Vikings vs Lions Prediction: Week 3 Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – September 2022

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The Minnesota Vikings (1-1) host a fellow NFC North opponent on Sunday, September 25, 2022, when they face the Detroit Lions (1-1) at U.S. Bank Stadium.

Vikings vs. Lions Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 6 points, with bookmakers listing the Vikings as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, the Vikings have -250 odds to pick up the win, while the Lions are listed at +210 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 52.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Vikings vs. Lions Live?

  • Game Day: Sunday, September 25, 2022
  • Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: FOX
  • Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • Stadium: U.S. Bank Stadium

Betting Preview

Vikings

With 412.0 yards allowed per game on defense, which ranks fourth-worst in the NFL, the Vikings have been forced to rely on their 20th-ranked offense (329.5 yards per contest) to keep them in games. The Vikings rank 25th in scoring offense (15.0 points per game) and sixth in scoring defense (15.5 points allowed per game) this year. Despite having a bottom-five pass defense that ranks third-worst in the NFL (275.0 passing yards allowed per game), the Vikings have played better on the other side of the ball, ranking 13th in the NFL by totaling 235.5 passing yards per game. Offensively, the Vikings rank 21st in the NFL with 94.0 rushing yards per game. Meanwhile, they rank 23rd in rushing yards allowed per contest (137.0). The Vikings are averaging a 32.0% third-down conversion rate on offense (23rd in the NFL), and they rank 23rd on the other side of the ball with a 45.5% third-down percentage allowed. The Vikings own the 10th-ranked offense in terms of yards per play this season (5.5), and they’ve been less effective on defense, ranking fifth-worst with 6.4 yards per play allowed. With three forced turnovers (10th in NFL) against three turnovers committed (16th in NFL), the Vikings (0) own the 16th-ranked turnover margin in the NFL.

Lions

The Lions rank third-worst in total yards allowed per game on defense (425.5), but at least they’ve been playing well on offense, ranking fourth-best in total yards per contest (405.5). On the defensive side of the ball, the Lions are a bottom-five unit, ceding 32.5 points per game (second-worst). Fortunately, they are thriving on the offensive side of the ball, generating 35.5 points per contest (second-best). The Lions have been struggling in pass defense, ranking fifth-worst with 273.5 passing yards allowed per game. They have been more productive on the other side of the ball, compiling 219.5 passing yards per contest (19th-ranked). The Lions’ run defense ranks 26th in the NFL with 152.0 rushing yards given up per contest, but they’ve been led by their offense, which ranks third-best by accumulating 186.0 rushing yards per contest. The Lions rank eighth in third-down conversion rate (48.1%) on offense, but they’ve been less effective on the defensive side of the ball, ranking third-worst in the NFL with a 53.1% third-down percentage allowed. With 6.4 yards per play on offense, the Lions rank sixth in the NFL. On defense they rank 22nd, allowing 5.9 yards per play. The Lions have compiled one forced turnover (23rd in NFL) and committed one turnover (first in NFL) this season for a 0 turnover margin that ranks 16th in the NFL.

Vikings vs. Lions Injury Report

Vikings

Vikings: LB Eric Kendricks: Questionable (Toe), FB Harrison Smith: Out (Concussion), CB Andrew Booth Jr.: Out (Quad)

Lions

Lions: FB Aidan Hutchinson: Questionable (Thigh), RB D’Andre Swift: Questionable (Ankle), FB John Cominsky: Out (Wrist), OG Jonah Jackson: Out (Finger), TE T.J. Hockenson: Questionable (Hip), C Frank Ragnow: Questionable (Groin)

Vikings vs. Lions Betting Analysis

Vikings Betting Insights

The Vikings have covered the spread one time over two games with a set spread. Vikings games have yet to go over the total once this season. The Vikings went 5-3 in games they were favored on the moneyline last season (winning 62.5% of those games). In games they played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -250 or shorter, the Vikings had a 2-1 record (winning 66.7% of their games).

Lions Betting Insights

The Lions have covered in each of the two opportunities they have had with a set spread this year (2-0-0). The Lions are a perfect 1-0 ATS when playing as at least 6-point underdogs. Every game involving the Lions has hit the over so far this year. The Lions have split the two games they’ve played as underdogs this season. The Lions have played as an underdog of +210 or more once this season and lost that game.

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Vikings vs. Lions Against The Spread & Betting Records

Vikings

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 47.8 46.5 49.0
Implied Total AVG 25.0 24.0 26.0
ATS Record 1-1-0 1-0-0 0-1-0
Over/Under Record 0-2-0 0-1-0 0-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-0 1-0 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-1 0-0 0-1

Lions

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 48.5 48.5
Implied Total AVG 25.5 25.5
ATS Record 2-0-0 2-0-0 0-0-0
Over/Under Record 2-0-0 2-0-0 0-0-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 0-0 0-0 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-1 1-1 0-0

Players to Watch

Vikings

  • Justin Jefferson‘s 232 receiving yards this season (fifth in the NFL) have come from 15 receptions (seventh in the NFL) on 23 targets. He’s averaging 7.5 catches and 116.0 yards per game, with two receiving touchdowns (seventh in the NFL).
  • Kirk Cousins has 498 passing yards, three touchdowns and three interceptions this year. He has completed 64.1% of his passes, averaging 249.0 yards per game and 6.4 per attempt.
  • Dalvin Cook has 107 rushing yards without a rushing TD (53.5 yards per game across two games).
  • Cook has been on the receiving end of 11 targets in the passing game and has seven catches (3.5 per game) for 37 yards (18.5 per game) and zero TDs.
  • Irvin Smith Jr. averages 2.5 receptions and 18.0 yards per game, and has 36 total receiving yards and five catches. He’s gotten 10 total targets, and has caught one touchdown pass.
  • On defense, Jordan Hicks has 17 tackles, 1.0 sack, and one interception in 2022.
  • Harrison Smith has 20 tackles and one interception this season. He leads the Vikings in tackles.
  • Danielle Hunter has recorded nine tackles, 1.0 TFL, 2.0 sacks, and one pass defended.
  • Eric Kendricks has 12 tackles this year.

Lions

  • So far this year, Amon-Ra St. Brown has 17 receptions (sixth in the NFL) for 180 yards with three receiving touchdowns (second in the NFL). He has been targeted 24 times and averages 8.5 catches per game through two games played.
  • Jared Goff has 471 passing yards, six touchdowns (fifth in the NFL) and one interception. His completion percentage is 57.7% and he averages 235.5 yards per game and 6.6 per attempt.
  • D’Andre Swift has rushed for one touchdown this year, and has totaled 200 rushing yards (100.0 per game and 10.0 per attempt).
  • In addition to his ground game, Swift has pulled down five passes (on eight targets) for 62 yards (fourth on the Lions), with one receiving touchdown. He averages 31.0 yards per game.
  • Jamaal Williams averages 40.5 rushing yards per game through two games (81 total yards), with two rushing touchdowns.
  • Aidan Hutchinson has put up 3.0 sacks (first on the Lions and fourth in the NFL) to go with 2.0 TFL and seven tackles through two games so far in 2022.
  • Tracy Walker’s stat sheet includes 16 tackles, 1.0 sack, and one pass defended.
  • In the 2022 season, Charles Harris has nine tackles and 1.0 sack in two games.
  • Jeff Okudah’s season stats include 15 tackles through two games. He is second on the Lions in tackles.

Vikings vs. Lions Predictions and Pick

Our prediction to win this contest is the Vikings, and we project that Lions will cover the spread (Vikings -6). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 52.5 points.

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How to Bet on Vikings vs. Lions

You can bet on Vikings vs. Lions at every legal online sportsbook. For more NFL odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NFL prop odds, check out the latest NFL lines as well as our guide to the best NFL betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Vikings vs. Lions picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Brian Twining

Sports, of all kind, have been a huge part of my life and daily routine for as long as I can remember. My favorite sports to watch are College Basketball, College Football, the NFL, MLB, Nascar, & the FIFA World Cup. My favorite sports to bet on are the NFL, Nascar, College Hoops, and College Football.

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