Jaguars vs Jets Prediction: Odds, Picks & Betting Preview Week 16 – December 22, 2022

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The New York Jets (7-7), who have lost three consecutive games, enter into a matchup with the Jacksonville Jaguars (6-8) on Thursday, December 22, 2022 at MetLife Stadium.

Jets vs. Jaguars Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 2 points, with bookmakers listing the Jets as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, the Jets have -125 odds to pick up the win, while the Jaguars are listed at +105 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 37 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Jets vs. Jaguars Live?

  • Game Day: Thursday, December 22, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:15 PM ET
  • TV Channel: AMAZON
  • Location: East Rutherford, New Jersey
  • Stadium: MetLife Stadium

Betting Preview

Jets

The Jets rank 19th in total offense this season (336.7 yards per game), but they’ve been thriving on the defensive side of the ball, ranking third-best in the NFL with 305.4 yards allowed per game. The Jets own the 23rd-ranked offense this season (20.1 points per game), and they’ve been better defensively, ranking fourth-best with only 18.8 points allowed per game.

The Jets rank 15th in passing yards this season (229.1 per game), but they’ve been thriving on defense, ranking fourth-best in the NFL with 193.9 passing yards allowed per game. The Jets are putting up 107.6 rushing yards per game on offense (24th in the NFL), and they rank 11th on defense with 111.5 rushing yards allowed per game.

The Jets are putting up a 35.4% third-down percentage offensively this year (26th in NFL), and they are giving up a 38.5% third-down percentage (15th) on the other side of the ball. The Jets have the second-best defense in the NFL in terms of yards per play allowed (4.8), while their offense is ranked 20th, gaining 5.2 per play. The Jets have forced 15 total turnovers (22nd in NFL) this season and have turned it over 18 times (17th in NFL) for a turnover margin of -3, 23rd-ranked in the league.

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Jaguars

In terms of total offense, the Jaguars rank sixth in the NFL (367.9 total yards per game) and 27th on the other side of the ball (370.7 total yards allowed per game). The Jaguars rank 12th in the NFL with 23.9 points per game on offense, and they rank 21st with 23.4 points surrendered per contest on the defensive side of the ball.

The Jaguars have been struggling against the pass, ranking fourth-worst with 252.6 passing yards allowed per game. They have been more productive on the other side of the ball, generating 240.7 passing yards per contest (10th-ranked). With 127.2 rushing yards per game on offense, the Jaguars rank 10th in the NFL. Defensively they rank 16th, surrendering 118.1 rushing yards per game.

The Jaguars have been struggling on third down, ranking fourth-worst with a 46.8% third-down conversion percentage allowed per game. They have been more effective on offense, compiling a 42% third-down rate (13th-ranked). From an offensive angle, the Jaguars are putting up 5.8 yards per play (sixth-ranked). They rank 24th in the NFL defensively (5.7 yards surrendered per play). At +4, the Jaguars have the sixth-ranked turnover margin in the NFL, with 22 forced turnovers (fourth in NFL) and 18 turnovers committed (17th in NFL).

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Jets vs. Jaguars Injury Report

Jets

Player Pos. Injury Status
Zonovan Knight RB Ankle Questionable
Mike White QB Rib Out
Denzel Mims WR Concussion Out
Jeff Smith WR Knee Out
Brandin Echols CB Quadricep Out
Quinnen Williams NT Calf Questionable

Jaguars

Player Pos. Injury Status
Trevor Lawrence QB Toe Questionable
Travon Walker OLB Ankle Out
Chad Muma LB Ankle Questionable
Brandon Scherff OG Abdomen Questionable

Jets vs. Jaguars Betting Analysis

Jets Betting Insights

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The Jets have covered the spread eight times this season (8-6-0). The Jets have an ATS record of 2-1 when playing as at least 2-point favorites.

This season, five Jets games have gone over the point total. The Jets were listed as the moneyline favorite just one time last season, a game they won.

The Jets played as a moneyline favorite of -125 or shorter in only one game last season, which they won.

Jaguars Betting Insights

The Jaguars are 6-8-0 against the spread this year. In games this season when an underdog by 2 points or more, the Jaguars have gone 6-4 against the spread.

This year, eight Jaguars games have gone over the point total. The Jaguars have won six, or 50%, of the 12 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

The Jaguars have a record of 6-3 in games where oddsmakers have them as underdogs of at least +105 on the moneyline.

Jets vs. Jaguars Against The Spread & Betting Records

Jets

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 42 43.1 41
Implied Total AVG 23.8 24.4 23.1
ATS Record 8-6-0 3-4-0 5-2-0
Over/Under Record 5-9-0 2-5-0 3-4-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-1 1-1 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 5-6 2-3 3-3

Jaguars

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 44.9 44.3 45.5
Implied Total AVG 24.4 23.7 25.1
ATS Record 6-8-0 4-3-0 2-5-0
Over/Under Record 8-6-0 2-5-0 6-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 0-2 0-2 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 6-6 4-1 2-5

Players to Watch

Jets

  • Garrett Wilson has brought down 67 passes on 110 targets for 966 total yards and four touchdowns. He is averaging 4.8 catches and 69 yards per game through 14 games played.
  • Zach Wilson has 1,596 passing yards, six touchdowns and six interceptions this year. He has completed 54.9% of his passes, averaging 199.5 yards per game and 7.1 per attempt.
  • He’s rushed for 101 yards (fifth on the Jets) and added one touchdown on the ground, while averaging 12.6 rushing yards per game.
  • Michael Carter has 390 rushing yards with three touchdowns (30 yards per game across 13 games).
  • Carter has totaled 32 receptions on 43 targets for 240 yards, but he has not scored a touchdown in the passing game.
  • James Robinson has rushed for 425 yards with three touchdowns (38.6 yards per game through 11 games).
  • He’s added 11 catches (on 14 targets) for 51 receiving yards with two touchdowns. He’s averaging 4.6 receiving yards and one receptions per game.
  • On defense, C.J. Mosley has one sack to go with three TFL, 131 tackles, and one interception in 2022.
  • Quincy Williams has 76 tackles, eight TFL, and two sacks so far this season.
  • Jordan Whitehead has totaled 78 tackles, four TFL, and two interceptions this year.
  • So far this season, D.J. Reed Jr. has 66 tackles, one TFL, and one interception.

Jaguars

  • Travis Etienne averages 65.5 rushing yards per game this year (917 total yards), while scoring four rushing touchdowns.
  • Etienne has also been a piece of the receiving game with 238 yards (17 per game) on 27 receptions (1.9 per game), while being targeted 37 times. He is still trying for his first receiving touchdown.
  • Christian Kirk has put together a 2022 campaign that includes 73 catches for 966 yards and seven receiving touchdowns (seventh in the NFL) over 14 games played. He has been on the receiving end of 116 targets and is averaging 5.2 receptions per game.
  • Zay Jones has put up 764 receiving yards and five touchdowns on 74 receptions, while being targeted 106 times this season.
  • Evan Engram has 610 receiving yards and four touchdowns from 61 receptions after receiving 84 targets.
  • Foyesade Oluokun’s 2022 showing includes 156 tackles, 10 TFL, and one sack in 14 games. He leads the NFL in tackles
  • Rayshawn Jenkins has registered one TFL, 92 tackles, and three interceptions through 14 games.
  • Devin Lloyd has intercepted two passes on top of 97 tackles and seven passes defended during the 2022 season.
  • Josh Allen has registered five sacks (first on the Jaguars) to go with seven TFL and 44 tackles through 14 games.

Jets vs. Jaguars Predictions and Pick

Our pick to win this contest is the Jets, and we expect that Jets will cover the spread (Jets -2). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 37 points.

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How to Bet on Jets vs. Jaguars

You can bet on Jets vs. Jaguars at every legal online sportsbook. For more NFL odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NFL prop odds, check out the latest NFL lines as well as our guide to the best NFL betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Jets vs. Jaguars picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Andy Molitor

Andy has been involved in sports betting on and off his entire adult life and has been creating content surrounding it for the past five years. While the NFL is his first love, he also bets hundreds of college basketball games every winter and loves sweating golf DFS during the football offseason.

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