Bears vs Lions Prediction: Odds, Picks & Betting Preview Week 17 – January 1, 2023

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The Chicago Bears (3-12) will have their eyes set on stopping their eight-game losing streak when they take on the Detroit Lions (7-8) at Ford Field on Sunday, January 1, 2023.

Lions vs. Bears Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 6 points, with bookmakers listing the Lions as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Lions have -260 odds to pick up the win, while the Bears are listed at +220 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 52.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Lions vs. Bears Live?

  • Game Day: Sunday, January 1, 2023
  • Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: FOX
  • Location: Detroit, Michigan
  • Stadium: Ford Field

Betting Preview


The Lions have struggled defensively, ranking worst in the NFL (409.9 yards allowed per game) this season. However, they rank fourth-best on offense, averaging 375.5 yards per game. While the Lions rank worst in the NFL in scoring defense with 26.7 points allowed per game, it’s been a different situation offensively, as they rank fifth-best in the NFL (26.1 points per game).

The Lions sport the eighth-ranked passing offense this season (254.9 passing yards per game), and they’ve been less effective on the other side of the ball, ranking third-worst with 264.1 passing yards allowed per game. The Lions have the 16th-ranked rushing offense this year (120.7 rushing yards per game), and they’ve been worse defensively, ranking fifth-worst with 145.9 rushing yards allowed per game.

Despite having a bottom-five defense on third down that ranks second-worst in the NFL (47.5% third-down percentage), the Lions have played better on offense, ranking 13th in the NFL by putting up a 41.7% third-down percentage. The Lions have one of the most efficient offensive attacks in the NFL (fifth in yards per play at 5.9) while their defense is one of the most generous (6.3 yards allowed per play, 32nd in the league). The Lions have forced 18 total turnovers (20th in NFL) this season and have turned it over 15 times (first in NFL) for a turnover margin of +3, ninth-ranked in the league.

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The Bears rank 26th with 316.3 total yards per contest on offense, and they rank 24th with 360.3 total yards surrendered per game on the defensive side of the ball. The Bears’ defense has been a bottom-five unit in scoring defense this season, conceding 26.2 points per game, which ranks second-worst in the NFL. On offense, they rank 22nd with 20.2 points per contest.

The Bears’ passing game has been struggling, ranking worst in the NFL with 136.5 passing yards per game. They have been better on defense, surrendering 209.1 passing yards per contest (12th-ranked). While the Bears’ run defense has been stuck in neutral, ranking third-worst by allowing 151.2 rushing yards per game, their offense is the best at 179.8 rushing yards per contest.

The Bears rank seventh in third-down conversion percentage (42.9%) on offense, but they’ve been less productive on the other side of the ball, ranking worst in the NFL with a 49.7% third-down percentage allowed. The Bears rank 18th in yards per play (5.3), but they’ve been less productive on the defensive side of the ball, third-worst in the NFL with 6.0 yards allowed per play. With 21 forced turnovers (10th in NFL) and 21 turnovers committed (22nd in NFL) this season, the Bears rank 13th in the NFL with a turnover margin of 0.

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Lions vs. Bears Injury Report


Player Pos. Injury Status
Justin Jackson RB Hip Questionable
Quintez Cephus WR Foot Out
Kayode Awosika OG Ankle Out
Frank Ragnow C Foot Questionable
Josh Woods LB Biceps Questionable


Player Pos. Injury Status
Chase Claypool WR Knee Questionable
Dante Pettis WR Ankle Questionable
Trevon Wesco TE Calf Questionable
Sterling Weatherford LB Illness Out

Lions vs. Bears Betting Analysis

Lions Betting Insights

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The Lions have put together a 10-4-1 record against the spread this season.

Lions games have gone over the total 10 times this season. The Lions never were listed as the moneyline favorite in a game last season.

The Lions never played a game last season with moneyline odds of -260 or shorter.

Bears Betting Insights

The Bears have covered the spread in a game five times this year (5-10-0). In games they were an underdog in by 6 points or more so far this year, the Bears have gone 4-4 against the spread.

Bears games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under 10 times this year. This season, the Bears have been the underdog 13 times and won two of those games.

The Bears have a record of 1-6 when they’re set as an underdog of +220 or more by sportsbooks this season.

Lions vs. Bears Against The Spread & Betting Records


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 48.9 50.6 46.9
Implied Total AVG 26.4 27.3 25.4
ATS Record 10-4-1 6-1-1 4-3-0
Over/Under Record 10-5-0 6-2-0 4-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-2 2-1 0-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 5-6 2-3 3-3


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 42.5 43.1 41.8
Implied Total AVG 24.1 23.9 24.3
ATS Record 5-10-0 3-5-0 2-5-0
Over/Under Record 10-5-0 5-3-0 5-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-1 1-1 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-11 1-5 1-6

Players to Watch


  • Jared Goff ranks seventh in the NFL with 3,959 passing yards in 15 games this year, averaging 263.9 per game with a 64.5% completion percentage and 26 touchdowns (sixth in the NFL) against seven interceptions.
  • Jamaal Williams averages 3.8 yards per carry (40th in the NFL) and 56.7 yards per game, and has 850 total rushing yards. He has recorded 14 rushing TDs this season.
  • In the passing attack, Amon-Ra St. Brown, has totaled 1,050 receiving yards (10th in the NFL) and six touchdowns after catching 96 balls (seventh in the NFL) on 132 targets. Per game, he’s averaging 75.0 yards and 6.9 receptions in 14 games.
  • D’Andre Swift has rushed for 439 yards with four touchdowns (36.6 yards per game in 12 games).
  • Swift has been targeted 59 times and turned those targets into 37 receptions, 289 yards and two TDs.
  • On defense for the Lions, Alex Anzalone has powered the unit with 108 tackles, 5.0 TFL, 1.5 sacks, and one interception in 2022.
  • Jeff Okudah has picked off one pass and has added 72 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and seven passes defended.
  • Aidan Hutchinson has totaled 44 tackles, 7.0 TFL, 7.0 sacks, and two interceptions so far this year.
  • So far this season, Malcolm Rodriguez has 75 tackles, 6.0 TFL, and 1.0 sack.


  • Justin Fields has thrown for 2,167 yards this year, with 16 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. He is completing 62.3% of his attempts while averaging 154.8 yards per game and 7.3 per attempt.
  • Fields has also rushed for eight touchdowns and 1,011 yards (first on the Bears and seventh in the NFL).
  • David Montgomery has 756 rushing yards (second on the Bears) and five rushing touchdowns, while averaging 54.0 yards per game and 4.0 per carry (32nd in the NFL).
  • Montgomery has added 32 receptions (2.3 per game) for 304 yards (21.7 per game) with one receiving touchdown. He’s been targeted 37 times in the passing attack.
  • This season in 11 games, Khalil Herbert has churned out 651 rushing yards (third on the Bears) and scored four rushing touchdowns. He averages 59.2 yards per game and 5.7 per attempt (fourth in the NFL).
  • Herbert’s offensive output includes eight receptions (0.7 per game) on 10 targets for 58 yards (5.3 per game) and one receiving touchdown.
  • Cole Kmet has 44 catches for 460 yards and five receiving touchdowns. He averages 2.9 yards per game through 15 games and has been targeted 61 times.
  • Nicholas Morrow has 9.0 TFL, 102 tackles, and one interception over 15 games in 2022.
  • Jaquan Brisker’s stats include one interception as well as 85 tackles, 4.0 TFL, 4.0 sacks, and one pass defended.
  • Kyler Gordon has 1.0 TFL, 64 tackles, and three interceptions.
  • Justin Jones has 42 tackles, 8.0 TFL, 2.0 sacks, and five passes defended.

Lions vs. Bears Predictions and Pick

Our pick to win this matchup is the Lions, and we predict that Lions will cover the spread (Lions -6). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 52.5 points.

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How to Bet on Lions vs. Bears

You can bet on Lions vs. Bears at every legal online sportsbook. For more NFL odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NFL prop odds, check out the latest NFL lines as well as our guide to the best NFL betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Lions vs. Bears picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Luis Escalante

Luis has been a regular contributor to 4for4 since 2014 and is currently the Director of Strategy at Betsperts Group. Luis comes from an analytics background, leveraging his data skills with multiple years of experience in NFL, fantasy football, daily fantasy sports, and betting.

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