving the Patriots have hit the over four times this season. The Patriots were the moneyline favorite 12 total times last season. They finished 8-4 in those games.

The Patriots went 6-1 last year (winning 85.7% of their games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -190 or shorter.

Jets Betting Insights

The Jets have covered the spread six times this year (6-3-0). The Jets are 4-2 ATS when playing as at least 3.5-point underdogs.

This year, Jets games have hit the over three times. The Jets have been underdogs in eight games this season and won five (62.5%) of those contests.

The Jets have a record of 3-2 when they’re set as an underdog of +160 or more by sportsbooks this season.

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Patriots vs. Jets Against The Spread & Betting Records

Patriots

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 42.4 43.1 41.8
Implied Total AVG 23.6 23.8 23.4
ATS Record 5-3-1 2-2-0 3-1-1
Over/Under Record 4-5-0 2-2-0 2-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 4-1 2-1 2-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-3 0-1 1-2

Jets

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 42.5 44.3 40.3
Implied Total AVG 24 25.2 22.5
ATS Record 6-3-0 2-3-0 4-0-0
Over/Under Record 3-6-0 1-4-0 2-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-0 0-0 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 5-3 2-3 3-0

Players to Watch

Patriots

  • On the ground, Rhamondre Stevenson averages 4.8 yards per attempt (23rd in the NFL) and 68.7 yards per game for 618 total rushing yards. He has scored four rushing touchdowns this season.
  • Stevenson has been targeted 44 times in the passing game and has 35 catches (3.9 per game) for 227 yards (25.2 per game) and one TD.
  • Jakobi Meyers has 40 catches for 457 yards and three TDs. Through seven games, he is averaging 5.7 catches and 65.3 yards per game.
  • Mac Jones has 1,140 passing yards through six games this year, averaging 190 per game with a 66.1% completion percentage and four touchdowns against seven interceptions.
  • He has added 78 rushing yards (13 per game) and one touchdown on the ground.
  • In the ground game, Damien Harris averages 4.3 yards per attempt (34th in the NFL) and 43.1 yards per game for 302 total rushing yards. He has recorded three rushing touchdowns this season.
  • Over on defense, Matthew Judon has 33 tackles, nine TFL, and 11.5 sacks in 2022.
  • Deatrich Wise has 31 tackles, four TFL, and 5.5 sacks so far this season.
  • Devin McCourty has totaled 47 tackles and two interceptions so far this year.
  • So far this season, Ja’Whaun Bentley has 52 tackles, two TFL, two sacks, and one interception. His tackle total leads the Patriots.

Jets

  • James Robinson has rushed for three touchdowns this year, and has put up 405 total rushing yards (45 per game and 4.1 per attempt).
  • Robinson’s offensive contributions include 11 receptions (1.2 per game) on 14 targets for 51 yards (5.7 per game) and two receiving touchdowns.
  • Zach Wilson has 1,202 passing yards, four touchdowns and five interceptions. His completion percentage is 57.5% and he averages 200.3 yards per game and 7.2 per attempt.
  • He has also added 68 rushing yards (fifth on the Jets), with one touchdown on the ground (averaging 11.3 yards per game and 3.2 per carry).
  • Michael Carter is averaging 36.7 rushing yards per game this season (330 total yards), while scoring three rushing touchdowns.
  • In addition to his rushing stats, Carter has hauled in 25 passes (on 32 targets) for 196 yards (sixth on the Jets). He averages 21.8 yards per game.
  • Garrett Wilson has been targeted 68 times, resulting in 42 catches for 521 yards .
  • C.J. Mosley has recorded one sack to go with two TFL and 89 tackles through nine games so far in 2022.
  • Quinnen Williams’ stat sheet includes 33 tackles, six TFL, seven sacks, and two passes defended.
  • In the 2022 season, Ahmad Gardner has 44 tackles, three TFL, and two interceptions through eight games.
  • D.J. Reed Jr.’s season stats include 42 tackles, one TFL, and one interception in nine games. He is fifth on the Jets in tackles.

Patriots vs. Jets Predictions and Pick

Our prediction to win this game is the Patriots, and we predict that Jets will cover the spread (Patriots -3.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 38 points.

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How to Bet on Patriots vs. Jets

You can bet on Patriots vs. Jets at every legal online sportsbook. For more NFL odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NFL prop odds, check out the latest NFL lines as well as our guide to the best NFL betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Patriots vs. Jets picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Luis Escalante

Luis has been a regular contributor to 4for4 since 2014 and is currently the Director of Strategy at Betsperts Group. Luis comes from an analytics background, leveraging his data skills with multiple years of experience in NFL, fantasy football, daily fantasy sports, and betting.

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