Vikings vs Packers Prediction: Odds, Picks & Betting Preview Week 17 – January 1, 2023

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The red-hot Green Bay Packers (7-8) bring a three-game winning streak into a home matchup against the Minnesota Vikings (12-3) on Sunday, January 1, 2023 at Lambeau Field.

Packers vs. Vikings Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 3 points, with sportsbooks listing the Packers as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, the Packers have -175 odds to pick up the win, while the Vikings are listed at +150 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 47.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Packers vs. Vikings Live?

  • Game Day: Sunday, January 1, 2023
  • Game Time: 4:25 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS
  • Location: Green Bay, Wisconsin
  • Stadium: Lambeau Field

Betting Preview

Packers

The Packers rank 16th in total offense (342.6 yards per game) and 17th in total defense (336.8 yards allowed per game) this year. The Packers are putting up 20.9 points per game on offense this season (18th in NFL), and they are allowing 22.3 points per game (17th) on defense.

On the defensive side of the ball, the Packers have been a top-five unit in terms of passing yards, ranking third-best by giving up only 192.4 passing yards per game. They rank 17th on offense (219.5 passing yards per game). The Packers are totaling 123.1 rushing yards per game on offense this season (14th in NFL), and they are giving up 144.4 rushing yards per game (27th) on defense.

Offensively, the Packers rank 19th in the NFL with a 38.6% third-down percentage. Meanwhile, they rank ninth in third-down conversion rate allowed (37.6%). The Packers are averaging 5.5 yards per play on offense, which ranks them 13th in the NFL. On the other side of the ball, they rank 26th, surrendering 5.8 yards per play. With 20 forced turnovers (13th in NFL) against 20 turnovers committed (17th in NFL), the Packers’ even turnover margin ranks 13th in the NFL.

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Vikings

The Vikings’ defense has been a bottom-five unit in total defense this season, ceding 402.3 total yards per game, which ranks second-worst. On offense, they rank 12th with 354.5 total yards per contest. The Vikings’ defense has been bottom-five in scoring defense this season, allowing 24.9 points per game, which ranks fifth-worst in the NFL. Offensively, they rank seventh with 25.2 points per contest.

The Vikings’ defense has been a bottom-five unit in pass defense this season, surrendering 281.5 passing yards per game, which ranks worst in the NFL. On the offensive side of the ball, they rank sixth with 259.9 passing yards per contest. The Vikings’ running game has not been getting things done, ranking fifth-worst in the NFL with 94.5 rushing yards per game. They have been better on defense, surrendering 120.8 rushing yards per contest (19th-ranked).

With a 40.4% third-down conversion rate on offense, the Vikings rank 15th in the NFL. Defensively, they rank ninth, allowing a 37.6% third-down rate. The Vikings rank 18th in yards per play (5.3), but they’ve been less productive on the other side of the ball, third-worst in the NFL with 6.0 yards surrendered per play. The Vikings have excelled in terms of turnovers, as the team’s turnover margin of +6 ranks fifth-best in the NFL, with 23 forced turnovers (eighth in league) and 17 turnovers committed (sixth in league).

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Packers vs. Vikings Injury Report

Packers

Player Pos. Injury Status
Christian Watson WR Hip Questionable
Keisean Nixon CB Groin Questionable

Vikings

Player Pos. Injury Status
Irvin Smith Jr. TE Ankle Questionable
Garrett Bradbury C Back Out

Packers vs. Vikings Betting Analysis

Packers Betting Insights

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The Packers are 7-8-0 against the spread this season. The Packers are 3-6 ATS when playing as at least 3-point favorites.

This season, Packers games have hit the over seven times. The Packers were favored on the moneyline 13 total times last season. They went 10-3 in those games.

The Packers finished 8-2 last year (winning 80% of their games) when they played as a moneyline favorite of -175 or shorter.

Vikings Betting Insights

The Vikings have covered the spread in a matchup six times this year (6-9-0). The Vikings have an ATS record of 1-1 when playing as at least 3-point underdogs.

Games involving Vikings have hit the over 10 times this year. The Vikings have won one of the four games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

The Vikings have played as an underdog of +150 or more once this season and won that game.

Packers vs. Vikings Against The Spread & Betting Records

Packers

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 44.1 41.9 45.9
Implied Total AVG 25.0 24.7 25.3
ATS Record 7-8-0 3-4-0 4-4-0
Over/Under Record 7-8-0 4-3-0 3-5-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 4-5 3-3 1-2
Moneyline Underdog Record 3-3 1-0 2-3

Vikings

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 46.5 46.6 46.3
Implied Total AVG 25.1 25.2 25.0
ATS Record 6-9-0 4-5-0 2-4-0
Over/Under Record 10-5-0 7-2-0 3-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 11-0 8-0 3-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-3 0-1 1-2

Players to Watch

Packers

  • Aaron Rodgers has 3,331 passing yards in 15 games this year, averaging 222.1 per game with a 64.8% completion percentage and 24 touchdowns (eighth in the NFL) against 11 interceptions.
  • Aaron Jones‘ rushing statline this season includes 962 yards and two TDs. He is averaging 64.1 yards per game and 5.1 per attempt (seventh in the NFL).
  • Jones has 54 receptions on 65 targets for 373 yards. He has five receiving TDs.
  • Through 15 games, A.J. Dillon has amassed 696 yards on the ground, averaging 46.4 yards per game and scoring six touchdowns.
  • Dillon also has 28 catches, 206 yards and zero TDs in the passing game.
  • Allen Lazard averages 3.9 receptions and 52.9 yards per game, and has 688 total receiving yards and 51 catches. He’s gotten 88 total targets, and has caught five touchdown passes.
  • On defense, Quay Walker has 1.5 sacks to go with 5.0 TFL and 106 tackles in 2022.
  • Preston Smith has 55 tackles, 9.0 TFL, and 8.5 sacks this season.
  • Rasul Douglas has recorded 68 tackles, 4.0 TFL, 1.0 sack, and four interceptions this year.
  • De’Vondre Campbell has two interceptions while adding 82 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and three passes defended.

Vikings

  • Kirk Cousins is averaging 7.0 passing yards per attempt (18th in the NFL) and 274.5 yards per game this year, completing 65.7% of his passes on the way to 4,117 total yards (fifth in the NFL), 27 touchdowns (fourth in the NFL) and 11 interceptions through 15 games.
  • On the ground, Cousins has added two rushing touchdowns and 60 rushing yards (third on the Vikings).
  • Justin Jefferson has 1,756 receiving yards (first in the NFL) and eight touchdowns (fifth in the NFL) on 123 receptions (first in the NFL), while being targeted 174 times.
  • Dalvin Cook is averaging 73.9 rushing yards per game this season (1,109 total yards to rank sixth in the NFL), while scoring eight rushing touchdowns.
  • Cook’s stat sheet includes 36 receptions (2.4 per game) on 52 targets for 278 yards (18.5 per game) and two receiving touchdowns.
  • T.J. Hockenson has 839 receiving yards and six touchdowns from 78 receptions after getting 116 targets.
  • In 2022, Eric Kendricks has 1.0 sack to go with 8.0 TFL and 131 tackles through 15 games.
  • Jordan Hicks’ stat sheet includes one interception as well as 123 tackles, 2.0 TFL, 3.0 sacks, and 10 passes defended.
  • Danielle Hunter has 62 tackles, 12.0 TFL, 11.5 sacks, and three passes defended in the 2022 season.
  • Za’Darius Smith’s stat sheet includes 40 tackles, 13.0 TFL, 9.0 sacks, and five passes defended in 15 games

Packers vs. Vikings Predictions and Pick

Our pick to win this game is the Vikings, and we expect that Vikings will cover the spread (Packers -3). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 47.5 points.

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How to Bet on Packers vs. Vikings

You can bet on Packers vs. Vikings at every legal online sportsbook. For more NFL odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NFL prop odds, check out the latest NFL lines as well as our guide to the best NFL betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Packers vs. Vikings picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Brian Twining

Sports, of all kind, have been a huge part of my life and daily routine for as long as I can remember. My favorite sports to watch are College Basketball, College Football, the NFL, MLB, Nascar, & the FIFA World Cup. My favorite sports to bet on are the NFL, Nascar, College Hoops, and College Football.

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