Bears vs Lions Prediction: Week 10 Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – November 2022

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Two NFC North foes battle on Sunday, November 13, 2022 at Soldier Field when the Chicago Bears (3-6) and the Detroit Lions (2-6) go toe to toe.

Bears vs. Lions Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 2.5 points, with sportsbooks listing the Bears as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, the Bears have -145 odds to pick up the win, while the Lions are listed at +125 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 48.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Bears vs. Lions Live?

  • Game Day: Sunday, November 13, 2022
  • Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: FOX
  • Location: Chicago, Illinois
  • Stadium: Soldier Field

Betting Preview

Bears

The Bears are totaling 321.2 yards per game on offense (23rd in NFL), and they rank 18th on the other side of the ball with 347.9 yards allowed per game. The Bears are averaging 20.8 points per game offensively this season (21st in NFL), and they are surrendering 24.0 points per game (21st) on the other side of the ball.

The Bears have been a bottom-five pass offense this season, ranking worst with 125.7 passing yards per contest. On defense, they are ranked 10th in the NFL (200.7 passing yards allowed per game). The Bears own the best offense this season in terms of rushing yards (195.6 rushing yards per game), but they rank third-worst on the defensive side of the ball (147.2 rushing yards allowed per game).

In addition to a 50.5% third-down conversion rate allowed on defense, which ranks second-worst in the NFL, the Bears have posted the ninth-ranked third-down conversion rate (43.4%) on offense. The Bears are allowing 5.8 yards per play on the defensive side of the ball (24th in the NFL), while accumulating 5.3 per play (17th in the league) on offense this season. The Bears have forced 13 total turnovers (eighth in NFL) this season and have turned it over 12 times (17th in NFL) for a turnover margin of +1, 13th-ranked in the league.

Lions

The Lions’ defense has been a bottom-five unit in total defense this season, allowing 417.3 total yards per game, which ranks worst. On offense, they rank seventh with 377.3 total yards per contest. The Lions rank 11th in points per game (23.5), but they’ve been less effective defensively, ranking worst in the NFL with 29.3 points ceded per contest.

The Lions rank eighth in passing yards per game (243.1), but they’ve been worse on the other side of the ball, ranking fourth-worst in the NFL with 268.5 passing yards conceded per contest. The Lions rank ninth in rushing yards per game (134.1), but they’ve been worse defensively, ranking second-worst in the NFL with 148.8 rushing yards surrendered per contest.

The Lions rank 19th in third-down conversion rate (39.4%) on offense, but they’ve been worse defensively, ranking worst in the NFL with a 51.0% third-down percentage allowed. While the Lions’ defense has been stuck in neutral, ranking worst by ceding 6.4 yards per play, their offense is fourth-best with 6.0 yards per play. After forcing nine turnovers (19th in NFL) and turning the ball over 12 times (17th in NFL) this season, the Lions own the 22nd-ranked turnover margin of -3.

Bears vs. Lions Injury Report

Bears

Player Pos. Injury Status
Jaylon Johnson DB Oblique Questionable
Kindle Vildor DB Ankle Out
Matthew Adams LB Calf Questionable

Lions

Player Pos. Injury Status
Craig Reynolds RB Ribs Out
Malcolm Rodriguez LB Elbow Questionable
Josh Reynolds WR Back Out
Chase Lucas CB Ankle Questionable
Matt Nelson OT Calf Doubtful

Bears vs. Lions Betting Analysis

Bears Betting Insights

The Bears have covered the spread four times over nine games with a set spread. The Bears have not covered a spread (0-1) when they are at least 2.5-point favorites.

This season, Bears games have hit the over five times. The Bears won all four of the games they were favored on the moneyline last season.

The Bears won all three games they played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -145 or shorter.

Lions Betting Insights

The Lions are 4-3-1 against the spread this season. In games they have played as 2.5-point underdogs or more, the Lions have an ATS record of 3-1-1.

Lions games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under five times this year. The Lions have entered the game as underdogs seven times this season and won twice.

The Lions have entered five games this season as the underdog by +125 or more and are 1-4 in those contests.

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Bears vs. Lions Against The Spread & Betting Records

Bears

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 41.2 40.8 41.5
Implied Total AVG 23.6 22.3 24.6
ATS Record 4-5-0 2-2-0 2-3-0
Over/Under Record 5-4-0 2-2-0 3-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-0 1-0 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-6 1-2 1-4

Lions

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 49.5 49.4 49.7
Implied Total AVG 26.8 26.4 27.3
ATS Record 4-3-1 3-1-1 1-2-0
Over/Under Record 5-3-0 4-1-0 1-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 0-1 0-1 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-5 2-2 0-3

Players to Watch

Bears

  • Justin Fields has passed for 1,322 yards, 10 touchdowns and six interceptions this year. He is averaging 146.9 yards per game and 7.1 per attempt, while completing 58.8% of his attempts.
  • He has also rushed for 602 yards (first on the Bears) and added four touchdowns on the ground, while averaging 66.9 rushing yards per game.
  • Khalil Herbert averages 6.0 yards per carry (eighth in the NFL) and 65.2 yards per game, and has 587 total rushing yards. He has scored four rushing TDs this season.
  • Herbert’s seven targets through the air have turned into six catches (0.7 per game) for 62 yards (6.9 per game) and one touchdown.
  • David Montgomery’s output on the ground this season includes 397 yards and two TDs. He is averaging 49.6 yards per game and 3.7 per attempt (52nd in the NFL).
  • Montgomery has 14 receptions on 16 targets for 143 yards, though he has not scored a receiving touchdown.
  • Chase Claypool has racked up 324 receiving yards and one touchdown with 34 catches on 56 targets. He is averaging 3.8 receptions and 36.0 yards per game.
  • Over on defense, Eddie Jackson has 65 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and four interceptions in 2022. His tackle total leads the Bears.
  • Jaquan Brisker has 3.0 sacks (first on the Bears) in addition to his 3.0 TFL, 55 tackles, and one interception.
  • Nicholas Morrow has recorded 59 tackles and 3.0 TFL so far this year.
  • This season, Kyler Gordon has 48 tackles and one interception. He’s fourth on the Bears in tackles.

Lions

  • Jared Goff is averaging 7.4 passing yards per attempt (13th in the NFL) and 255.1 yards per game this year, completing 62.9% of his passes on the way to 2,041 total yards, 14 touchdowns (seventh in the NFL) and seven interceptions through eight games.
  • Jamaal Williams has scored eight rushing touchdowns, while totaling 545 rushing yards (4.3 per carry and 68.1 per game).
  • So far this season, Amon-Ra St. Brown has caught 39 passes for 399 receiving yards with three touchdowns through the air. He has been targeted 59 total times and is averaging 5.6 receptions per game over seven games played.
  • D’Andre Swift averages 49.4 rushing yards per game through five games (247 total yards), with one rushing touchdown.
  • Swift has also caught 16 passes for 144 yards (fourth on the Lions), with two receiving touchdowns. He’s been targeted 21 times and averages 28.8 yards per game.
  • Alex Anzalone has 60 tackles, 2.0 TFL, 1.5 sacks, and one pass defended in 2022.
  • DeShon Elliott has one interception on top of 55 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and two passes defended.
  • Malcolm Rodriguez has 50 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and 1.0 sack in the 2022 season. He is third on the Lions in tackles.
  • Jeff Okudah’s season stats include 49 tackles and 2.0 TFL through eight games. He is fourth on the Lions in tackles.

Bears vs. Lions Predictions and Pick

Our prediction to win this contest is the Bears, and we predict that Bears will cover the spread (Bears -2.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 48.5 points.

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How to Bet on Bears vs. Lions

You can bet on Bears vs. Lions at every legal online sportsbook. For more NFL odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NFL prop odds, check out the latest NFL lines as well as our guide to the best NFL betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Bears vs. Lions picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Brian Twining

Sports, of all kind, have been a huge part of my life and daily routine for as long as I can remember. My favorite sports to watch are College Basketball, College Football, the NFL, MLB, Nascar, & the FIFA World Cup. My favorite sports to bet on are the NFL, Nascar, College Hoops, and College Football.

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